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Friday, May 23, 2008

KRC BUY - STERLITE

  

 

         Market Update

KRC Investment Ideas

 

 

  

MARKET OVER VIEW

 

·         Sensex closed at 17,243.16 up 12.98 points, after touching a high of 17,293.34 and a low of 17,041.63. Nifty closed at 5,117.65 up 12.70 points, after touching a high of 5,135.55 and a low of 5,048.70.

 

·         Nifty May Futures ended 6.25 points premium at 5,123.90 to the spot Nifty of 5,117.65. Total turnover in NSE's derivatives segment was Rs. 394.81 billion as against Rs. 332.90 billion on Tuesday.

  

Market Dynamics

 

 

 

  

Indices

Close

% Change

Market cap

1 Week

1 Month

1Year

In Rs. Cr.

Sensex

17,243.16

1.56

3.01

19.59

2,384,068

Nifty

5,117.65

1.83

3.27

21.73

2,982,791

BSE 100

9,159.07

2.14

3.05

24.03

3,805,672

BSE 500

6,872.60

2.34

2.98

23.14

5,414,377

BSE MidCap

7,148.05

2.26

2.36

16.61

821,901

BSE Small Cap

8,788.98

4.20

0.41

20.49

255,440

 

 

 

       FII & Mutual Fund Activity (In Rs.Cr.)

        Date

FII

MF

21/05/2008

 

 

20/05/2008

57.00

 

16/05/2008

729.90

227.80

15/05/2008

258.10

309.90

14/05/2008

186.30

133.10

 

 

 

 

 

 

Significant Bulk Deals (21/05/2008)

Scrip

Buy/Sell

Buyer/Seller

Quantity

NAKODA TEXT

Buy

CREDIT CAPITAL ASSET MANAGEMENT CO. LTD ACC DISCOVERY STOCK FUND

100000

ELPRO INTERN

Buy

JUPITER ASSET MANG AC JUPITER PAF INVESTMENT LTD

25000

  

                 Currency v/s Re.(21/05/2008)

INR / USD

INR / GBP

INR / EUR

INR / JPY 100

42.72 (+0.12%)

83.96 (+0.66%)

66.90 (+0.77)

41.36 (0.76%)

 

 

 

 

Commodity - In US$ (21/05/2008)

Crude Oil

Aluminum

Copper

Lead

Zinc

Gold

126

 2997 (+2)

8325 (+10)

2170 (-61)

2275 (-13)

919

 

 

Sterlite Technologies Ltd

(BSE CODE: 532374)

CMP

6 Months Target

Recommendation

Rs. 236

Rs. 295

Buy

 

 

Sterlite Technologies Limited (SOTL), formerly Sterlite Optical Technologies Limited, is primarily engaged in manufacturing of Jelly Filled Telephone Cables (JFTC) and Optical Fiber cables (OFTC). It is also engaged in drawing, drawing and insulating, and insulating wire and cable of nonferrous metals from purchased wire bars, rods, or wire. A global provider of optical fibers, telecom cables and power transmission conductors, SOTL supplies 4% of the global demand for Optical Fibers to over 60 countries. The Company has launched two products for access networks and Sterlite ADSL 2, a product for broadband applications. Subsequent to its acquisition of Power Transmission Conductors from Sterlite Industries (India) Limited, the companies revenues have been substantially diversified and the revenue contribution of the Power business is now 56.77%.

 

SOTL is willing double its Optical Fiber capacity to 12 Million-km from 6 mn fKm resulting in a CapEx of INR 140 Crores and production is expected to begin in June 2009. In addition, it received a contract from BSNL for manufacture and supply 20 to 2000 pair Copper Telecom Cables to enhance BSNL's Pan-India network to provide basic telephony and broadband services. The contract is valued at INR 1.43 Billion and would be completed within FY 2007-08. These factors will enable the company to drive revenue growth and expand profit margins.

 

The demand for jelly-filled cables (JFTC) and optical fibre cables (OFC) is largely driven by telecom companies for their requirement to provide network connectivity. The two largest contributors to OFC demand have been BSNL and MTNL in the past.  However, in the recent past along with the increase in the demand for Data and Broadband based services, private participation in telecom growth have increased. Utility companies like Railtel, Power Grid Corporation of India, Oil and Gas companies account for a small part of demand for the deployment of their own communication networks. 

