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Friday, May 23, 2008

Inflation 7.82% Vs 7.83%



India's wholesale price index rose 7.82 percent in the 12 months to
May 10, holding near the previous week's annual rise of 7.83 percent,
government data showed on Friday.

The rate was slightly above a median forecast of 7.77 percent in a
Reuters poll of analysts.

Inflation for the week ended March 15 was revised sharply upwards to
8.02 percent from 6.68 percent.

The annual inflation rate was 5.62 percent during the corresponding
week of the previous year.

The wholesale price index is more closely watched than the consumer
price index, which is published monthly, because it covers a higher
number of products and is published weekly.


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Top stories on kences1 at 12PM



Top stories on kences1 at 12PM
  Friday, May 23

* India May 10 WPI inflation rate 7.82% vs 7.83% week ago.
* Cabinet clears farm debt relief package; to cost 717 bln rupees.
* Govt to decide on relief package for state-run oil cos in 3-4 days.
* Spice Comm to invest $200-300 mln in Punjab, Karnataka circles FY09.
* Reliance Communications net added 1.62 mln subscribers in Apr.
* Era Infra gets 320-mln-rupee order from Sahara India Commercial.
* Mercator Lines gets delivery of one dredger.
* HSBC MF's 370-day debt plan to open Tue; NFO to end Jun 9.
* India's wheat procurement hits all-time record at 20.71 mln tn.
* Farm minister says to meet PM shortly on commodity transaction tax.
* State govt invites bids to sell 100% stake in UP State Sugar Corp.
* India's crude oil basket at new high of $129.08/bbl Thu, up $3.8
 
 
 

Mundra Port-Buy says Edel with a PO of Rs 1331

 
Mundra Port-Buy says Edel with a PO of Rs 1331

 
Mundra Port & SEZ-Buy
PO: Rs 1331 says Edelweiss
 
Strong growth momentum in Indian port traffic likely to continue
 
With Indian merchandise export and import registering healthy double digit growth, the country's port traffic has grown at a CAGR of 8.7%, touching 650 mn tonnes in 2006-07. This growth momentum is expected to continue and the traffic is expected to reach 1,009 mn tonnes (at CAGR of 9.2%) over 2011-12E. Considering the massive infrastructure rollout in the country, the port capacity is expected to keep pace with the rising traffic.
 
National Maritime Development Programme to create strong infrastructure
 
To keep pace with the growing potential of cargo traffic, the Government of India (GoI) had undertaken an ambitious capacity expansion plan (outlay of INR 558 bn till FY14) under the National Maritime Development Programme (NMDP) 2005. The total capacity of all ports is expected to increase 2.14x from 736.9 mn tonnes to 1.5 bn tonnes by 2011-12E.
 
Major ports set success benchmark for minor ones
 
Major Indian ports enjoy logistical advantages of proximity to industrial belts and export destinations, which allows their cargo composition being skewed in favour of a particular commodity. The business model of these major ports is so well-established in terms of the traffic flow that one can practically gauge the viability of a minor port in their vicinity. 
 
Strong margins and cash flows make investment in ports lucrative  
 
Port operation is highly capital intensive with fixed assets accounting for ~40% of the total assets. These disadvantages are however mitigated, to a large extent, by extremely low working capital requirements of this business. All major ports are expected to generate positive cash flows in each year of projection, going forward. Further, cash from operating activities, including changes in working capital as a percent of net profit for each of the projected years, is more than 100%. With strong margins and positive cash flows, we believe investment in ports is highly lucrative.
 
Business models of ports highly profitable
 
The business model for ports provides multiple revenue streams for the terminal operator. With consistent growth in port traffic, revenues for all major ports are expected to increase from INR 54.4 bn in 2007-08 to INR 81.1 bn in 2011-12E at a CAGR of 9%.
 
 EBITDA margins for all major ports, put together, are expected to rise steadily from 32% in 2007-08 to 49% in 2011-12E. Net profit for all major ports is expected to increase from INR 14.9 bn in 2007-08 to INR 31.1 bn in 2011-12 at a CAGR of 20%; net profit margin is expected to improve from 27% in 2007-08 to 38% in 2011-12E.
 
As a play on port infrastructure development, we prefer Mundra Port and SEZ (MPSEZ) in the sector, given its first mover-advantage, and hence, scalable business model, diversification of cargo category, and integration into allied services like SEZ and container train. Our sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation for MPSEZ stands at INR 1,331 and we maintain 'BUY' recommendation on it.


 

Equities seen higher on positive global cues; inflation eyed


MUMBAI: Equities are expected to open higher tracking positive global
cues and as crude prices retreated from record highs.

Cautious investors keenly await key inflation data is forecast to have
risen 7.77 percent in the 12 months to May 10, slightly below a 7.83
percent rise a week earlier, which was the biggest rise since November
6, 2004. But economists say the actual rate may be closer to nine per
cent due to sharp upward revisions in provisional readings recently.

"The market is in a consolidation mode. The biggest worry that is
haunting investors is the relentless rise of crude oil prices. The
government has to consider raising petrol and diesel prices among
other measures to bailout state run OMCs that have been reeling under
unprecedented high crude prices. But if any move is made in that
direction, it will add to inflationary pressures," said Siddharth
Purohit, analyst at Latin Manharlal Securities.

US stocks rose modestly on Thursday after two days of steep declines
after an unexpected drop in jobless claims and the retreat in oil
prices spurred optimism that the economy can avoid a recession.

Asian stocks edged higher on Friday, helped by a slight dip in oil
prices from record highs and positive cues from Wall Street. The
Nikkei rose 1 per cent, Straits Times climbed 0.13 per cent while Hang
Seng slipped 0.62 per cent.

US light crude for July delivery was up 24 cents at $131.05 a barrel,
having surged to $135.09 on Thursday, before traders took profits and
sent the contract settling down by more than $2 to $130.81, the first
time in five sessions that it settled lower.

Back home, stocks remained under pressure Thursday faced with negative
global cues. Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensex closed at 16,907.11, down
336.05 points or 1.95 per cent. The 30-share index swung over 240
points between intra-day high of 17,104.59 and low of 16,863.38.

National Stock Exchange's Nifty declined 92.20 points or 1.80 per cent
down to close at 5025.45. It touched a high of 5118.90 and low of
5010.70.

Foreign institutional investors turned net sellers of equity worth Rs
537.35 crore while mutual funds net bought Rs 415.16 crore of equity,
according to provisional data on NSE.

Source : Economic Times


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CM Analysis: Bharat Forge - A flat year

 
 
 
Bharat Forge

A flat year

Bharat Forge, the flagship company of the US$ 2.1 billion Kalyani Group and a leading global supplier of forged and machined components on a consolidated basis has posted Total Income and PAT after exceptional item reached Rs.4752 Crores & Rs 302 Crores, a growth of 11% and 4% respectively.

On a Standalone basis for the quarter ended Mar'08 the net sales revenue stood at Rs 579.67 crore which was 12% higher when compared with corresponding previous quarter last year. The OPM (Operating Profit Margin) Increased by 60 basis points to 24.8%. The subsequent Operating Profit for the quarter under review stood at Rs 143.65 crore that was 15% higher when compared with corresponding period last year. The ensuing PAT for the quarter under review stood at Rs 82.85 crore which was 29% higher on Y-o-Y basis.

Standalone

Quarterly Analysis

For the quarter ended Mar'08 the net sales revenue stood at Rs 579.67 crore which was 12% higher when compared with corresponding previous quarter last year. The OPM (Operating Profit Margin) Increased by 60 basis points to 24.8%. The subsequent Operating Profit for the quarter under review stood at Rs 143.65 crore that was 15% higher when compared with corresponding period last year.

Sales within India for the quarter ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 378.08 crore which was 4% higher when compared to corresponding previous quarter last year. Sales outside India for the quarter ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 246.46 crore indicating a growth of 23% when compared with corresponding period last year.

The Raw Material cost and manufacturing expenses decreased (as a % of sales net of stock adjustment) from 47.1% to 45.8% and from 16.9% to 16.4% respectively. The employee cost and other expenditure increased (as a% of sales net of stock adjustment) from 5.4% to 6.4% and from 6.7% to 7.1% respectively.

During the quarter ended Mar'08 the Other Income stood at Rs 12.64 crore indicating a fall of 36% when compared with corresponding period last year. Pending utilisation, funds raised out of FCCB and GDR have been temporarily placed in Fixed Deposits and investments, which generated an income aggregating Rs 10.605 crore during the quarter. During the quarter there was also an exchange loss of Rs 15.81 crore as compared to an exchange gain of Rs 2.09 crore during the corresponding period last year.

