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Friday, May 2, 2008

Pre-Market report on 02.05.2008




Dow Jones in a bull zone ; Desi Bulls to set the tone
===================================================

Wall Street took one day to digest the factored in news of
Mr.Bernake's 25 basis point cut to fly above the magic level of
13,000. Dow Jones ended the day at 13,010 , up 189.87 points while
tech heavy Nasdaq is up 67.9 points at 2,480.71, outperforming the
peers. Tech stocks went on to party today after the Economic data
surprised the analysts. Elsewhere US Dollar is gaining ground against
global currencies and declining crude oil prices just added on to the
rally.

Japanese stocks, after their April, their best month in 13 years
spiked in the early hours of trade to trade at 14,014.40, up 247
points.

Indian Markets closed down before the holiday on account of lack of
global cues and nervousness about the Fed cut. Today with the strong
global cues and positive sentiment we have no option except to go up.

Where is 14,000/12,000??

We have written in this column many a times about the market behaviour
and always envisaged that things are not as bad as predicted. Thanks
to the media across the globe and million thanks to all the analysts
who appear on the chatter box predicting 12,000, Indian Indices were
down in the dumps in the last 3 months. We emphasized many a times
that this is not the time to get out and just to get in as we witness
difficult times we get stocks at throw away prices.

Inflation : Cause for concern

No doubt the Inflation in a developing economy like India has a major
impact on the growth factors but our analysis and data shows that the
same can be contained in no time with more focus from the government.
Inflation can easily double or halved over a period of 6 months.
That's the speciality of Indian Economy.

Govt is likely to pose threat to cement companies in a bid to contain
inflation. Instead the govt needs to focus on boosting the production
of agri commodities to get rid of the inflation ghost from a long term
perspective.

Midcaps looking great

Midcaps look great as usual and realty stocks that charmed on Tuesday
on RBI credit policy are likely to hit the bull road with DLF
declaring good numbers. Business standard reports that Mindtree is
likely to acquire Aztech software for Rs.400 crores. Midcap IT will
move up based on the valuations offered. Consolidation is due in the
sector and this is not the end. Aztec cannot turnaround for many
quarters courtesy the poor management vision & drive. This acquisition
would definitely add value to Mindtree though the stock might be
subdued for a period due the acquisition costs.

Market Close Box
BSE Sensex 17287.31 -91.15
NSE Nifty 5165.90 -29.60
USD Rs.40.46
Oil Nymex $112.5


Explore your hobbies and interests. Click here to begin.

Hindustan Unilever Ltd (Q1 F12/08) - Market Performer: Indiainfoline



Hindustan Unilever Ltd (Q1 F12/08)
CMP Rs247, Market Performer
Target price Rs269,  Upside 9%
 
ä       Records highest revenue growth of 19% in the last five years led by strong underlying volume growth of 10%. Soaps & detergents, personal products and foods segment record strong 20%, 23% and 15% growth respectively.
ä       Higher raw material and overhead costs pulled down margins. EBIT margins in the soaps and detergent segment witnessed sharp 140bps improvement. Strong revenue growth coupled with higher other income drives net profit.
ä       We expect HUL to register revenue and profit CAGR of 15% and 17.6% respectively over the next two years. Upgrade to Market Performer with a price target of Rs269 - an upside of 9%.
 
Click below for the quarterly update of Hindustan Unilever Ltd.
 
 


Bring your gang together. Do your thing. Find your favourite Yahoo! Group.


Bring your gang together. Do your thing. Find your favourite Yahoo! Group.

Telefolio : Deepak Fertilizers & Petrochemicals Corporation



cid:image001.png@01C8ABBE.3010EA50

 

Deepak Fertilizers & Petrochemicals Corporation

Fertile prospects

Increased availability of gas will significantly improve its prospects

Buy

Deepak Fertilizers & Petrochemicals Corporation

BSE Code

500645

NSE Code

DEEPAKFERT

Bloomberg

DFPC@IN

Reuter

DPFE.BO

52-week High/Low

Rs 178 / 78

Current Price

Rs 101 (as on 9th April 2008)


Deepak Fertilizers & Petrochemicals Corporation (DFPCL) is a major player in bulk chemicals manufacturing with integrated manufacturing facilities at Taloja, Pune. The presence throughout the nitrogen-based bulk chemicals segment has given the company flexibility to alter the product mix and give consistent results on the profitability front despite facing a perennial shortage on the raw material (natural gas) front. DFPCL has further consolidated its existence in the sector with the acquisition of Smartchem Technologies Limited (STL), a manufacturer of ammonium nitrate (with a capacity of 35,900MTPA) in FY2004. STL is a 100% subsidiary of DFPCL.

Its Chemical Division its current basket of chemicals viz. Methanol, Iso Propyl Alcohol (IPA), various grades of Nitric Acids, Hydrogen and Carbon Dioxide provide the company with considerable product flexibility to manage commodity market cycles efficiently. In Fertilizers business, it is the largest manufacturer of nitro phosphate, it current capacity is around 2,30,000 MT per year, company makes 23:23:0 prilled nitrate phosphate, containing nitrogen in both nitrate and ammonium form, which are used as fertilizers. It also manufacture DAP, MOP and SSP. The company also sells fertilizer under the brand name of Mahadaan and Bhoodhan. Different Fertiliser includes Complex fertilizer (Mahadan power & chetak), potassic fertiliser (Mahadan potash), and Mixture fertiliser (Bhoodhan).

The company has also forayed in to retailing.

Availability of gas should substantially improve its prospects

Presently DFPCL get gas from GAIL under the administered price mechanism (APM) but availability is limited to 0.6-0.7 mmbtu as against its total requirement of approx 1 mmbtu. Inadequate gas availability has led to underutilization of plants like methanol, ammonium nitrate phosphate (ANP), DNA etc.

The Dahej Uran Pipeline (DUPL) pipeline has been commissioned and the company has bought small quantity of LNG from Shell to test the pipeline. The company is looking for tying up long term supply of gas with major players in order to increase production. The company expects that the Reliance gas would be available through this pipeline to its Uran and Taloja plant during the current year. This gas is expected to be sourced at a price of US$ 5-US$ 6 per mbtu.

Additional supply of natural gas will benefit the company in a number of ways. Firstly, the company will be able to increase its capacity utilization (currently there is significant underutilisation due to lack of gas) boosting topline as well as bottomline especially due to better economies of scale. Moreover cost of natural gas will be lower than naphtha, presently being used as fuel, which will boost margins on current sales also.

Bulk chemicals--industrial usage on an upswing

Methanol

DFPCL is one of the largest producers of methanol in India with an installed capacity of 100,000 tonne per year. Methanol finds usage in industries like paints, dyes, drugs and pharmaceuticals and fertilisers.

The annual demand for methanol in India is estimated to be 750,000 metric tonne per annum (MTPA) and the domestic supply is only 380,000MTPA and the rest of the demand is met through imports. DFPCL has 26.3% of the total domestic manufacturing capacity with Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilisers Corporation (GNFC) being the only major competitor. However, DFPCL is a more efficient manufacturer of methanol as it uses gas as feedstock unlike GNFC, which uses naphtha and fuel oil as feedstock.

Nitric acid

DFPCL is one of the largest producers of dilute nitric acid in India with an installed capacity of 297,000 tonne per year and also produces concentrated nitric acid (98%) with an installed capacity 79,200 tonne per year. The annual demand for nitric acid in India is estimated to be 760,000 tonne per annum and the domestic supply is 800,000 tonne per annum. DFPCL has 43.7% of the total domestic manufacturing capacity with Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilisers (RCF) being the only major competitor.