 

Since 2000, the optical fiber industry has been plagued by intense competition, popularity of wireless telecom services, fall in demand and excess capacity resulting into extreme pressure on profit margins. Following a peak of 110 mn fKm in global Optic fiber demand, the market for telecom cables had shrunk considerably since 2001 to 2003. However in the recent past an additional building binge has begun with more than a dozen telecom companies laying billions of dollars worth of undersea fiber cable over the past 18 months. The projects this time connect areas that were bypassed a decade ago: the emerging economies of South Asia, Africa and the Middle East, and Greenland. In India, the domestic demand is expected to be supported by the interconnection of mobile networks using OFC, the laying of long-distance networks, and the rollout of broad band networks and IPTV by telecom companies and the government. The demand forecast for OFC is subsequently expected to increase 16 percent in FY08 to 3.4 million fKm.

 

Following a decline in demand from BSNL and MTNL  for JFTC, a glut of supply , intense competition and rising copper prices (a key cost driver) have lead the JFTC players to face intense margin pressure. This has led many operators to diversify into the manufacture of power and electrical cables due to the similar manufacturing process involved. In the recent past the strong growth of the Power industry and the higher visibility in earnings have led many operators to change the major revenue segment from OFC to power cables.

 

SOTL will double its Optical Fiber capacity to 12 Million-km from 6 mn fKm resulting in a CapEx of INR 140 Crores and production is expected to begin in June 2009. In addition, it received a contract from BSNL for manufacture and supply 20 to 2000 pair Copper Telecom Cables to enhance BSNL's Pan-India network to provide basic telephony and broadband services. The contract is valued at INR 1.43 Billion and would be completed within FY 2007-08. These factors will enable the company to drive revenue growth and expand profit margins.

 

SOTL is currently having 16% of its revenues from exports. Growing global demand allowed the company to clock exports of 24.78% in FY07. The domestic growth of the telecom and power industry will enable the company to increase profitability. SOTL currently generates 33% of its revenues from exports. Growing global demand in the FTTH business will enable the company to boost fixed line revenue growth.

 

Net profit of Sterlite Technologies rose 77.54% to Rs 34.30 crore in the quarter ended March 2008 as against Rs 19.32 crore during the previous quarter ended March 2007. Sales rose 40.74% to Rs 543.62 crore in the quarter ended March 2008 as against Rs 386.27 crore during the previous quarter ended March 2007. For the full year, net profit rose 98.03% to Rs 100.72 crore in the year ended March 2008 as against Rs 50.86 crore during the previous year ended March 2007. Sales rose 40.70% to Rs 1685.79 crore in the year ended March 2008 as against Rs 1198.15 crore during the previous year ended March 2007.

 

Sterlite Technologies has received three contracts valued at Rs 2.96 billion from PGCIL (Power Grid Corporation of India) for supply of power transmission conductors. With the receipt of these new contracts, the company has opened FY-09 with a total order book of Rs 10.2 billion for its telecom & power businesses. Sterlite Technologies has bagged an order worth $17.5 million from Ethiopian Electric Power Corporation, Ethiopia for manufacture and supply of AAAC power transmission conductors. In January 2008, the company received a contract worth Rs 140 crore from Rajasthan Rajya Vidyut Prasaran Nigam, India for manufacture and supply of ACSR moose power transmission conductors. Sterlite Technologies is engaged in manufacturing and marketing optical networking products including optical fibre and optical fibre cables. The optical fiber cable plants produce standard and customized cables.  

 

Sterlite Optical Technologies has decided to double its Optical Fiber annual manufacturing capacity to 12 million-km from its current capacity of 6 million-km. This brownfield expansion at the company's existing facilities at Aurangabad, India is estimated to incur a CapEx of Rs 140 crore (US $ 35 million) and commercial production is expected to commence by June 2009.
This state-of-the-art facility would be capable of manufacturing the company's existing range of optical fiber products as well as have the intrinsic capability to manufacture products as per evolving international telecom standards that are being introduced to cater to high bandwidth applications required by global markets. The company is in advanced stages of discussion with leading global manufacturing equipment and raw material suppliers to streamline its efforts towards the expansion project milestones.

 

 
Disclaimer:
This publication has been prepared solely for information purpose and does not constitute a solicitation to any person to buy or sell a security. While the information contained therein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, investors are advised to satisfy themselves before making any investments. Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., does not bear any responsibility for the authentication of the information contained in the reports and consequently, is not liable for any decisions taken based on the same. Further, KRC Research Reports only provide information updates and analysis. All opinion for buying and selling are available to investors when they are registered clients of KRC Investment Advisory Services. As a matter of practice, KRC refrains from publishing any individual names with its reports. As per SEBI requirements it is stated that,Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., and/or individuals thereof may have positions in securities referred herein and may make purchases or sale thereof while this report is in circulation.
  Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd. 1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001. Phone : 91-22-66535000 Fax : 6633 8060 Members: BSE & NSE
www.krchoksey.com

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