The resultant PBIDT for the quarter ended Mar'08 was Rs 140.49 crore which was 4% lower when compared to the corresponding previous quarter last year. The Interest cost and depreciation charges for the quarter ended Mar'08 increased by 7% and 33% respectively to Rs 24.91 crore and Rs 35.60 crore respectively when compared to the corresponding previous quarter last year.

Consequently, for the quarter ended Mar'08 the PBT before EO of Bharat Forge stood at Rs 79.98 crore indicating a fall of 17% when compared with the corresponding previous quarter last year.

During the quarter under review there was EO income stood at Rs 30.35 crore as compared to nil during the corresponding previous quarter last year. The Company, as a step to reorganise and restructure its holdings in its Global ventures has, during the year, sold its interest in BF Beteilingungs GmbH, a wholly owned subsidiary to CDP BF GmbH, also a wholly owned subsidiary, at a fair value determined by a valuer. Consequently, the Company has recognised a profit of Rs 30.35 crore

The ensuing PBT after EO stood at Rs 110.33 crore, which was 14% higher when compared with corresponding previous quarter last year. Provision for tax (including deferred tax and fringe benefit tax) for the quarter ended Mar'08 stood Rs 27.48 crore resulting in PAT of Rs 82.85 crore for the quarter ended Mar'08 as compared to Rs 64.28 crore in the quarter ended Mar'07 indicating a rise of 29%.

Year ended Mar'08

Bharat Forge, on a stand-alone basis has achieved Total Income of Rs 2,285 crore for the year ended March 31, 2008 up by 18% from Rs. 1,945 crore previous year. Net Profit of Rs 274 crore marks a jump of 14% over the previous year.

Export revenues demonstrated an impressive 28% growth in rupee terms & 40% in dollar terms to reach Rs 961 crores. US contributed 50% of exports, Europe 45% while Asia Pacific (including China) contributed the rest of BFL's exports.

For the year ended Mar'08 the net sales revenue stood at Rs 2196.50 crore which was 18% higher when compared with corresponding previous quarter last year. However the OPM (Operating Profit Margin) decreased by 130 basis points to 23.8%. The subsequent Operating Profit for the year under review stood at Rs 522.16 crore that was 12% higher when compared with corresponding period last year.

Sales within India for the year ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 1408.11 crore which was 11% higher when compared to corresponding period last year.

The Raw Material cost decreased (as a% of sales net of stock adjustment) from 45.8% to 45.6%. The employee cost and other expenditure increased (as a% of sales net of stock adjustment) from 5.7% to 6.5% and from 6.7% to 7.2% respectively.

During the year ended Mar'08 the Other Income stood at Rs 62.34 crore which was 20% lower when compared with corresponding period last year. Pending utilisation, funds raised out of FCCB and GDR have been temporarily placed in Fixed Deposits and investments, which generated an income aggregating Rs 52.267 crore during the year under review. During the year there was also an exchange gain of Rs 26.06 crore which was 948% higher when compared with corresponding previous quarter last year.

The subsequent PBIDT for the year under review stood at Rs 610.56 crore which was 11% higher when compared with corresponding period last year. The Interest expense and depreciation charges for the year under review stood at Rs 104.99 crore and Rs 138.94 crore respectively which was 28% and 39% respectively higher when compared with corresponding period last year.

Consequently, for the year ended Mar'08 the PBT before EO of Bharat Forge remained flat at Rs 366.63 crore. During the year under review there was EO income to the tune of Rs 30.35 crore as compared to an EO expense to the tune of Rs 6.75 crore during the corresponding period last year. During the year under review the Company, as a step to reorganise and restructure its holdings in its Global ventures has, during the year, sold its interest in BF Beteilingungs GmbH, a wholly owned subsidiary to CDP BF GmbH, also a wholly owned subsidiary, at a fair value determined by a valuer. Consequently, the Company has recognised a profit of Rs 30.35 crore

The ensuing PBT after EO stood at Rs 396.98 crore, which was 10% higher when compared with corresponding period last year. Provision for tax (including deferred tax and fringe benefit tax) for the year ended Mar'08 stood Rs 123.39 crore resulting in PAT of Rs 273.59 crore for the year ended Mar'08 as compared to Rs 240.95 crore in the year ended Mar'07 indicating a rise of 14%.

Consolidated results

Year ended Mar'08

On a consolidated basis for the year ended Mar'08 the net sales revenue stood at Rs 4652.28 crore which was 11% higher when compared with corresponding previous quarter last year. However the OPM (Operating Profit Margin) decreased by 40 basis points to 15.1%. The subsequent consolidated Operating Profit for the year under review stood at Rs 704.45 crore that was 9% higher when compared with corresponding period last year.

Sales within India for the year ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 1408.11 crore which was 11% higher when compared to corresponding period last year. Sales outside India for the year ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 3416.78 crore indicating a growth of 11% when compared with corresponding period last year.

During the year ended Mar'08 the Other Income stood at Rs 78.18 crore which was 15% lower when compared with corresponding period last year. During the year under review there was an exchange gain of Rs 21.12 crore which was 372% higher when compared with corresponding period last year.

The subsequent PBIDT for the year under review stood at Rs 803.75 crore which was 8% higher when compared with corresponding period last year. The Interest expense and depreciation charges for the year under review stood at Rs 126.94 crore and Rs 227.06 crore respectively which was 19% and 21% respectively higher when compared with corresponding period last year.

Consequently, for the year ended Mar'08 the PBT before EO of Bharat Forge remained flat at Rs 449.75 crore. During the year under review there was no EO item as compared to an EO expense to the tune of Rs 12.14 crore during the corresponding period last year. The ensuing PBT after EO stood at Rs 449.75 crore, which was 3% higher when compared with corresponding period last year.

Provision for tax (including deferred tax and fringe benefit tax) for the year ended Mar'08 stood Rs 158.94 crore resulting in PAT of Rs 290.81 crore for the year ended Mar'08 as compared to Rs 283.47 crore in the year ended Mar'08 indicating a rise of 3%. After Share of Profit of Associates and Minority Interest the Income attributable to the consolidated group stood at Rs 301.52 crore as compared to Rs 290.59 crore during the corresponding period last year indicating a growth of 4%.

Managements Comment

Commenting on the results of the company Mr. B N Kalyani, Chairman & Managing Director said that "the year 2008 has been full of challenges on both the domestic & export front. Two of our major markets, witnessed a slowdown which was compounded by the appreciating rupee. In these testing times, the company has posted moderate growth in the domestic market & an excellent growth of 28% in the exports revenue and is expanding our business in Europe by using strong customer relationship of our European operations. This success is attributable to the de-risked business model that BFL has systematically developed over the years. The strategy of de-risking was conceived with the intent to absorb such shocks arising from downturn in market cycles."

"In this year the company further strengthened its position in the non – auto space by creating a world class manufacturing platform which will start production in the coming year. This will further de-risk the business & accelerate growth thru new customers & market segments", he added.

Dividend

The company proposed a dividend of 175% (Rs 3.50 per Share)

Other Developments

Bharat Forge is planning to raise funds upto Rs.400 crores by means of rights issue of non-convertible debentures with warrants attached.

During the year ,the Company has made provision for the employee benefits in accordance with the AS-15( revised) . Further, in accordance with the transtional provision, the additional provision towards employee benefits amounting to Rs 25.1 crore net of deferred tax assets) has been adjusted from General Reserve.

Currently the stock is trading at Rs 293.90

 

KRC BUY - IRB INFRA


 
  

         Market Update
KRC Investment Ideas

  

MARKET OVER VIEW

 

  • Sensex closed at 17,230.18 down 204.76 points, after touching a high of 17,367.13 and a low of 17,136.26. Nifty closed at 5,104.95 down 52.75 points, after touching a high of 5,160.05 and a low of 5,072.40.

 

  • Nifty May Futures ended 2.95 points discount at 5,102.00 to the spot Nifty of 5,104.95. Total turnover in NSE's derivatives segment was Rs. 378.76 billion as against Rs. 378.76 billion on Monday.

 

 

Market Dynamics
 
 
 
 
Indices Close % Change Market cap
1 Week 1 Month 1Year In Rs. Cr.
Sensex 17,230.18 2.85 4.54 20.46 2,379,765
Nifty 5,104.95 2.93 4.63 21.55 2,982,791
BSE 100 9,138.39 3.25 4.55 24.96 3,794,246
BSE 500 6,847.19 3.12 4.45 23.82 5,378,754
BSE MidCap 7,106.06 2.15 3.94 16.69 816,877
BSE Small Cap 8,658.61 3.11 1.49 19.92 252,283

 

 
 
 

 

 

 

    FII & Mutual Fund Activity (In Rs.Cr.)