Ammonium nitrate

DFPCL is one of the largest manufacturers of ammonium nitrate (AN) in India and the only producer of prilled AN in India (rest make the chemical in granule form), which is easier and safer to transport. DFPCL has an installed capacity of 125,000 tonne (which includes 35,900 tonne of its 100% subsidiary Smartchem Technologies), which is 62.5% of the total domestic capacity with the only major competitor being RCF.

AN prills are used in making commercial explosives and are vital in all types of mining activities like blasting coal; other minerals like iron ore (for steel manufacture), limestone (cement manufacture); ores of copper, lead, tin; bauxite etc.

The explosives made from DFPCL's AN are also used in the construction of dams, hydro-electric projects and expressways/roads; the deepening of harbours as well as demolition jobs. With the Indian government's thrust on construction and a surge in industrial activities in India the mining sector is poised to perform well in the next few years. Going forward the demand for the compound is expected to remain firm as the public and private investment in construction and infrastructure goes up.

The mining of coal, which saw very moderate activity in the last five-year plan, is about to pick-up. Coal mining is expected to pick-up by 4.5% in the Tenth Five-Year Plan as the demand from user industries like power and steel increases. Along with that, the mining of metal ores is also expected to increase as more and more investment is committed to ferrous and non-ferrous sectors.

Yara tie up is positive

Norway-based Yara International, a $14 billion fertiliser and specialty chemicals company, has entered an agreement with DFPCL to establish a joint venture (JV) to produce and market ammonium nitrate and specialty fertilisers in India. DFPCL will own 51 per cent of the JV, while Yara will own the balance 49 per cent. The JV will also invest in Deepak Fertiliser's 300,000 million tonne (MT) per annum ammonium nitrate plant, which is recently under construction at Paradip, Orissa. Ammonium Nitrate is mainly used to produce explosives for the mining industry and in coal production. Currently, Deepak Fertilisers is the only major domestic producer of ammonium nitrate, with an installed capacity of 140,000 tonne. The rest of Indian demand is covered mainly by imports. The JV will be value-accretive to DFPCL and will benefit its long-term strategy in nutrient management through specialty fertilisers and value-added mining products and services. India has the world's third biggest coal reserves and Yara has proven strengths in safety, production, logistics and expertise in the use of technical ammonium nitrate for explosives (TAN). The heads of agreement would be converted into a final agreement after a due diligence and the necessary company and regulatory approvals

Ammonia storage tank expected to be ready in 2008-09

The work on the new 15,000 MT ammonia storage tank is well underway and the tank is expected to be ready in 2008-09. The Company is also well positioned to take on further capacity enhancements in the Nitric Acid segment.

Ishanya progressing well

DFPCL has set up a specialty mall 'Ishanya' on its surplus land in Pune. The project is spread over 10 acres of land with built up area of about 5.5 lakh square feet. It will feature end-to-end product ranges from white to brown goods, offices for architects, interior designers and consultants apart from banks and financial institutions. At full capacity, this project will generate around Rs 30 crore of revenues annually.

Ishanya has now opened over 200,000 square feet of retail space with key anchors Home Town, @home and Croma, besides key stores like F&F, Ecoscapes and Bella Casa now open to customers. More openings are expected in the coming weeks with approximately another 50,000 sq.ft. opened in end February 2008.

Other long term growth triggers

The company is setting up an ammonium nitrate plant in Paradip in Orissa on the eastern coast of India. The company will also be setting up import terminal and storage facility for ammonia at Paradip as an integral part of this project, which is expected to commission by second half of FY2008-09. Similarly, the company has around 7–8 acres of surplus land in Pune and is considering options for developing the same. DFPCL is also expanding its agribusiness initiatives with the launch of three 'Mahadhan Saarrthie' centers to provide integrated nutrient management services and solutions to the farmers. All these initiatives will secure company's profitability in the long-term future.

The company's Chemical Complex project at Paradip in Orissa for Ammonium Nitrate is progressing well and the company has already placed orders for machinery and technology. This plant is expected to start production by the forth quarter of the financial year 2010.

Valuation

In FY 2008, we expect the company to register sales and net profit of Rs 949.51 crore and Rs 96.30 crore respectively. On equity of Rs 88.36 crore and face value of Rs 10 per share, EPS works out to Rs 10.9. This EPS is likely to rise to Rs 13.3 in FY 2009 assuming availability of increased gas supplies from the later part of FY 2009. The share price trades at Rs 101. P/E on FY 2009 EPS works out to 7.6.

Deepak Fertilizers & Petrochemicals Corporation: Financials

 

 

0503(12)

0603 (12)

0703(12)

0803 (12P)

0903 (12P)

Income

478.17

562.86

833.13

949.51

1095.74

OPM (%)

26.1

18.3

17.3

17.1

18.5

OP

124.99

103.15

144.24

162.17

203.15

Other inc.

22.78

45.76

36.30

44.07

46.27

PBIDT

147.77

148.91

180.54

206.24

249.42

Interest

8.65

5.65

11.49

17.00

20.40

PBDT

139.12

143.26

169.05

189.23

229.02

Dep.

31.11

31.56

39.08

45.20

53.33

PBT before EO

108.01

111.70

129.97

144.04

175.68

EO

4.45

11.06

1.58

0.33

0.00

PBT after EO

112.46

100.64

128.39

143.71

175.68

Tax

32.71

31.93

35.46

47.41

57.98

PAT

79.75

68.71

92.93

96.30

117.71

EPS (Rs)*

8.7

7.8

10.5

10.9

13.3

* Annualised on current equity of Rs 88.36 crore.
Face Value: Rs 10 each
(P): Projections
EO: Extraordinary items
EPS is calculated after excluding
EO and relevant tax
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Database

 

Deepak Fertilizers & Petrochemicals Corporation: Result

 

 

0712 (3)

0612 (3)

Var. (%)

0712 (09)

0612 (09)

Var. (%)

0703(12)

0603 (12)

Var. (%)

Income

273.99

243.29

13

710.68

622.52

14

833.13

562.86

48

OPM (%)

16.5

16.7

 

16.3

16.6

 

17.3

18.3

 

OP

45.08

40.60

11

115.98

103.26

12

144.24

103.15

40

Other inc.

6.38

7.27

-12

31.88

23.47

36

36.30

45.76

-21

PBIDT

51.46

47.87

7

147.86

126.73

17

180.54

148.91

21

Interest

3.76

2.43

55

11.81

7.78

52

11.49

5.65

103

PBDT

47.70

45.44

5

136.05

118.95

14

169.05

143.26

18

Dep.

11.35

11.02

3

32.80

27.81

18

39.08

31.56

24

PBT before EO

36.35

34.42

6

103.25

91.14

13

129.97

111.70

16

EO

0.11

0.11

0

0.33

1.47

-78

1.58

11.06

-86

PBT after EO

36.24

34.31

6

102.92

89.67

15

128.39

100.64

28

Tax

11.27

3.91

188

35.21

11.78

199

17.31

33.87

-49

Deferred Tax

0.29

5.48

-95

-1.85

12.15

-115

17.46

-2.76

-733

FBT

0.21

0.18

17

0.63

0.51

24

0.69

0.82

-16

PAT

24.47

24.74

-1

68.93

65.23

6

92.93

68.71

35

EPS (Rs)*

11.1

11.2

 

10.4

9.8

 

10.5

7.8

 

* Annualised on current equity of Rs 88.36 crore.
Face Value: Rs 10 each
Var. (%) exceeding 999 has been truncated to 999
LP: Loss to Profit
PL: Profit to Loss
EO: Extraordinary items
EPS is calculated after excluding EO and relevant tax
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Database

 

Deepak Fertilizers & Petrochemicals Corporation: Segment result

 

 

0712 (3)

0612 (3)

% of total

Var. (%)

0712(09)

0612 (09)

% of total

Var. (%)

0703(12)

a) Chemicals

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Manufactured

172.36

132.1

 

30

453.93

319.29

 

42

467.55

Traded

39.2

33.68

 

16

65.49

76.88

 

-15

91.56

Total

211.56

165.78

75

28

519.42

396.17

71

31

559.11

b) Fertilizers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Manufactured

18.32

19.69

 

-7

34.86

58.02

 

-40

72.1

Traded

49.95

64.85

 

-23

172.74

192.07

 

-10

230.56

Total

68.27

84.54

24

-19

207.6

250.09

28

-17

302.66

c) Others

0.61

0.26

 

135

2.74

0.28

 

879

0.74

Total

280.44

250.58

 

12

729.76

646.54

 

13

862.51

Less:-Inter segment revenue

4.62

4.87

 

 

8.58

14.24

 

 

18.09

Net sales

275.82

245.71

 

 

721.18

632.3

 

 

844.42

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Segment Results

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chemicals

52.43

53.2

117

-1

130.58

134.38

111

-3

178.35

Fertilizers

-5.51

-13.5

-12

-59

-9.72

-25.66

-8

-62

-27.07

Others

-2.09

-0.77

-5

171

-2.95

-1.9

-3

55

-3.37

Total

44.83

38.93

 

15

117.91

106.82

 

10

147.91

Less:-Interest

3.76

2.43

 

 

11.81

7.78

 

 

11.49

Less:-Other unallocable exp

4.72

2.08

 

 

2.85

7.9

 

 

6.45

PBT

36.35

34.42

 

 

103.25

91.14

 

 

129.97

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capital Employed

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chemicals

533.35

451.06

49

18

533.35

451.06

49

18

471.41

Fertilizers

89.64

93.44

8

-4

89.64

93.44

8

-4

104.33

Others (including capital WIP)

210.6

155.35

19

36

210.6

155.35

19

36

162.82

Unallocated

247.39

256.9

23

-4

247.39

256.9

23

-4

286.12

Total

1080.98

956.75

 

13

1080.98

956.75

 

13

1024.68

Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Database

 

.

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Telefolio : Bata India



cid:image001.png@01C8ABBE.301AFC70

 

Bata India

Going places

The company is on an aggressive growth path on the retail front. The company's massive realestate project is also progressing well

Buy

Bata India

BSE Code

500043

NSE Code

Not listed

Bloomberg

BATA@IN

Reuter

BATA.BO

52-week High/Low

Rs 296/ Rs 136

Current Price

Rs 152 (as on 16th April 2008)

Bata India (51% subsidiary of Bata, Netherland) is the largest footwear retailer and a leader (a 35% market share) in the footwear industry in India. Over the last couple of years, the company has posted massive improvement in financials. In FY 0512 to 0712, while sales have grown at above 10% pa, OPM has more than doubled to 7%.

This improvement in performance is a result of improvement of shoe line designs leading to higher Gross Margins, Opening of many new stores and remodeling of existing stores, Reduction in cash drain stores, Reduction in wholesale credit, Introduction of franchisee model, Reduction in Receivables, Repayment of debts leading to lower financial costs, Rebuilding a strong Management Team, strengthening Team work and efficiency and Introduction of Information technology for better control.

The Wholesale Business has been focused on the top 300 Wholesalers who are willing to do business on the Company's revised commercial terms. The Company has introduced a stringent credit policy in the Wholesale business as a result of which, Wholesale Credit has dropped. Business with Wholesalers who have defaulted in paying the Company in the past has been restricted or stopped. The Wholesale Business is showing overall improvement with the introduction of exclusive/distinctive shoe lines with higher margins and by reducing the operating costs.

Consolidation of operations in Gurgaon, which is fast emerging as the Retail Capital of India, has also helped in the Company's turnaround.

The country is on the verge of another revolution - the emergence of an 'organized retail segment' also known as Modern Trade which is now already in existence in this country. The elements that will significantly influence this revolution are Supply Chain Management, Manpower Management and Real Estate. Manpower Management and best services will be the most important determinant factor for success. The Company has taken significant measures to rationalize existing manpower that includes designing specific training needs for employees, and extension of VRS. The goal is to bring down employee costs, which is exceedingly high in comparison with competitors.

Another factor that will contribute to the success of organized retail is 'Real Estate'. With traditional shops making way for departmental stores, hypermarkets and western style malls, presence in these happening places will give the much required edge over competitors. Although, the Company has a network of retail outlets spread across the country, it is opening up new outlets in these malls to further strengthen its retail network. With the old stores being renovated and refurbished in line with present needs, the Company is projecting itself as a contemporary and fashion conscious business which will create trends rather than follow it. The new and renovated stores follow international design and standards of Bata Stores worldwide.

Now the company is on an aggressive growth path and has implemented forward looking initiatives like investments in large format stores, trendy shoe collections and customer service programs. These initiatives have resulted in a healthy increase of 13% in turnover in FY 2007. Owing to the changing dynamics of the retail scenario in India and in order to stay ahead of competition, Bata has adopted an ambitious strategy of opening 70 stores every year for the next few years. The company has also introduced exclusive Hush Puppies Stores for the first time in India.

With an aim to offer more choice and in-season designs to its consumers, Bata India introduces new collections on a half-yearly basis. The consumers can choose from a plethora of brands that includes trendy international brands like Marie Claire & Weinbrenner, sporty Power & North Star, comfortable Hush Puppies, Dr. Scholls, Comfit & Ambassador.

Bata India's joint venture real estate project with Calcutta Metropolitan Group Ltd. to develop 262 acres land in Batanagar into a world class integrated township has also been progressing well. The Company is developing around 262 acres of land leased to it in Batanagar. For the purpose of developing this land a special purpose vehicle named Riverbank Holdings Pvt. Ltd. has been formed which is a 50:50 joint venture between the Company and Calcutta Metropolitan Group Limited. The estimated total investment in this Project will be around Rs.1300 crore, excluding the cost of land, school, hospital and hotel construction. The Company's proposal for setting up a Special Economic Zone (SEZ) catering to the IT Sector, which will be spread over a total area of 25 acres, with an approximate investment of Rs.333.5 crore, has been approved by the Central Government, with the full support of the Government of West Bengal. This SEZ will go a long way in making the economy of West Bengal stronger. The company has also been able to finalize with Reliance Group for their setting up a Hypermarket in the Project site. Besides residential, the Project involves the creation of an entertainment and shopping zone, and a golf course along with redevelopment of the river bank as a world- class attraction. The valuation accretion from this project will be substantial for Bata India.

In FY0712, the company's sales have increased 13% to Rs 867.48 crore, OPM rose from 5.5% to 7.1%. With not much increase in fixed costs, PBT before extraordinary items jumped 61%. The company earned EO income of Rs 17.13 crore in FY0612. Due to this growth in net profit in CY2007 moderates to 18% to RS 47.44 crore. For FY0812 we expect the company to report sales and net profit of Rs 971.58 crore and Rs 57.19 crore, giving an EPS of Rs 8.9. Current price of Rs 152 discounts the expected FY0812 EPS by 17 times. Considering the company's strong brand equity, growth prospects and the potential value creation from the realestate project, the scrip offers sound investment opportunity.