        Date

FII

MF

20/05/2008

57.00 -

16/05/2008

729.90 227.80

15/05/2008

258.10 309.90

14/05/2008

186.30 133.10

13/05/2008

(125.40) (305.40)


 

 

 

 

 

                 Currency v/s Re.(20/05/2008)

INR / USD

INR / GBP

INR / EUR

INR / JPY 100

42.67 (+0.07%) 83.41 (+0.49%) 66.39 (+0.59%) 41.05 (+0.76%)

 

 

 

 

 

Commodity – In US$ (20/05/2008)

Crude Oil

Aluminum

Copper

Lead

Zinc

Gold

123.57 3040 (+30) 8439 (+143) 2342 (+66) 2365 (+47) 902

 

 

IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd

(BSE CODE: 532947)

CMP
6 Months Target
Recommendation

Rs. 208

Rs. 260

Buy

IRB is an infrastructure development and construction company in India with extensive experience in the roads and highways sector. IRB has a strong track record in terms of projects delivery and in few instances has even enjoyed the benefits of early toiling due to early completion of projects. IRB also has an advantage of support of experienced promoters and skilled engineering staff. It has recently diversified into the real estate development sector in order to complement its infrastructure development business. Due to its early entrance in the Built Operate and Transfer (BOT), toll road business, IRB operates a large number of BOT projects which contributes to robust cash flow and a healthy bottom-line. IRB has toiling rights and O&M contract for the entire Mumbai-Pune stretch for 15 years.

IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd. was incorporated to fund the capital requirements of the IRB Group initiatives in the infrastructure sector. The company undertakes development of various infrastructure projects in the road sector through several Special Purpose Vehicles. (Businesses of holding co. and its subsidiaries will be implemented under superintendence, direction and control of the board of holding company, with the objective of maximizing value for all stakeholders.)

IRB is having an extensive experience in the roads and railway sector. The company is currently involved in 12 BOT projects in the roads and highway sectors.

We have recently diversified our business into the real estate development sector. Our proposed township project is the first real estate development project undertaken by us and is in its preliminary stages of planning and development. We are in the process of acquiring land in Mauje Taje and Mauje Pimploli Taluka in Pune district in the State of Maharashtra in India on which we propose to develop an integrated township. We intend to develop residential and commercial projects and have engaged Stup Design Forum in association with Stup Consultants Private Limited in connection with the development of the proposed township project.
Currently, our Land Reserves consist of approximately 925 acres of land Mauje Taje and Mauje Pimploli Taluka in Pune district, and we intend to acquire an additional approximately 475 acres of land for our proposed township project. In connection with our proposed township project, we will be required to obtain various permits, licences and other regulatory approvals and there can be no assurance that these will be obtained on a timely basis or at all. Our Land Reserves consist of agricultural lands and we are yet to obtain the relevant certificates from the relevant regulatory authorities for the conversion of such agricultural land for purposes of our township project.

IRB is having an in-house construction, toll collection and management capabilities. The engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) activities from IRB's funded construction projects as well as the BOT projects are all completed within the IRB group. In the same manner the operation and maintenance activities related to the BOT projects including toll collection are also executed within the IRB group. This enables the company to reduce its dependence on third party sub-contractors and thus exercise greater control over the quality and timely execution of the construction and maintenance work. The company own's a large fleet of construction equipment which enables the company to be less dependent on third parties for implementing various projects. This allows the company to enjoy a competitive advantage over other companies in the similar business segment who outsource their operations to external contractors.

 

IRB intend to move up the value chain by pursuing funded construction contracts particularly EPC contracts. This will thus enable the company to bid on larger projects, including international projects which would further improve the operating margins of the company.  Working on such higher value projects enables it to reduce operating costs & expenses and realise potentially higher margins.

 

Government's spending on the road infrastructure sector will be a key component of India's goal of sustained annual GDP growth. IRB's expertise and experience in the development, operation and management of road infrastructure projects along with having an established brand name will enable the company to bid & win large projects and participate in the fast growing infrastructure sector. Thus by targeting to specific project segment the company intends to be active in Western Indian states of Maharashtra and Gujarat along with pursuing suitable opportunity in other parts of India. The construction business of the company complements the Infrastructure business and involves engineering, procurement and construction work for construction projects on a contracted basis. Most of the work of the construction and infrastructure development business is won on a competitive bidding basis. The clients include Government entities that award projects specific contracts to bidders based on certain eligibility requirements.

 

The company has recently forayed into the real estate business and is in the process of acquiring land in Pune district in Maharashtra on which IRB proposes to develop an integrated township. The company intends to develop residential and commercial projects within the proposed township project. Currently the land reserve consists of 925 acres of land in Mauje Taje and Mauje Pimploli Taluka in Pune district.

 

The Indian infrastructure industry is experiencing phenomenal growth which is visible throughout the country in the form of new highways, roads, ports, railways, airports, power systems, townships, offices, houses and urban/rural infrastructure, including water supply, sewerage, drainage, irrigation and agriculture systems. The revised draft of the Eleventh plan approach paper states that investment in infrastructure would have to rise from the current 4.6% of India's GDP to an estimated 8.0 percent during the Eleventh plan period to meet India's target GDP growth rate of 9.0 percent.

 

IRB intends to be a market leader in the Infrastructure sector by building upon its core competency of development of road infrastructure projects, diversifying into real estate sector, entering into strategic alliance to undertake large value projects and moving up the value chain to realize better margins. IRB being one of the largest toll road operators in the country has a stable income thus making it a financially strong company.

 

IRB's current business is concentrated in the states of Maharashtra and Gujarat. Thus the business is significantly dependant on the activities, conditions and central and state government policies in these states. The company also intends to expand in other parts of India.


 

 
Disclaimer:
This publication has been prepared solely for information purpose and does not constitute a solicitation to any person to buy or sell a security. While the information contained therein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, investors are advised to satisfy themselves before making any investments. Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., does not bear any responsibility for the authentication of the information contained in the reports and consequently, is not liable for any decisions taken based on the same. Further, KRC Research Reports only provide information updates and analysis. All opinion for buying and selling are available to investors when they are registered clients of KRC Investment Advisory Services. As a matter of practice, KRC refrains from publishing any individual names with its reports. As per SEBI requirements it is stated that,Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., and/or individuals thereof may have positions in securities referred herein and may make purchases or sale thereof while this report is in circulation.
Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd. 1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001. Phone : 91-22-66535000 Fax : 6633 8060 Members: BSE & NSE
www.krchoksey.com

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Regards,

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Sharekhan Pre-Market Report dated May 23, 2008

.
Range-bound moves likely

The market is likely to move in a range and could witness selective buying and selling activities.
 
The market showed resilience in yesterday's trades and is likely to move in a range with select bouts of buying and selling activities today. On the downside, the Nifty has a likely support at the 4980-4930 range and could test higher levels of 5066 and 5118  while the Sensex has a support at 16736 and resistance at 17136.
 
US indices came off their early highs and ended with slim gains on Thursday. While the Dow Jones added 24 points to 12626, the Nasdaq was up 16 points at 2465.
 
Indian ADR gainers outnumbered losers on the US bourses. Dr Reddy's flared up 3.59% and HDFC Bank moved up 2.15% while Satyam, Wipro, Infosys, VSNL, Rediff and Patni Computer ended with steady gains. Among losers, MTNL tanked 1.21% while Tata Motors and ICICI Bank also ended at lower levels.
 
Crude oil prices in the international market declined on Thursday, with the Nymex US light crude oil for June delivery dipping $2.36 to close at $130.81 a barrel. In the commodity space, the Comex gold lost $10.30 to settle at $918.30 an ounce.
 
Daily trend of FII/MF investment in equities
On May 21, 2008 FIIs were net sellers of stocks to the tune of Rs611.40 crore (purchases worth Rs2,830.30 crore and sales of Rs3,441.70 crore) while domestic mutual funds were net buyers of stocks to the tune of Rs13.10 crore (purchases worth Rs622.60 crore and sales of Rs609.50 crore).