Bata India: Financials

 

 

0512 (12)

0612 (12)

0712 (12)

0812 (12P)

Sales

708.3

770.2

867.48

971.58

OPM (%)

3

5.52

7.06

8.0

OP

21.34

42.52

61.26

77.73

Other income

18.3

10.03

13.02

14.97

PBIDT

39.64

52.55

74.28

92.70

Interest

9.01

6.88

6.77

7.00

PBDT

30.63

45.67

67.51

85.70

Depreciation

12

13.62

16.01

18.41

PBT

18.63

32.05

51.5

67.29

EO

5.04

17.13

0

0.00

PBT after EO

13.59

49.18

51.5

67.29

Tax

1.1

9.03

4.06

10.09

PAT

12.49

40.15

47.44

57.19

EPS (Rs)*

2.7

4.1

7.4

8.9

* Annualized on current equity of Rs 64.26 crore.
Face Value: Rs 10
EO: Extraordinary items
EPS is calculated after excluding EO and relevant tax
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Database

 

Bata India: Results

 

 

0712 (3)

0612 (3)

Var. (%)

0712 (12)

200612 (12)

Var. (%)

Sales

233.97

210.23

11

867.48

770.2

13

OPM (%)

8.1

4.8

 

7.1

5.5

 

OP

19.02

10.09

89

61.26

42.52

44

Other income

8.2

8.63

-5

13.02

10.03

30

PBIDT

27.22

18.72

45

74.28

52.55

41

Interest

1.52

1.36

12

6.77

6.88

-2

PBDT

25.7

17.36

48

67.51

45.67

48

Depreciation

4.34

4.27

2

16.01

13.62

18

PBT

21.36

13.09

63

51.5

32.05

61

EO

0

17.13

-100

0

17.13

-100

PBT after EO

21.36

30.22

-29

51.5

49.18

5

Total Tax

0.26

7.81

-97

4.06

9.03

-55

PAT

21.1

22.41

-6

47.44

40.15

18

EPS (Rs)*

 

 

 

7.4

4.1

 

* on current equity of Rs 64.26 crore.
Face Value: Rs 10
EO: Extraordinary items
EPS is calculated after excluding EO and relevant tax
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Database

 

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Wednesday Telefolio : IDFC : Mar 12



cid:image001.png@01C8ABBD.13FEE660

 

Infrastructure Development Finance Company

In great businesses

Infrastructure financing and asset management businesses will continue to be high growth businesses

Buy

Infrastructure Development Finance Company

BSE Code

532659

NSE Code

IDFC

Bloomberg

IDFC@IN

Reuter

IDFC.BO

52-week High/Low

Rs 235 / 77

Current Price

Rs 168 (as on 12 March 2008)

Infrastructure Development Finance Company (IDFC) was established in 1997 as a private sector enterprise by a consortium of public and private investors and is a leading NBFC specialized in infrastructure finance in India. The company has a well-managed team of professionals with international and national experience from diverse professional backgrounds at the helm of affairs.

The company is on a threshold of sustained growth due to the huge growth of infrastructure lending due to heightened investments in the sector and value unlocking of its unquoted infrastructure investments.

A specialised intermediary in infrastructure financing

IDFC is positioned as a specialised intermediary in infrastructure financing, not only providing project finance but also arranging and facilitating the flow of private capital to infrastructure development by creating appropriate structures and financing vehicles for a wide range of market participants. The financial institution offers fund-based products including senior debt financing in the form of loans, debentures and securitised debt. It undertakes subordinated debt, preference capital and equity financing through proprietary investments in unlisted equity as well as public offers of infrastructure companies. It also offers non-fund-based products such as guarantees, debt syndication & advisory services on project and financial structuring.

The company's goal is to become the most profitable, most innovative, most influential and largest multi-product financier for the development of infrastructure in the country.

The company's main focus is Transport, Energy, Telecommunication and IT, and Industrial and Commercial infrastructure.

Strong relationships

Thus, IDFC's strategy has been tuned to driving both the size of the asset book as well as returns on investments. The Company strives to use its extensive domain knowledge to become a 'one-stop-shop' for infrastructure financing. In the process, IDFC has built strong relationships with the sponsors of infrastructure projects by working closely with clients - right from the pre-bidding stage to project commissioning. It's expertise and innovative ability enables the Company to continuously expand its range of products, and to participate in the more profitable parts of the capital structure of any infrastructure project like debt syndication, structured financing and equity participation.

The company's established relationship with the central government (which holds around 20% equity stake) gives it access to decision makers, which will help in playing a significant role in the direction of infrastructure policy in the country and keep a few steps ahead of competition (mainly from banks). In fact banks are tying up with IDFC to identify, assess and finance infrastructure projects.

Excellent year-to-date financial performance

For the quarter ended Dec'07, IDFC's consolidated total income surged 91% to Rs 766.70 crore. Income from operation increased by 90% to Rs 763.39 crore, while other income stood at Rs 3.31 crore against Rs 0.04 crore. However interest expense increased 73% to Rs 396.04 crore. Also other operating expenses including staff cost zoomed by 246% to Rs 62.93 crore respectively. These left the operating profit growth at 98% amounting to Rs 307.73 crore.

Provisions & contingencies advanced by 69% to Rs 7.30 crore and depreciation rose 21% to Rs 1.34 crore. This doubled the PBT to Rs 299.09 crore. After accounting for 189% increase in tax provision at Rs 77.42 crore, the PAT (before profit of Associates and adjustment for Minority Interest) stood at Rs 221.67 crore, up by 80%. Share of profit of Associates turned loss at Rs 0.15 crore compared to profit of Rs 2.15 crore and Minority interest stood at Rs 4.24 crore. Finally, PAT after minority interest stood at Rs 217.28 crore, up 74%.

For nine months ended Dec'07, Income from operations increased by 77% to Rs 2028.10 crore. Operating profit grew by 65% to Rs 835.22 crore on account 76% increase in Interest expense at Rs 1037.78 crore and whopping 225% increase in other expenses at Rs 160.11 crore. After accounting for Rs 30.06 crore provisions and contingencies (against Rs 1.58 crore) and Rs 3.79 crore of depreciation (up by 19%), PBT stood at Rs 801.37 crore, up 60%. Provision for tax increased 104% to Rs 197.70 crore leading the PAT before minority interest to advance by 50% to Rs 603.67 crore. After accounting for Rs 0.35 crore of Share of profit of Associates and Rs 11.28 crore of minority interest, PAT after minority interest increased by 44% to Rs 592.74 crore.

Developments during the quarter

During the nine months ended Dec'07 the Company has increased its equity interest from 33.33% to 79.80% in IDFC – SSKI securities private limited (formerly S. S. Kantilal Ishwarlal Securities Private Limited), a domestic mid-size investment bank based in Mumbai, consequent to which it has become a subsidiary company.

During the nine months ended Dec'07 the Company issued 3016583 equity shares of Rs. 10 each pursuant to exercise of stock options by certain employees under the employee stock option scheme.

The company has allotted 16,53,54,330 equity shares of Rs. 10 each at a premium of Rs. 117 per share on 11th July, 2007 pursuant to a Qualified Institutions Placement under Chapter XIII-A of Securities and Exchange Board of India (Disclosure and Investor Protection) Guidelines, 2000. Share issue expenses amounting to Rs. 23.03 crore have been adjusted against the Securities Premium Account in terms of Section 78 of the Companies Act, 1956.

In respect of 25,40,827 equity shares issued pursuant to the employee stock option scheme, the Company paid dividend of Re. 1 per share for the year 2006-07 during the half year ended 30th September, 2007 as approved by the shareholders at the Annual General Meeting held on 28th June, 2007.

Asset Management business has tremendous growth potential

IDFC is actively engaged in mobilising and managing third party funds for long-term equity investments in infrastructure. Though IDFC Private Equity Company Limited ('IDFC Private Equity'), a wholly owned subsidiary of IDFC, aims to secure attractive returns by providing equity-based risk capital to early stage and rapidly growing infrastructure focused companies. It is the investment manager of two funds - the India Development Fund (IDF-I) and the India Development Fund- II (IDF-II).

IDFC currently has $670mn FUM under private equity. One fund of $220mn is already fully deployed. Of the next proposed fund of $450mn, 35% is already committed, and 65-70% should be committed by June 2008. IDFC at that point in time intends to start talking to investors about a third fund of around $750mn. These funds typically run on the 2:20 structure common for hedge funds. Investments by definition are made into early-stage projects and typically the exit is through public markets.

The company's first foray into project equity is a $1bn fund in collaboration with Citigroup and Blackstone. The closure of the first tranche should happen very soon from now, and the fund is expected to be fully committed by June 2008. The aim is to have $3bn in FUM by June 2010. Investment is in later stage, mostly stable cash flow projects. The funds themselves will be listed – this has been a very successful model in Australia. Similar to private equity,this also earns fees and carry for IDFC's fund management arm, although lower than privateequity as the investment risks are correspondingly lower.

The company's tie-up with Citigroup, Blackstone and India Infrastructure Finance Company (IIFCL) for deploying US$5 bn into infrastructure projects in India has significantly improved the visibility for fee income streams. Out of total expected funds of US$5 bn, the equity component of US$2 bn will be managed by IDFC and the debt component of US$3 bn (to be raised by IIFCL) is being appraised by IDFC.

Recently the company has also acquired Standard Chartered Asset Management Company Pvt Ltd (SCAMC) and Standard Chartered Trustee Company Pvt Ltd (SCTCPL). SCAMC and SCTCPL represent the mutual fund business of Standard Chartered PLC in India. This will open up a new growth avenue for its non-fund-based income.

Investments in non-listed entities also offers good upside

IDFC has certain good strategic investments, which provides additional upside. It has 3,690,847 shares of NSE bought at Rs 92 crore, which should be worth much more. It now controls 79.80% in SSKI. SSKI is a privately held domestic corporate finance and institutional securities company based in Mumbai. Through this investment, IDFC and SSKI propose to work together by pooling their relationships and expertise to provide investment banking and capital markets solutions especially to infrastructure clients.

Will continue to attract rich valuations

In FY 2008, we expect the company to register total income of Rs 2771.74 crore and net profit of Rs 737.12 crore. On fully diluted equity of Rs 1294.30 crore and face value of Rs 10 per share, EPS works out to Rs 5.7. This is expected to rise to Rs 7.5 in FY 2009. The share price trades at Rs 168. While the P/E on FY 2008 EPS is 29, it falls to 22.4 on FY 2009 EPS. IDFC's FY 2009 book value is expected to cross Rs 50 levels, which is discounted 3.3 times by the current price.

IDFC is an early-cycle play on Indian infrastructure, just as Indian private-sector banks were early-cycle plays on Indian retail banking in the late 1990s or early 2000s. Just as banks like HDFC had always been looking expensive but still gave phenomenal returns in the past due to their ability to capitalise on the tremendous opportunity in retail banking, IDFC is well placed to make most of the infrastructure opportunity unfolding in India (US$ 475 billion to be invested in the next 5 years).

Infrastructure Development Finance Company: Consolidated Financials

 

 

0503(12)

0603(12)

0603(12)

0703(12)

0803 (12P)

0903 (12P)

Inc. from operations

733.05

1034.69

1034.69

1566.06

2757.65

3860.70

Other Income

9.02

2.09

2.09

5.23

14.09

19.73

Total Income

742.07

1036.78

1036.78

1571.29

2771.74

3880.43

Interest expenses

311.91

500.79

500.79

855.46

1490.05

2086.07

Other expenses

30.67

50.76

50.76

77.72

224.11

358.58

Operating Profit

399.49

485.23

485.23

638.11

1057.58

1435.79

Provision and Cont.

64.82

38.75

38.75

17.5

54.74

87.58

Depreciation

4.00

3.86

3.86

4.42

5.29

6.40

PBT

330.67

442.62

442.62

616.19

997.55

1341.81

Tax provision

21.32

51.69

51.69

124.1

246.75

348.87

PAT before minority interest

309.35

390.93

390.93

492.09

750.81

992.94

Add: share of profit of associate

-0.04

0.00

0

11.83

1.35

2.00

Less: share of profit in minority interest

0.00

0.17

0.17

0

15.04

22.56

PAT

309.31

390.76

390.76

503.92

737.12

972.38

EPS*(Rs)

2.8

3.0

3.0

3.9

5.7

7.5

* Annualized on current equity of Rs 1294.30 crore.
(P): Projections
Face Value: Rs 10
Figures in Rs crore
LP: Loss to profit; PL: Profit to loss
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

Infrastructure Development Finance Company: Consolidated results

 

 

0712(3)

0612(3)

Var. (%)

0712(9)

0612(9)

Var. (%)

0703(12)

0603(12)

Var. (%)

Inc. from operations

763.39

402.26

90

2028.1

1142.89

77

1566.06

1034.69

51

Other Income

3.31

0.04

999

5.01

0.69

626

5.23

2.09

150

Total Income

766.7

402.3

91

2033.11

1143.58

78

1571.29

1036.78

52

Interest expenses

396.04

229.05

73

1037.78

589.42

76

855.46

500.79

71

Other expenses

62.93

18.17

246

160.11

49.33

225

77.72

50.76

53

Operating Profit

307.73

155.08

98

835.22

504.83

65

638.11

485.23

32

Provision and Cont.

7.3

4.33

69

30.06

1.58

999

17.5

38.75

-55

Depreciation

1.34

1.11

21

3.79

3.19

19

4.42

3.86

15

PBT

299.09

149.64

100

801.37

500.06

60

616.19

442.62

39

Tax provision

77.42

26.8

189

197.7

97

104

124.1

51.69

140

PAT before minority interest

221.67

122.84

80

603.67

403.06

50

492.09

390.93

26

Add: share of profit of associate

-0.15

2.15

999

0.35

7.89

-96

11.83

0

999

Less: share of profit in minority interest

4.24

0

999

11.28

0

999

0

0.17

999

PAT

217.28

124.99

74

592.74

410.95

44

503.92

390.76

29

EPS*(Rs)

6.7

3.9

 

6.1

4.2

 

3.9

3.0

 

* Annualized on current equity of Rs 1294.30 crore.
Face Value: Rs 10
Figures in Rs crore
LP: Loss to profit; PL: Profit to loss
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

 

 
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Telefolio : Crompton Greaves


cid:image001.png@01C8ABBE.41F06A70

 

Crompton Greaves

Growing well

The company remains well-placed to capitalise on opportunities thrown up by growth in power, industrial and consumer electrical industries

Buy

Crompton Greaves

BSE Code

500093

NSE Code

CROMPGREAV

Bloomberg

CRG@IN

Reuter

CROM.BO

52-week High/Low

Rs 454/ Rs 208

Current Price

Rs 267 (as on 23rd April 2008)


Crompton Greaves a BM Thapar Group Company is mainly engaged in the manufacture, distribution and sale of electrical and electronic equipment/ systems for power, industry and consumer segments.

The company is organized into three business groups viz. Power Systems, Industrial Systems, Consumer Products. Nearly, two-thirds of it's turnover accrues from products lines in which it enjoys a leadership position. Presently, the company is offering wide range of products such as power & industrial transformers, HT circuit breakers, LT & HT motors, DC motors, traction motors, alternators/ generators, railway signaling equipments, lighting products, fans, pumps and public switching, transmission and access products. In addition to offering broad range of products, the company undertakes turnkey projects from concept to commissioning. Apart from this, CG exports it's products to more than 60 countries worldwide, which includes the emerging South-East Asian and Latin American markets.