 INDICES SNAPSHOT
ASIAN INDICES at 09:20 IST on May 23, 2008
Index Level Change(pts) Change(%)
Nikkei 14080.96 102.50 0.73
Hang Seng 24909.41 133.71 -0.53
Kospi Index 1834.40 -1.02 -0.06
Straits Times 3166.57 5.71 0.18
Jakarta Composite 2492.28 -11.67 -0.47
EUROPEAN INDICES at close on May 22, 2008
FTSE 100 6181.60 -16.50 -0.27
CAC 40 Index 5028.78 1.19 0.02
Dax Index 7070.33 29.50 0.42
US INDICES at close on May 22, 2008
Dow Jones 12625.62 24.43 0.19
Nasdaq 2464.58 16.31 0.67
PRE-MARKET COMMENTARY
May 23, 2008| Market round-up, 9:45 IST
STOCK TO WATCH TODAY
BHEL
ITC
CROMPTON
GEOJIT
FEDRLBNK
 

INDIAN ADRs

Company Last Close %Change
Infosys 44.21 0.66
Satyam 25.88 1.09
Wipro 13.20 1.77
Dr.Reddy's 15.57 3.59
Tata Motors 15.40 -0.84
ICICI Bank 40.91 -0.22
HDFC Bank 100.89 2.15
MTNL 4.90 -1.21
VSNL (TCL)* 23.34 0.09
Rediff 8.51 0.12
Patni Comp 12.80 0.39



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CM Analysis : Edelweiss Capital - Net up by 121% (Tuesday, May 20, 2008 19:04 Hrs IST)


 
 
Edelweiss Capital

Net up by 121%

Edelweiss Capital for the fourth quarter ended Mar'08 reported 230% increase in income from operations at Rs 323.21 crore. Low other income and coupled with high interest and other operational cost the gross profit for the quarter was restricted to 149% to Rs 149.84 crore. Finally the PAT after minority interest settled at Rs 82.55 crore, up by 121% on y-o-y.

Edelweiss Capital Limited is one of India's largest growing diversified financial services companies. The businesses of the Edelweiss Group include investment banking, institutional equities, private client broking, asset management, wealth management, insurance broking and wholesale financing to corporate, institutional and high net worth individual clients. The company has built strong corporate, institutional & investor relationships backed by a research-driven approach & a proven ability to capitalize on emerging market trends. Edelweiss believes in a unique model of employee ownership and leveraging a strong partnership culture. It operates from 43 offices in 19 Indian cities.

Consolidated Financial: Q4FY08 results

For the fourth quarter ended Mar'08, Income from operations increased by 205% to Rs 404.08 crore. The fee and commission income increased by 93% to Rs 144.49 crore, the income from arbitrage increased by 193% to Rs 134.27 crore, the income from investment and dividend increased by 163% to Rs 16.77 crore and the interest income increased largely from Rs 5.72 crore to Rs 108.55 crore on y-o-y basis.

The other income for the quarter stood at Rs 1.70 crore compared to Rs 3.24 crore in the corresponding previous quarter, restricting the total income to Rs 405.78 crore, up by 199%. Interest expenses increased to Rs 82.94 crore from Rs 7.36 crore in the corresponding previous quarter; also other expenses increased to Rs 173.00 crore, an increase of 153% on account of higher staff cost and other operational cost. Thus restricting the Gross profit to increase by 149% to Rs 149.84 crore. Depreciation increased by 228% to Rs 3.28 crore and further with the provision for tax increasing by 140% to Rs 52.63 crore the Net profit before minority interest stood at Rs 93.93 crore, an increase of 152% on y-o-y. After considering minority interest of Rs 11.38 crore (Rs 0.09 of income in Q4FY07), the final PAT stood at Rs 82.55 crore, a y-o-y increase of 121%.

Consolidated: FY08 results

For the year ended Mar'08, the income from operation increased by 195% to Rs 1086.78 crore. The other income declined by 39% to Rs 2.08 crore leading the total income to increase by 193% to Rs 1088.86 crore. With interest expenses and other expenses increasing by 228% to Rs 634.85 crore, the gross profit got restricted to Rs 154% growth at Rs 454.01 crore. Further with the depreciation increasing by 92% to Rs 7.31 crore and tax provision increasing by 138% to Rs 154.02 crore, the PAT before minority interest increased by 166% to Rs 292.68 crore. the PAT after minority interest settled at Rs 273.24 crore after accounting a minority interest of Rs 19.44 crore, up by 149%.

Business Update – Edelweiss Capital Group ("the Group")

The group net worth now stands in excess of INR 2,300 cr. The strong and liquid balance sheet of the company is a key differentiator and enables the Company to support the growth of different business lines and also maintain sufficient liquidity cushion. While overall revenues have posted a robust growth of 193% during FY08, a particular outstanding feature is the strong growth of fee and commission revenues from INR 144.49 cr in Q4FY08 over INR 74.46 cr in the corresponding quarter last year in spite of a severe slowdown in volumes in the domestic capital markets.

All the established businesses continued to grow well and the new businesses have secured a strong foundation despite market volatility in recent times. The Investment Banking business has successfully closed 32 transactions in FY08. Some of the notable transactions include Open Offer and Investment in Deccan Aviation by the UB Group, investment by Citigroup Venture Capital in SVIL Mines, investment by General Atlantic in IBS Software Services Private Limited, Qualified Institutional Placements for Phoenix Mills,SouthIndian Bank and Bank of India and the Initial Public Offerings of Take Solutions, Kolte Patil Developers, eClerx Services, GSS America etc.

Our strong franchise in the Mid-market space is reflected in our number one rank in Bloomberg League Tables for Mid-cap Private Equity transactions in CY2007 and number one rank in Prime Database League Tables for Mid-market IPOs in CY2007.

In addition to these transactions, the Real Estate and Infrastructure Advisory businesses also had significant deal closures. In a period of slowdown in activity in the IPO market, we witnessed a strong demand for our advisory services in Investment Banking imparting stability to revenues.

The Group's Equities Broking business continues to show robust growth both in the Institutional and HNI client segments. The Research coverage has expanded to include 215 stocks across 19 sectors accounting for 70% of the total market capitalization. Our differentiated and thematic research distinguishes Edelweiss from other players and provides unmatched insights into Indian capital markets to our large institutional client base.

The Group has also achieved significant growth in its newer businesses, viz., Alternate Asset Management, Wholesale Financing and Wealth Management. Alternative Asset Management business covers alternate asset classes like Real Estate, Private Equity and multi-strategy fund. Despite the turbulence in the last quarter, the performance of these funds has been reasonably stable. The total assets under management/advice (including our associates') now stand at about USD 625 million.

Edelweiss Capital Limited has recently received final regulatory approval from the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) to start its mutual fund business. Registration has been granted to Edelweiss Mutual Fund and approval has been granted for Edelweiss Asset Management Limited to act as investment manager to Edelweiss Mutual Fund. Edelweiss plans to shortly launch niche schemes and use this growth engine for building up a stable retail customer base.

The newly started business of Wholesale Financing continues to grow well and has already built up an asset base of about INR 900 crore as at March 08. The interest income from financing business is now growing into a distinct contributor to our revenue streams besides diversifying it. It has grown to INR 141 cr in FY08 compared to INR 7 cr in FY07. During the year under review, the Edelweiss Group employee strength has grown from 755 (as of March 31, 2007) to 1,618 as of March 31, 2008. Our hiring also continues to be strong, setting the trajectory for future growth. We are also investing significantly in internal leadership development.

The scrip of Edelweiss Capital currently trades at Rs 807/-

 


 

CM ANALYSIS: Bank of Baroda - FY operating profit up by 9% (Thursday, May 22, 2008 15:44 Hrs IST )

 

 

Bank of Baroda

FY operating profit up by 9%

Bank of Baroda reported a 13% y-o-y increase in net profits at Rs 276.44 crore for the fourth quarter-ended Mar'08. The NII for the quarter declined by 2% to Rs 1028.50 crore and the other income by 24% to Rs 554.63 crore. Further with moderate 1% rise in operating expenses, the operating profit increased by 9% to Rs 814.45 crore.