Thus, the company addresses all the segments of the power industry from complex industrial solutions to basic household requirements.

In Power Systems business, Crompton Greaves is one of the largest power T&D equipment manufacturers and the largest transformer manufacturer in India. With the acquisition of Pauwels and Ganz, CGL has achieved a global footprint. The acquisitions have also helped the company to have a presence across the value chain of T&D equipment and services. Today, it is one of the few manufacturers in the country to have access to 765 KV transformer technologies. Hence, it has capability to compete with large companies such as ABB and Areva for a share of incremental investment in T&D sector, which will come largely in high-voltage products. CGL also provides turnkey project execution and retrofitting services.

In the Industrial Systems business, Crompton Greaves is one of the largest manufacturers of industrial motors in the country. Demand for industrial equipment such as motors usually follows industrial capex trends.

In Consumer Products, it manufactures household electrical appliances, such as fans, electric bulbs and pumps. The industry growth is directly linked to GDP growth. With the increase in disposable incomes and a move towards organized housing, the company will gain market share from unorganized and smaller players.

Its business operations consist of 22 manufacturing divisions spread across in Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Madhya Pradesh and Karnataka, supported by well knitted marketing and service network through 14 branches in various states under overall management of four regional sales offices located in Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai and Chennai. The company has a large customer base, which includes State Electricity Boards, Government bodies and large companies in private and public sectors.

Impressive December 2007 quarter results

Standalone sales grew by 13% to Rs 915.17 crore for the quarter with revenues from the Power systems growing by 13% to Rs 473.14 crore (or 47% of sales). Sale of Consumer Products division was higher by 15% to Rs 260.26 crore (or 26% of the total sales). And revenues from Industrial Products was higher by 14% to Rs 263.39 crore (or 26% of total sales). Others were down by 35% to Rs 8.91 crore (or 1% of total sales).

PBIT margin of power systems was higher by 250 basis points to 12.4% given the cushion of price variation clause as far as the supplies to SEBs / Utilities. PBIT margin of industrial systems expanded by 400 basis points to 18.3% with the company scaling up value engineering there by improving the realization and cutting down the material cost as proportion to sales value. Equally the PBIT margin of highly competitive Consumer Products division too improved by 110 basis points to 9.8%.

The company that went on acquisition spree have integrated the business globally and reaping the benefits. This together with pick and choose of orders in the power segment in domestic market and value engineering the company managed to improve the margin handsomely overriding the impact rupee appreciation. Operating profit margin increased by 260 basis points to 12.7%. Material cost as proportion to sales net of stocks was lower by 440 bps to 55.7%. Though the staff cost was flat at 5.0% and other cost up by 110 bps to 12.6%, that could not fully offset the gain in material cost thus allowing the OPM to expand by 260 bps.

At operating level, all segments except others have done well on the back of sharp improvement in margin over a decent sales growth. While segment profit of power systems was higher by 42% to Rs 58.85 crore (or 45% of PBIT) that of Industrial systems was up by 46% to Rs 48.23 crore (or 37% of PBIT) riding on higher sales and expanded margin. Similarly the segment profit of consumer durable was up by 29% to Rs 25.47 crore (or 20% of total PBIT). The others segment continues to be in red with its segment loss put at Rs 3.17 crore as against a loss of Rs 1.11 crore in the corresponding previous quarter.

Spurred by forex gain and lease rentals the other income doubled to Rs 14.44 crore. And with interest cost lower by 8% (to Rs 7.15 crore) and depreciation cost higher by just 15% (to Rs 11.50 crore), the PBT before EO was higher by 57% to Rs 111.74 crore. Extraordinary expenses during the quarter as well as corresponding previous quarter were nil.

Taxation including deferred tax and FBT was higher by 70% to Rs 43.84 crore in absolute terms and the tax incidence was higher at 39.2% compared to 36.3% in the corresponding previous period. Limited thus the growth at net-profit level was 49% to Rs 67.90 crore.

Standalone sales for the nine month ended Dec '07 were higher by 14% to Rs 2716.23 crore. Operating profit was higher by 44% to Rs 327.24 crore with OPM improving to 12% from 9.6%. With gains at sales and operating level being backed by 50% growth in other income and lower interest cost the PBT was higher by 59% to Rs 319.82 crore. After accounting for taxation of Rs 108.97 crore (up 39%) the net profit eventually closed higher by 72% to Rs 210.85 crore.

For the nine month ended December 2007, sales of power systems have increased by 14% to Rs 1356.94 crore (or 45% of total sales) and its segment profit was higher by 53% to Rs 162.93 crore (or 43% of total PBIT). Segment sales of Consumer product were higher by 14% to Rs 814.64 crore and segment profit was higher by 31% to Rs 83.78 crore (22% of total PBIT). Similarly the segment sales of Industrial systems were higher by 19% to Rs 772.44 crore and segment profit was higher by 55% to Rs 139.76 crore.

Consolidated figures are much higher

Against the standalone revenues and PAT of Rs 915.17 crore and Rs 67.90 crore respectively, on consolidated basis, the company has registered revenues of Rs 1713.51 crore and PAT of Rs 82.71 crore respectively for the quarter ended December 2007

The company has four Indian subsidiaries viz CG Motors Private Limited (CGM), CG Capital & Investments Limited (CG Capital), CG-PPI Adhesive Products Limited (CG PPI) and Malanpur Captive Power Limited (MCPL). CGM, CG Capital and MCPL are subsidiaries of the Company, and CG PPI, being a subsidiary of CG Capital, in terms of the provisions of the Companies Act, 1956, is also the company's subsidiary. The Netherlands-based CG International B.V., a 100% subsidiary of the company, is the ultimate holding company of the Pauwels and Ganz Group, comprising 15 downstream subsidiaries. In totality, the company has 20 subsidiaries, 4 Indian and 16 foreign.

Encouraging business environment for all its business divisions

Increase in generation capacities has necessitated increase in transformer capacities. The Government of India (GoI) has set a goal of "Power for All" by FY12E. Investments in infrastructure, particularly in the power generation, and transmission & distribution (T&D) segments, are estimated to be at Rs 1400 billion for T&D alone in the XIth Plan (FY07-FY12). Transformers & switchgears are the key constituents for T&D. Every 1 MW of generation capacity added, entails an additional 7 MVA of transformer capacity to be added. India is set to commission 69,000 MW of generation capacity in the next 5-6 years, entailing an estimated 483,000 MVA of capacity requirement. Going forward, this is expected to create a huge demand for transformers.

This apart, replacement will drive the second round of demand for transformers. Old and outdated transformers are being used by utilities leading to huge T&D losses. Immediate replacement is the need of the hour and the government has been emphasizing on this through programmes like APDRP. Average life of a power transformer is about 25 years and that of a distribution transformer is 15-20 years. This should generate a replacement demand to the tune of 25,000 to 30,000 MVA p.a. in the next 4-5 years

Large industrial capex good for its industrial motors business

The company is also a major player in industrial motors. It manufactures both high tension (HT) and low tension (LT) motors. This segment is expected to grow robustly since there will be large industrial capex in India for the next few years. CGL's consumer products division, which manufactures products such as household fans and pumps, should also reap benefits of high GDP growth.

Reaping benefits of past acquisitions

Crompton Greaves enjoys superior brand equity in the domestic markets. However, its products were not as widely accepted internationally. The company is now spreading its footprint across the globe with certain key acquisitions that have strong brand equity. Thereby the company has diversified its customer base and reduced its heavy dependence on the domestic market that had proved to be nemesis during FY 1999 to FY 2001.

Crompton Greaves' acquisitions (Pauwel, Ganz and Microsol), have given it the much-required brand name in the overseas market, access to superior technology and automation products, thus providing unique synergies to become a global T&D player.

In May 2005, Crompton Greaves acquired the Belgium-based loss-making Pauwel group that has five manufacturing facilities in three continents at an EV of Rs 191.4 crore. Since then Pauwel has turned around, partly due to superior European replacement demand and partly due to CGL's better management.

Pauwel group has manufacturing facilities in Belgium, Ireland, Canada, USA and Indonesia and well spread distribution network across the globe. The acquisition catapulted Crompton Greaves amongst top ten transformer manufacturers in the world.

Apart from strengthening it's foothold in the Indian market, Crompton Greaves' acquisition of the Pauwels Group and it's transformer manufacturing facilities in five countries is expected to provide a significant impetus to the company's international presence.

The additional turnover of approximately Rs 1380 crore of Pauwels Group for it's last financial year is expected to increase Crompton Greaves' International business to around 50% of it's turnover, making the company a force to reckon with, in the international market.

Apart from improving its geographical reach, the acquisition has given Crompton Greaves a new clientele to whom it can cross-sell its other products, and use its superior project management skills to position itself as a total solutions provider.

Crompton Greaves also successfully acquired Hungarian based Ganz (GTV) on 17th October, 2006. Ganz has added Gas Insulated Switchgears (GIS), Rotating Machines, and the supporting areas of design, erection, and commissioning to CGL's portfolio of products. This step makes high-end technology in switchgears required in EHV systems available to Crompton Greaves. Ganz Translator Villamossagi Zrt (GTV) and Transverticum kft (TV) located in Hungary, have been acquired at an EV of Rs 203 crore. TV is a subsidiary of GTV.

Crompton Greaves expects to ramp capacity utilization at Ganz by executing incremental orders of Pauwels, using Ganz's facilities.

Crompton Greaves has 18 Foreign Subsidiaries resulting from Pauwels and Ganz Acquisition.

Pauwels and Ganz to benefit from the International replacement demand for transformers

International replacement demand for transformers has also helped in the transformation of Pauwels: The North American grid failure of 2005 caused a virtual blackout in USA & Canada, due to power transformer failure. A majority of transformers had been installed 20 - 40 years ago (transformers usually have a life span of 25 years). This has caused a sudden spurt in replacement demand for transformers apart from increased stress on integration of networks.

This market is expected to grow by 15-17% CAGR over the next three years, as against 3-5% CAGR growth for the last decade. Crompton Greaves, along with its acquisitions (Pauwels and Ganz), caters to the European, North American and Australian markets.

Acquisition Microsol would place CGL to a superior trajectory

Microsol acquisition would increase Crompton Greaves' strengths in the area of high-end engineering and sub-station automation capabilities. Crompton Greaves will now move towards being a solutions provider from a product based company and market the same all over the world. The acquisition was done at an EV of Rs 57.8 crore.

Will likely acquire more businesses going forward

Crompton Greaves may opt for more acquisitions, especially in the industrial drives and relay automation segment, to expand its geographical reach as well as acquire further high-end technology. The move is well supported by its strong balance sheet and positive cash flows.

Acquisitions to further improve operating margin going forward

In FY 2006, Crompton Greaves' operating margin was adversely affected because of its acquisition of Pauwel, a loss making entity. However, Crompton Greaves has managed to turnaround the financial health of Pauwel.

With increasing synergies among Crompton Greaves, Pauwel and Ganz expected to fully factor in by FY09E, the operating margin are bound to improve from the current levels. Also, its acquisition of Microsol would enable the company to foray into high-end solution projects, which yield superior margins.

Acquisitions take the company to the elite big league

Crompton Greaves' acquisitions over the past two years have put the company in the league of large multinational companies such as ABB and Siemens, at least in terms of product portfolio. Apart from high-voltage direct current (HVDC) technology, Crompton Greaves now has access to a full suite of T&D products and services. This will help the company to tap large opportunities in high- and ultra-high voltage segments. Besides addressing the Indian market, CGL is well positioned to access the European and North American markets.

With the acquisition of Pauwels and Ganz, the company has the technology and resources to access these highly competitive markets. An ageing grid and stress on renewable energy has fuelled replacement demand in the European and North American markets. The size of these markets gives ample opportunity to Crompton Greaves to gain significant revenue from them. Pauwels, Ganz, and Microsol will help the company to address these markets.

Buoyant outlook

Strong investment splurge in the power sector along with strategic investment made by the company in technology and capacity to power strong growth momentum for Crompton Greaves going forward. Crompton Greaves continues to expand its product offering and moving up the value chain with both organic and inorganic route. The acquisition of Pauwels and Ganz while filled the product gap for the company apart from providing ready marketing and production footprints for access to European market, the recent acquisition of Microsol have resulted in the company turning fully integrated in the T&D value chain. Having filled the product gap and mustering presence across the value chain the company now turned its focus on improving profitability with right strategies to improve the utilization of resources at hand. On the competitive consumer products market of Fans, Luminaries etc the company is building strong brand recallability and reputation to sustain growth momentum along with right strategies of outsourcing and manufacturing. The new plant for Fans at Himachal Pradesh would bring in better volumes along with tax concessions for the division.

As demand preferences shift from a products to a solutions domain, the company has built capabilities to fulfill customer expectations with integrated solutions that combine information systems, people and processes, in contrast to its earlier emphasis, which was more product oriented.

The integration of the acquired companies has now entered more intricate arenas of information systems, organizational structure and governance. The company has already restructured its transformer, switchgear and engineering projects businesses of Crompton Greaves in India, and the power product and solution portfolios of Pauwels and Ganz into a new SBU-`CG Power', which will be the unified face for its 'Transmission and Distribution' business worldwide; this new SBU is expected to further realise benefits of co-ordinated sourcing, marketing and greater value extraction from larger scale synchronized operations in the long run. Though not as large as Power Systems, the company is steadfastly supported in its spirited journey of growth by a stable and profitable Industrial Systems business, and a low cost, high cash flow oriented Consumer Products business. With a unique combination of these three businesses, the company is well poised to capitalize on future global growth opportunities.

Valuation

In FY 2008, we expect the company to register standalone sales and net profit of Rs 3844.82 crore and Rs 302.01 crore respectively. On equity of Rs 73.31 crore and face value of Rs 2 per share, EPS works out to Rs 8.2. Consolidated EPS works out to Rs 10.1. In FY 2009, standalone and consolidated EPS are expected to rise to Rs 10.6 and Rs 12.8 respectively. The share price trades at Rs 267. P/E on FY 2009 consolidated EPS works out to 20.9.

Crompton Greaves: Financials

 

 

0403(12)

0503 (12)

0603 (12)

0703 (12)

0803 (12P)

0903 (12P)

Sales

1861.05

1972.51

2520.59

3367.61

3844.82

4536.89

OPM (%)

7.5

8.3

9.8

10.2

12.3

13.0

OP

139.37

163.51

247.88

341.83

473.96

591.61

Other inc.

27.02

21.44

32.74

34.88

60.18

72.21

PBIDT

166.39

184.95

280.62

376.71

534.13

663.82

Interest

38.48

23.08

26.37

30.35

29.18

27.72

PBDT

127.91

161.87

254.25

346.36

504.96

636.11

Dep.