Performance Highlights

  • The global business was up by 24% to Rs 258735 crore as on FY08 with the global deposits up by 22% to Rs 152034 crore and advances up by 28% to Rs 106701 crore.
  • Domestic business was up by 24% to Rs 206982 crore with the domestic deposits up by 23% to Rs 122479 crore and domestic advances up by 26% to Rs 84503 crore.
  • Domestic CASA share stood at the level of 36%.
  • Return on average assets improved from 0.80% to 0.89% y-o-y.
  • Book value per share improved to Rs 261.54 as on FY08 compared to Rs 231.59 per share as on FY07.
  • Return on equity at 15.07% compared to 12.17% in the corresponding previous period
  • Capital adequacy ratio stood at 12.94% with tier I capital at 7.64% for FY08.
  • Cost to income ratio declined from 51.30% to 49.21% for the period.
  • Gross NPA ratio declined to 1.84% from 2.47% and Net NPA ratio declined to 0.47% from 0.60%. The NPA coverage stands at the level of 74.07%.
  • During the year FY08, the cost of deposit in global operation increased from 4.77% to 5.69%. While the yield on advances improved from 8.37% to 9.53%.
  • Net interest margin in the global operations stood at 2.90% as on FY08as against 3.05% as on FY07.
  • Cash recovery in NPAs during 2007-08 is at 28.14% of the opening gross NPA as against 16.77% during 2006-07.
  • Business per branch for FY08 stood at Rs 893 million (Rs 752 million in FY07). The net profit per branch stood at Rs 4.95 million (compared to 3.70 million in FY07).

Financial performance: quarter ended Mar'08

Bank of Baroda registered 2% y-o-y dip in NII at Rs 1028.50 crore for Q4FY08 as against Rs 1053.53 crore in Q4FY07 of the preceding year. The Interest earned for the quarter rose by 27% at Rs 3331.07 crore largely aided by 30% hike in interest on advances at Rs 2326.73 crore reflecting the banks timely revisions in lending rates. However the interest expended for the quarter advanced by 47% to Rs 2302.57 crore due to high levels of interest rates on term deposits, thus pulling down the NII.

Other income of the Bank for Q4FY08 increased by 24% to Rs 554.63 crore backed by healthy treasury operations and good recovery from prudentially written off accounts. This helped the Net total income to increase by 5% to Rs 1583.13 crore. Further with the operating expenses for the quarter witnessed a marginal rise of 1% to Rs 768.68 crore the operating profits jumped by 9% to Rs 814.45 crore.

The provision and contingencies including that of NPA provisioning increased by 36% to Rs 424.95 crore. However with the tax provision for the quarter declining by 39% to Rs 113.06 crore, the net profit grew by 13% to Rs 276.44 crore.

Financial performance: year ended Mar'08

For the year ended Mar'08, NII increased by 9% to Rs 3911.80 crore. The net total income increased by 20% to Rs 5962.84 crore with other income increasing by 48% to Rs 2051.04 crore. The operating expenses increased 15% to Rs 2934.29 crore restricting the operating profit by 25% to Rs 3028.55 crore. Further with the provision for contingencies increasing by 8% to Rs 821.40 crore and provision for tax increasing by 23% to Rs 771.63 crore, the net profit settled at Rs 40% to Rs 1435.52 crore.

Proposed business objectives for FY09

  • Deposits to grow by 18% and advances 22%
  • To grow net profit by 22%
  • To improve CASA share from 36% to 38%, which entails a growth of 25% in CASA deposit in FY09.
  • To protect the banks NIM around 3% of the banks interest bearing assets.
  • To continue trust on overseas business and take its share to 25% in the next three years from the current 20%.
  • To improve the share of retail business in the total loan book from the present 13.8% to 15.5% by end of FY09.

The Banks scrip currently trades at Rs 286

 


 

KRC BUY - STERLITE

  

 

         Market Update

KRC Investment Ideas

 

 

  

MARKET OVER VIEW

 

·         Sensex closed at 17,243.16 up 12.98 points, after touching a high of 17,293.34 and a low of 17,041.63. Nifty closed at 5,117.65 up 12.70 points, after touching a high of 5,135.55 and a low of 5,048.70.

 

·         Nifty May Futures ended 6.25 points premium at 5,123.90 to the spot Nifty of 5,117.65. Total turnover in NSE's derivatives segment was Rs. 394.81 billion as against Rs. 332.90 billion on Tuesday.

  

Market Dynamics

 

 

 

  

Indices

Close

% Change

Market cap

1 Week

1 Month

1Year

In Rs. Cr.

Sensex

17,243.16

1.56

3.01

19.59

2,384,068

Nifty

5,117.65

1.83

3.27

21.73

2,982,791

BSE 100

9,159.07

2.14

3.05

24.03

3,805,672

BSE 500

6,872.60

2.34

2.98

23.14

5,414,377

BSE MidCap

7,148.05

2.26

2.36

16.61

821,901

BSE Small Cap

8,788.98

4.20

0.41

20.49

255,440

 

 

 

       FII & Mutual Fund Activity (In Rs.Cr.)

        Date

FII

MF

21/05/2008

 

 

20/05/2008

57.00

 

16/05/2008

729.90

227.80

15/05/2008

258.10

309.90

14/05/2008

186.30

133.10

 

 

 

 

 

 

Significant Bulk Deals (21/05/2008)

Scrip

Buy/Sell

Buyer/Seller

Quantity

NAKODA TEXT

Buy

CREDIT CAPITAL ASSET MANAGEMENT CO. LTD ACC DISCOVERY STOCK FUND

100000

ELPRO INTERN

Buy

JUPITER ASSET MANG AC JUPITER PAF INVESTMENT LTD

25000

  

                 Currency v/s Re.(21/05/2008)

INR / USD

INR / GBP

INR / EUR

INR / JPY 100

42.72 (+0.12%)

83.96 (+0.66%)

66.90 (+0.77)

41.36 (0.76%)

 

 

 

 

Commodity - In US$ (21/05/2008)

Crude Oil

Aluminum

Copper

Lead

Zinc

Gold

126

 2997 (+2)

8325 (+10)

2170 (-61)

2275 (-13)

919

 

 

Sterlite Technologies Ltd

(BSE CODE: 532374)

CMP

6 Months Target

Recommendation

Rs. 236

Rs. 295

Buy

 

 

Sterlite Technologies Limited (SOTL), formerly Sterlite Optical Technologies Limited, is primarily engaged in manufacturing of Jelly Filled Telephone Cables (JFTC) and Optical Fiber cables (OFTC). It is also engaged in drawing, drawing and insulating, and insulating wire and cable of nonferrous metals from purchased wire bars, rods, or wire. A global provider of optical fibers, telecom cables and power transmission conductors, SOTL supplies 4% of the global demand for Optical Fibers to over 60 countries. The Company has launched two products for access networks and Sterlite ADSL 2, a product for broadband applications. Subsequent to its acquisition of Power Transmission Conductors from Sterlite Industries (India) Limited, the companies revenues have been substantially diversified and the revenue contribution of the Power business is now 56.77%.

 

SOTL is willing double its Optical Fiber capacity to 12 Million-km from 6 mn fKm resulting in a CapEx of INR 140 Crores and production is expected to begin in June 2009. In addition, it received a contract from BSNL for manufacture and supply 20 to 2000 pair Copper Telecom Cables to enhance BSNL's Pan-India network to provide basic telephony and broadband services. The contract is valued at INR 1.43 Billion and would be completed within FY 2007-08. These factors will enable the company to drive revenue growth and expand profit margins.

 

The demand for jelly-filled cables (JFTC) and optical fibre cables (OFC) is largely driven by telecom companies for their requirement to provide network connectivity. The two largest contributors to OFC demand have been BSNL and MTNL in the past.  However, in the recent past along with the increase in the demand for Data and Broadband based services, private participation in telecom growth have increased. Utility companies like Railtel, Power Grid Corporation of India, Oil and Gas companies account for a small part of demand for the deployment of their own communication networks. 

 

Since 2000, the optical fiber industry has been plagued by intense competition, popularity of wireless telecom services, fall in demand and excess capacity resulting into extreme pressure on profit margins. Following a peak of 110 mn fKm in global Optic fiber demand, the market for telecom cables had shrunk considerably since 2001 to 2003. However in the recent past an additional building binge has begun with more than a dozen telecom companies laying billions of dollars worth of undersea fiber cable over the past 18 months. The projects this time connect areas that were bypassed a decade ago: the emerging economies of South Asia, Africa and the Middle East, and Greenland. In India, the domestic demand is expected to be supported by the interconnection of mobile networks using OFC, the laying of long-distance networks, and the rollout of broad band networks and IPTV by telecom companies and the government. The demand forecast for OFC is subsequently expected to increase 16 percent in FY08 to 3.4 million fKm.

 

Following a decline in demand from BSNL and MTNL  for JFTC, a glut of supply , intense competition and rising copper prices (a key cost driver) have lead the JFTC players to face intense margin pressure. This has led many operators to diversify into the manufacture of power and electrical cables due to the similar manufacturing process involved. In the recent past the strong growth of the Power industry and the higher visibility in earnings have led many operators to change the major revenue segment from OFC to power cables.