44.22

42.09

44.18

39.36

46.60

54.06

PBT before EO

83.69

119.78

210.07

307.00

458.36

582.05

EO

5.83

5.03

-15.27

0.00

0.00

0.00

PBT after EO

89.52

124.81

194.80

307.00

458.36

582.05

Tax

18.69

10.03

31.75

114.63

156.35

192.08

PAT

70.83

114.78

163.05

192.37

302.01

389.97

EPS (Rs)*

2.5

4.2

4.8

5.2

8.2

10.6

Cons. EPS (Rs)*

N.A

N.A

6.4

7.7

10.1

12.8

* EPS is on current equity of Rs 73.31 crore,
Cons. EPS: Consolidated EPS
Face value of Rs 2
(P): Projections
# EPS is not annualised due to seasonality of business
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

Crompton Greaves: Consolidated Results

 

 

0712 (03)*

0712 (9)*

0703 (12)

0603 (12)

Var.(%)

Sales

1713.51

4811.65

5639.56

4126.51

37

OPM (%)

10.9

9.7

8.6

8.2

 

OP

186.36

468.37

482.68

339.52

42

Other inc.

8.15

58.91

105.28

59.23

78

PBIDT

194.51

527.28

587.96

398.75

47

Interest

18.86

50.57

56.58

35.95

57

PBDT

175.65

476.71

531.38

362.8

46

Dep.

39.64

95.83

95.42

76.23

25

PBT before EO

136.01

380.88

435.96

286.57

52

EO

0

0

0

-9.25

-100

PBT after EO

136.01

380.88

435.96

277.32

57

Current Tax

43.12

115.39

115.51

32

261

Deferred Tax

8.83

0.19

33.95

13.29

155

PAT

84.06

265.3

286.5

232.03

23

Share of assoc co / minority int

-1.35

-1.75

-4.76

0.92

-617

PAT after minority interest

82.71

263.55

281.74

232.95

21

EPS (Rs)**

#

#

7.8

6.5

 

** EPS is on dilluted equity of Rs 73.31 crore,
Face value of Rs 2
# EPS is not annualised due to seasonality of business
* No corresponding previous period figure
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Database

 

Crompton Greaves: Consolidated segment results  

 

Sales

0712 (03)*

% to total

0712 (9)*

% to total

0703 (12)

% to total

Power Systems

1248.01

69

3390.85

67

3989.6

67

Consumer Products

260.26

14

814.64

16

1008.49

17

Industrial Systems

274.6

15

801.53

16

897.14

15

Others

21.7

1

82.01

2

65.2

1

Total

1804.57

100

5089.03

100

5960.43

100

Less Inter seg revenue

5.78

 

20.18

 

26.39

 

Net sales

1798.79

 

5068.85

 

5934.04

 

PBIT

 

 

 

 

 

 

Power Systems

96.49

57

259.35

54

327.2

57

Consumer Products

25.47

15

83.78

17

98.26

17

Industrial Systems

48.53

29

140.56

29

130.24

23

Others

-1.54

-1

-1.23

0

13.49

2

PBIT

168.95

100

482.46

100

569.19

100

Less: Interest

18.86

 

50.57

 

56.58

 

Add: Other unallocable inc

14.08

 

51.01

 

76.65

 

PBT

136.01

 

380.88

 

435.96

 

Capital Employed

 

 

 

 

 

 

Power Systems

1326.54

66

1326.54

66

1230.48

66

Consumer Products

68.21

3

68.21

3

87.99

5

Industrial Systems

149.87

7

149.87

7

195.43

11

Others (incl unallocable)

454.13

23

454.13

23

346

19

Total CE

1998.75

100

1998.75

100

1859.9

100

Figures in Rs crore
Var. (%) exceeding 999 has been truncated to 999
LP: Loss to Profit;
PL: Profit to Loss
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

Crompton Greaves: Standalone results

 

 

0712 (3)

0612 (3)

Var. (%)

0712 (9)

0612 (9)

Var. (%)

0703 (12)

0603 (12)

Var.(%)

Sales

915.17

813.04

13

2716.23

2377.62

14

3367.61

2520.59

34

OPM (%)

12.7

10.1

 

12

9.6

 

10.2

9.8

 

OP

115.95

81.77

42

327.24

227.50

44

341.83

247.88

38

Other inc.

14.44

7.23

100

45.57

21.60

111

34.88

32.74

7

PBIDT

130.39

89.00

47

372.81

249.10

50

376.71

280.62

34

Interest

7.15

7.77

-8

19.70

20.27

-3

30.35

26.37

15

PBDT

123.24

81.23

52

353.11

228.83

54

346.36

254.25

36

Dep.

11.50

9.98

15

33.29

28.08

19

39.36

44.18

-11

PBT before EO

111.74

71.25

57

319.82

200.75

59

307.00

210.07

46

EO

0.00

0.00

 

0.00

0.00

 

0.00

-15.27

-100

PBT after EO

111.74

71.25

57

319.82

200.75

59

307.00

194.80

58

Current Tax

35.97

20.20

78

94.25

57.67

63

88.15

20.65

327

Deferred Tax

7.87

5.63

40

14.72

20.63

-29

26.48

11.10

139

PAT

67.90

45.42

49

210.85

122.45

72

192.37

163.05

18

EPS (Rs)*

#

#

 

#

#

 

5.2

4.8

 

* EPS is on current equity of Rs 73.31 crore,
Face value of Rs 2
# EPS is not annualised due to seasonality of business
Figures in Rs crore
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

Crompton Greaves: Segment Results  

 

Sales

0712 (3)

0612 (3)

Var. (%)

% to total

0712 (9)

0612 (9)

Var. (%)

% to total

0703 (12)

0603 (12)

Var. (%)

% to total

Power Systems

473.14

418.22

13

47

1356.94

1190.90

14

45

1741.20

1216.84

43

47

Consumer Products

260.26

226.32

15

26

814.64

717.38

14

27

994.04

817.09

22

27

Industrial Systems

263.39

231.05

14

26

772.44

646.64

19

26

887.40

685.56

29

24

Others

8.91

13.65

-35

1

47.86

48.78

-2

2

63.73

37.94

68

2

Total

1005.70

889.24

13

100

2991.88

2603.70

15

100

3686.37

2757.43

34

100

Less Inter segment revenue

5.78

6.07

 

 

20.18

20.89

 

 

26.39

18.85

 

 

Net sales

999.92

883.17

 

 

2971.70

2582.81

 

 

3659.98

2738.58

 

 

PBIT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Power Systems

58.85

41.35

42

45

162.93

106.60

53

43

183.49

107.84

70

46

Consumer Products

25.47

19.77

29

20

83.78

64.03

31

22

95.46

77.71

23

24

Industrial Systems

48.23

32.95

46

37

139.76

90.17

55

37

130.37

93.01

40

32

Others

-3.17

-1.11

186

-2

-5.53

-2.07

167

-1

-7.97

-7.98

0

-2

PBT before tax and interest

129.38

92.96

39

100

380.94

258.73

47

100

401.35

270.58

48

100

Less: Interest

7.15

7.77

 

 

19.70

20.27

 

 

30.35

26.37

 

 

Add: Other unallocable income

10.49

13.94

 

 

41.42

37.71

 

 

64.00

49.41

 

 

PBT

111.74

71.25

 

 

319.82

200.75

 

 

307.00

194.80

 

 

Capital Employed

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Power Systems

441.40

377.83

17

41

441.40

377.83

17

41

423.26

309.52

37

43

Consumer Products

68.21

53.88

27

6

68.21

53.88

27

6

77.56

47.26

64

8

Industrial Systems

157.52

157.83

0

15

157.52

157.83

0

15

159.25

165.15

-4

16

Others (including unallocable)

397.67

339.17

17

37

397.67

339.17

17

37

321.84

275.31

17

33

Total CE

1064.80

928.71

15

100

1064.80

928.71

15

100

981.91

797.24

23

100

Figures in Rs crore
Var. (%) exceeding 999 has been truncated to 999
LP: Loss to Profit;
PL: Profit to Loss
Source: Capitaline Corporate Databases

 

__._,_.___
.

__,_._,___

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