 

SOTL will double its Optical Fiber capacity to 12 Million-km from 6 mn fKm resulting in a CapEx of INR 140 Crores and production is expected to begin in June 2009. In addition, it received a contract from BSNL for manufacture and supply 20 to 2000 pair Copper Telecom Cables to enhance BSNL's Pan-India network to provide basic telephony and broadband services. The contract is valued at INR 1.43 Billion and would be completed within FY 2007-08. These factors will enable the company to drive revenue growth and expand profit margins.

 

SOTL is currently having 16% of its revenues from exports. Growing global demand allowed the company to clock exports of 24.78% in FY07. The domestic growth of the telecom and power industry will enable the company to increase profitability. SOTL currently generates 33% of its revenues from exports. Growing global demand in the FTTH business will enable the company to boost fixed line revenue growth.

 

Net profit of Sterlite Technologies rose 77.54% to Rs 34.30 crore in the quarter ended March 2008 as against Rs 19.32 crore during the previous quarter ended March 2007. Sales rose 40.74% to Rs 543.62 crore in the quarter ended March 2008 as against Rs 386.27 crore during the previous quarter ended March 2007. For the full year, net profit rose 98.03% to Rs 100.72 crore in the year ended March 2008 as against Rs 50.86 crore during the previous year ended March 2007. Sales rose 40.70% to Rs 1685.79 crore in the year ended March 2008 as against Rs 1198.15 crore during the previous year ended March 2007.

 

Sterlite Technologies has received three contracts valued at Rs 2.96 billion from PGCIL (Power Grid Corporation of India) for supply of power transmission conductors. With the receipt of these new contracts, the company has opened FY-09 with a total order book of Rs 10.2 billion for its telecom & power businesses. Sterlite Technologies has bagged an order worth $17.5 million from Ethiopian Electric Power Corporation, Ethiopia for manufacture and supply of AAAC power transmission conductors. In January 2008, the company received a contract worth Rs 140 crore from Rajasthan Rajya Vidyut Prasaran Nigam, India for manufacture and supply of ACSR moose power transmission conductors. Sterlite Technologies is engaged in manufacturing and marketing optical networking products including optical fibre and optical fibre cables. The optical fiber cable plants produce standard and customized cables.  

 

Sterlite Optical Technologies has decided to double its Optical Fiber annual manufacturing capacity to 12 million-km from its current capacity of 6 million-km. This brownfield expansion at the company's existing facilities at Aurangabad, India is estimated to incur a CapEx of Rs 140 crore (US $ 35 million) and commercial production is expected to commence by June 2009.
This state-of-the-art facility would be capable of manufacturing the company's existing range of optical fiber products as well as have the intrinsic capability to manufacture products as per evolving international telecom standards that are being introduced to cater to high bandwidth applications required by global markets. The company is in advanced stages of discussion with leading global manufacturing equipment and raw material suppliers to streamline its efforts towards the expansion project milestones.

 

 
Disclaimer:
This publication has been prepared solely for information purpose and does not constitute a solicitation to any person to buy or sell a security. While the information contained therein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, investors are advised to satisfy themselves before making any investments. Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., does not bear any responsibility for the authentication of the information contained in the reports and consequently, is not liable for any decisions taken based on the same. Further, KRC Research Reports only provide information updates and analysis. All opinion for buying and selling are available to investors when they are registered clients of KRC Investment Advisory Services. As a matter of practice, KRC refrains from publishing any individual names with its reports. As per SEBI requirements it is stated that,Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares & Sec Pvt Ltd., and/or individuals thereof may have positions in securities referred herein and may make purchases or sale thereof while this report is in circulation.
  Kisan Ratilal Choksey Shares and Securities Pvt. Ltd. 1102, Stock Exchange Tower, Dalal Street, Mumbai 400 001. Phone : 91-22-66535000 Fax : 6633 8060 Members: BSE & NSE
www.krchoksey.com

OIL HITS A HIGH OF 135 AND SLIPS



Light sweet crude for July delivery shed 72 cents to trade at $132.45 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after trading as high as $133.75. The contract gained $9.32 between May 15 and May 21.
July crude surged to a record high of $135.09 during the overnight electronic trading session on Globex.

Sharekhan Investor's Eye dated May 22, 2008



 
Investor's Eye
[May 22, 2008] Please see the attachment for details
Summary of Contents
STOCK UPDATE
JK Cement       
Cluster: Cannonball
Recommendation: Buy
Price target: Rs250
Current market price: Rs148
Price target revised to Rs250
Result highlights
  • For Q4FY2008 JK Cement has reported a 5.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) increase in its net sales to Rs385.6 crore. The sales growth was achieved on the back of an 8.6% rise in the y-o-y blended realisation per tonne to Rs3,888. On the other hand, the volumes declined 3.1% yoy to 9.92 lakh tonne (9.3 lakh tonne grey cement and 0.64 lakh tonne white cement) due to a shutdown at one of its kilns during the quarter.
  • There was a sharp increase of 14.6% in the total cost per tonne of cement to Rs2,853. This was mainly on account of a 59.3% y-o-y increase in the employee cost to Rs20 crore along with a 10.1% y-o-y increase in the per tonne cost of power and fuel to Rs920. The freight cost also increased by 9.7% to Rs786 per tonne. Consequently the earnings before interest, depreciation, tax and amortisation (EBIDTA) per tonne declined by 5.2% yoy to Rs1,035 during the quarter. 
  • The operating profit margin (OPM) of the company witnessed a sharp decline of 390 basis points to 26.6%. The margin came under pressure on account of the rising input cost and the company's inability to pass on the increase to the consumer. Consequently, the operating profit declined by 8.1% year on year (yoy) to Rs102.6 crore. 
  • The reported profit after tax (PAT) also declined by 2.6% yoy to Rs59.8 crore. This was much lower than our estimate of Rs72 crore due to a lower volume growth and effective higher tax rate. 
  • For the year ended FY2008, JK Cement has reported an 18.2% y-o-y growth in its net sales to Rs1,485.3 crore and a 48.5% growth in its reported PAT to Rs265.2 crore.
  • The company has declared a dividend of Rs5 per share for the quarter.
  • To factor in the cost savings arising due to the full operation of all its captive power plants, including the 13-megawatt (MW) waste heat recovery plant, we have increased our FY2009 earnings per share (EPS) estimate by 10% to Rs30.9. We have also introduced our FY2010 estimates in this note. 
  • At the current market price of Rs148, the stock is trading 4.8x its FY2009E EPS, 3.4x its FY2010E EPS and an enterprise value (EV) per tonne of US$48 based on the expanded capacities. We maintain a Buy on the stock with a revised price target of Rs250.
Bajaj Holdings & Investment        
Cluster: Apple Green
Recommendation: Hold
Price target: Rs1,044
Current market price: Rs672
Q4FY2008 results: First-cut analysis
Result highlights
  • Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd (BHIL) has reported a consolidated top line of Rs62.6 crore for Q4FY2008 and that of Rs3,629.8 crore for FY2008. Since the company was formed after the de-merger of the erstwhile Bajaj Auto, the previous comparable figures are not available. BHIL is the holding company having a 30% stake each in both the new Bajaj Auto and Bajaj Fin Serv. BHIL also holds cash and investments held by the erstwhile Bajaj Auto.
  • The sales of Bajaj Auto, which consists of the automobile portfolio, stood at Rs2,074.4 crore during the quarter. The operating profit margin (OPM) stood at 12.6%, which was lower than expected despite an 11.7% drop in the volumes in the fourth quarter. However, the results contained a foreign exchange loss of Rs16 crore. Adjusting for the same, the OPM works out to 13.4%. For the full year, the company has reported a top line of Rs9,168.8 crore, OPM of 14.3% and net profits of Rs756 crore.
  • The activities of Bajaj Fin Serv include the wind farm business and the financial services business. It has two insurance subsidiaries, dealing in life insurance and general insurance. For FY2008, Bajaj Fin Serv has reported consolidated sales of Rs12,225 crore and a consolidated net loss of Rs32.7 crore. The growth in the life insurance subsidiary's new premiums has been lower than our estimate.
  • We have valued the stakes of Bajaj Auto and Bajaj Fin Serv at a 50% holding company discount, which works out to Rs236.7 per share. Further, as on date the value of BHIL's investment portfolio is Rs495 per share. 
  • The company has given a flattish outlook on the two-wheeler industry for the next year and an early revival of the industry appears difficult. However, the company would endeavour to outperform the industry on the strength of its products.
  • We will come back with a detailed performance note along with our revised estimates.

SECTOR UPDATE 
Power      
Power to empower
We recently attended the conference on "Key Inputs for Power Sector for 11th Plan & Beyond" organised by the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII). We present the key takeaways from the meeting.
Regards,
The Sharekhan Research Team
myaccount@sharekhan.com 
 


Unlimited freedom, unlimited storage. Get it now


BMR - a key player in weight issues. Know more.

CM ANALYSIS: Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) - OPM improvement continues (Thursday, May 22, 2008 15:40 Hrs IST )

 

Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra)

OPM improvement continues

With more than 5 million subscribers base as on 31st March 2008, Tata Teleservices Maharashtra (TTML) reported net revenue of Rs 455.72 crore for Q4 FY08, up 20% on Y-o-Y and 4% on Q-o-Q. The operational efficiency initiatives taken by the company have resulted in 250 bps Y-o-Y and 50 bps Q-o-Q improvement in the OPM to 25.2%. At operating level the company reported profit of Rs 114.86 crore (33% higher on Y-o-Y and 6% higher on Q-o-Q) and reported cash profit before EO (PBDT) of Rs 65.76 crore, up 36% on Y-o-Y but down 13% on Q-o-Q. However the company is yet to come out of red and recorded loss of Rs 20.59 crore at bottom-line for the quarter against net loss of Rs 27.43 crore in Q3FY08.

For the year ended March 2008, the revenue of the company increased by 21% to Rs 1707.19 crore while the OPM surged by 330 bps to 23.6% for the year. The operating profit also surged by 41% to Rs 403.14 crore. The PAT ended at loss of Rs 125.74 crore against loss of Rs 310.61 crore in FY07, thus 60% lower on Y-o-Y.

The company has added 3.83 lakh subscribers during Q4 FY08 (against 5.69 lakh subscriber addition in Q3 FY08 and the total subscriber base of company reached to 5.08 million at the end of March 2008 and thus achieved a growth of 8% in subscriber base on Q-o-Q basis. The mobile and WLL segment was the main growth driver in which the company has added 4 lakh subscribers (92% of total additions during the quarter) while in wireline segment the company has added just 0.40 lakh subscribers (0.29 lakh in Q3 FY08) during the quarter.

In FY08 the company has added 2 million subscribers and the incremental wireless market share of the company was 15.8% with total wireless market share of 13.5% in Mumbai and Maharashtra (circles in which the company operate).

Performance for the quarter ended March 2008(On Y-o-Y basis)

With strong subscriber addition (about 0.38 million subscriber addition during Q4 FY08) and continuous thrust on rural market, the revenue for the quarter ended March 2008 grew by 20% to Rs 455.72 crore on Y-o-Y. The operational efficiency initiatives taken by the company have resulted in 250 bps improvement in the OPM to 25.2%. The interconnect & other access cost and employee cost (as a % of revenue) declined by 140 bps and 120 bps respectively to 25.5% and 5.3% while the network operation cost surged by 120 bps to 18.1% of revenue. The company reported Rs 114.86 crore operating profit, up 33% on Y-o-Y basis.

The company has reported net interest and finance cost of Rs 52.79 crore (including foreign exchange fluctuation gain of Rs 3.69 crore) during the quarter against Rs 43.50 crore in Q4 FY07 and the depreciation charges has increased by 13% to Rs 117.82 crore. The company has pared the loss at PBT level by 7% to Rs 52.06 crore against a loss of Rs 56.15 crore in corresponding previous quarter. After considering the EO income of Rs 31.78 crore relating to amount pertaing to previous quarters of FY08 (Rs 4.82 crore in Q4 FY07), the loss at PBT after EO level stood at Rs 20.28 crore, 56% lower loss on Y-o-Y. The company has not made any provision for current income tax due to anticipation of no taxable income for the year. However, company has provided an amount of Rs 0.31 crore for fringe benefit tax (Rs 0.05 crore in Q4 FY07). At the end, the company has reported 55% lower net loss to Rs 20.59 crore as compared to a loss of Rs 45.90 crore in the corresponding previous quarter.

Performance for the quarter ended March 2008 (On Q-o-Q basis)

On Q-o-Q basis the net revenue of the company increased by 4% and the OPM improved by 50 bps to 25.2% mainly due to 190 bps decline in marketing & business promotion expenses to 15.4% of revenue which was partly offset by 100 bps increase in network operations cost to 18.1% of revenue. The profit at operating level increased by 6% on Q-o-Q basis to Rs 114.86 crore.

The other income declined by 58% to Rs 3.69 crore while the interest cost surged by 26% to Rs 52.79 crore. The depreciation charges increased by 4% over the quarter to Rs 117.82 crore. As a combined result of decline in other income and surge in interest and depreciation charges, at PBT before EO level the loss of the company increased by 36% on Q-o-Q to Rs 52.06 crore and after considering aforesaid EO income of Rs 31.78 crore (EO income of Rs 10.94 crore in Q3 FY08), the loss at PBT after EO level came down by 26% to Rs 20.28 crore. After considering the provision for tax of Rs 0.31 crore during the quarter, the company reported net loss of Rs 20.59 crore, 25% lower from loss of Rs 27.43 crore in Q3 FY08.

Performance for year ended March 2008

For the year ended March 2008, the revenue increased by 21% to Rs 1707.19 crore. As a combined result of 250 bps and 170 bps reduction in interconnection & other access cost and administrative & other expenses as a % of revenue to 25.6% and 10.8% respectively and 80 bps increase in marketing & business promotion expenses to 17.7% of revenue, the operating profit margin of the company surged by 330 bps to 23.6% for the year. The operating profit also surged by 41% to Rs 403.14 crore.

The other income for the period was Rs 69.48 crore (Rs 17.44 crore in corresponding previous year). After considering the interest cost of Rs 171.01 crore (including foreign exchange fluctuation gain of Rs 10.24 crore), almost same as in FY07 and 2% decline in depreciation charges to Rs 439.35 crore, there was a loss of Rs 137.74 crore at PBT level against loss of Rs 315.39 crore in FY07. After considering EO income of Rs 12.93 crore (pertaining to excess provision of previous years written back), the loss at PBT after EO level stood at Rs 124.81 crore, 60% lower on Y-o-Y. With provision for only fringe benefit tax of Rs 0.93 crore, the PAT ended at loss of Rs 125.74 crore against loss of Rs 310.61 crore in FY07, thus 60% lower on Y-o-Y.

Recent Development

The Department of Telecom has filed an appeal with the telecom tribunal seeking to impose a penalty of Rs 2,015 crore on TTML for defaulting on payment of licence fee for fixed line telephone services in Karnataka. The issue dates back to year 1995 when Hughes Telecom acquired licences for Karnataka and Maharashtra but never roll out services in the southern State. Hughes Tele was later acquired by the Tatas but even they did not start services in Karnataka. The penalty sought by DoT is for non-payment of licence fees during these years and the interest accrued.

Based on the legal opinion taken by it, TTML does not expect any liability arising out of this counter claim, and therefore the sum claimed by DoT would continue, as in the past, to be shown as a contingent liability in the notes to the accounts.

The shares of the company are trading at around Rs 36 (LTP on 22nd May 2008) at BSE.

 


 

CM ANALYSIS: HDIL - Excellent performance (22-May 14:34 Hrs IST)

 

 

HDIL

Excellent performance

HDIL reported net sales of Rs 975.08 crore. Excellent OPM of 88.6% helped the Company posting operating profit of Rs 863.93 crore. OI was reported at Rs 14.41 crore. And after providing for interest and depreciation, PBT was reported at Rs 809.34 crore. Finally, after paying tax expense of Rs 101.09 crore, net profit was accounted at Rs 708.25 crore.

Business Overview:

  • Total Land Reserve (including TDR) of 192.17 million sq ft as on 31st Mar'08. Of this, around 87% of land bank is in Mumbai Metropolitan Region
  • Currently doing one of the largest SRA projects for rehabilitation of around 85,000 slum dwellers under expansion & modernization of Mumbai airport.
  • HDIL Entertainment, a 100% subsidiary of HDIL, will develop and operate multiplexes with 17 screens in Mumbai region.

Annual Consolidated Result

Net sales grew by a whopping 98% to Rs 2380.37 crore. An improvement of 1610 bps in operating margins to 71.1% catapulted the operating profit to report a phenomenal growth of 156% at Rs 1692.13 crore. Other income was up by 157% to Rs 52.92 crore. After accounting for Interest cost, up by 151% to Rs 140.78 crore, and depreciation, up by 68% to Rs 2.23 crore, PBT was posted at Rs 1602.04 crore, a growth of 156% over the corresponding previous fiscal year. And as effective tax rate fell by 35 bps to 11.99%, net profit posted growth of 157% at Rs 1409.84 crore.

Standalone Performance

Quarter ended Mar'08

As the Company was an unlisted entity during the FY06-07, no financial result for the quarter ended March'07 is available. Hence, it is not possible to compare the results for the quarter ended Mar'08 with that of the corresponding previous quarter.

Net sales were reported at Rs 975.08 crore. Operating margins were at an impressive 88.6% and operating profit was registered at Rs 863.93 crore. Other income of Rs 14.41 crore led PBIDT to report at Rs 878.34 crore. The Company paid an interest cost of Rs 68.15 crore and provided depreciation of Rs 0.85 crore. Resultantly, PBT was at a low of Rs 809.34 crore. And after accounting for the effective tax rate of 12.49%, the Company reported net profit of Rs 708.25 crore.

FY2007-08

Net sales at Rs 2379.87 crore posted growth of 98% over the corresponding previous fiscal year. OPM improved by a whopping 1695 bps to 71%. Good growth in topline and margins improvement resulted into the Company posting 160% growth in the operating profit at Rs 1690.03 crore. Other income was up 302% to Rs 52.45 crore. Interest cost was reported at Rs 138.49 crore, growth of 211% on a y-o-y basis, and depreciation was 89% up at Rs 1.87 crore. PBT was reported at Rs 1602.12 crore, a growth of 159% over the corresponding previous fiscal year. Effective tax rate fell marginally by 40 bps to 11.96% resulting in the Company to post 160% growth in the bottomline at Rs 1410.50 crore.

Other information:

  • The Board has recommended issue of fully paid Bonus Shares in the proportion of 2 shares for every 7 shares held.
  • As on March 31, 2008, the borrowings of the company were Rs 3112.74 crore as against net worth of Rs 3635.68 crore.
  • The Company has fully utilized Rs 1698.60 crore raised through a combination of IPO (Rs 1485 crore) and Green Shoe Option (213.60 crore). The utilisation has been done as; Issue expenses (Rs 89.38 crore), Acquisition of land and land development rights (Rs 1188.18 crore) and construction of ongoing projects (Rs 421.04 crore).
  • Promoter's shareholding remains constant at 61.50%.
  • The scrip was trading at Rs 804 as on 22nd May 2008.

 

CM Analysis: Thermax - Order book lower by 15%

Thermax

Order book lower by 15%

Energy & Environment management major Thermax has turned in a standalone revenue growth of 13% (to Rs 922.11 crore) on a higher base for the quarter ended Mar '08. As operating profit margin improve by 130 basis the operating profit expanded by 24% to Rs 127.04 crore. Upside at revenue and operating level came largely on account of energy segment whose segment revenue as well as segment profits seen steady growth. However impacted by lower other income and lower write back of provisions towards possible financial obligations of erstwhile step down subsidiary at UK that got liquidated the net profit stood higher by 15% to Rs 80.53 crore.

On consolidated basis the sales grew by 19% for the quarter to Rs 1017.31 crore. However with OPM decline by 40 bps to 13.4% the operating profit stood restricted to Rs 136.39 crore, a rise of just 15%. The growth at net profit level finally was 35% to Rs 82.88 crore.

Order on hand as on Mar 31 '08 was Rs 2637 crore compared to Rs 3100 crore in the corresponding previous year. Given the fact of the company starting FY '09 with an lower order on hand compared to FY '08, the company currently expects lower rate of growth for FY '09.

Quarterly standalone performance

  • Sales growth on a higher base was 19% to Rs 1017.31 crore. Segment sales of energy division was higher by 12% to Rs 723.42 crore (or 77% of total sales) where as the environment division registered 7% jump in segment revenue to Rs 218.46 crore (or 23% of total sales).
  • Operating margin on yoy basis improved by 130 basis points to 13.8%. Sharp fall in material cost as well as staff cost were the chief architect for expansion in OPM. On segment basis the segment margin of energy business has expanded by 150 basis points to 15.7% however that of environment business it has came down by 140 bps to 13.9%. Better margin in energy business its seems combination of better order/ product mix as well as the company manage to pass on the higher commodity prices to customers.
  • Upside at operating level came from energy business with its segment profit grew by 24% to Rs 113.36 crore (or 79% of PBIT). But that of environment declined by 3% to Rs 30.36 crore (albeit on a higher base) with its segment margin erode by 140 bps.
  • Other income stood declined by 6% to Rs 12.55 crore. And interest cost was lower by 14% (to Rs 44 lakh) and depreciation was higher by 16% (to Rs 6.10 crore). As result the PBT was higher by 21% to Rs 133.05 crore.
  • EO (gross of tax) for the quarter as well as corresponding previous quarter was nil. Taxation for the quarter was higher by 23% to Rs 54.62 crore. Consequently the PAT was higher by 20% to Rs 78.43 crore. EO income (net of tax) for the quarter stood at Rs 2.10 crore (against Rs 4.14 crore) comprise of provisions towards possible financial obligations on account of counter guarantee to ME of UK. Finally the net profit stood higher by 15% to Rs 80.53 crore.

Sales for the year ended Mar '08 grew by 47% to Rs 3204.17 crore. However the OPM stood eroded to 12.8% compared to 13.7% as result the OPM stand restricted to Rs 409.58 crore, a rise of 38%. After accounting for higher other income (up 13% to Rs 41.77 crore), lower interest (Rs 1.27 crore down by Rs 3 lakh) and higher depreciation (up 16% to Rs 21.80 crore), the PBT stood higher by 36% to Rs 428.28 crore. EO (gross of tax) was nil compared to Rs 18.07 crore towards provision on diminution in value of investment in overseas subsidiary and provision for debts of overseas subsidiary amounting Rs 17.29 crore and Rs 78 lakh respectively. On a deflated base, the PBT after EO stood higher by 45% to Rs 428.28 crore. Taxation was higher by 46% to Rs 149.60 crore and thus the PAT was higher by 44% to Rs 278.68 crore. EO income (net of tax) for the quarter stood at Rs 2.10 crore (against Rs 5.48 crore of provision) comprise of provisions towards possible financial obligations on account of counter guarantee to ME of UK. Net profit finally was higher by 50% to Rs 280.78 crore.

Segment revenue of energy division for the year ended Mar '08 was higher by 53% to Rs 2620.67 crore (or 80% of total sales) and segment profit of the same grew by 45% to Rs 370.45 crore (or 82% of total PBIT). Whereas the segment revenue of environment division was higher by 24% to Rs 651.30 crore (or 20% of total sales), its segment profit was higher by 19% to Rs 79.16 crore (or 18% of total PBIT).

FY '08 consolidated result

On consolidated basis the revenue for the year ended Mar '08 was higher by 50% to Rs 3481.52 crore. Operating profit margin eroded by 60 bps to 12.3% thus restricting operating profit to Rs 426.67 crore, a rise of 42%.The PBT stood higher by 41% to Rs 445.72 crore, as other income up by 22% to Rs 43.90 crore and no major damage coming from interest and depreciation cost. EO expenses was nil for the fiscal compared to RS 12.35 crore towards provision on diminution in value of investment in overseas subsidiary and provision for debts of overseas subsidiary. Thus the PBT after EO was higher by 47% to Rs 445.72 crore. After providing for taxation (up 50% to Rs 157.10 crore), PAT was higher by 45% to Rs 288.62 crore. Minority interest during the fiscal as well as corresponding previous period was nil thus the PAT after minority interest was higher by 50% to Rs 290.72 crore.

Consolidated quarterly performance

On deducting FY '08 consolidated results with that of nine month results the consolidated revenue for the quarter ended Mar '08 was higher by 19% to Rs 1017.31 crore. Operating profit margin eroded by 40 bps to 13.4% (on yoy basis) thus restricting operating profit to Rs 136.39 crore, a rise of 15%.The PBT stood higher by 14% to Rs 142.21 crore, as other income up by 7% to Rs 13.22 crore and depreciation up by 26% to Rs 6.76 crore. EO expenses was nil for the quarter compared to RS 12.35 crore towards provision on diminution in value of investment in overseas subsidiary and provision for debts of overseas subsidiary. Thus the PBT after EO was higher by 26% to Rs 142.21 crore. After providing for taxation (up 34% to Rs 61.43 crore), PAT was higher by 21% to Rs 80.78 crore. After accounting for EO (net of tax) on account of write back of provision made towards possible financial obligation of step down overseas subsidiary was Rs 2.10 crore and minority interest (nil) the net profit stood higher by 35% to Rs 82.88 crore.

Other developments

To pay a final dividend at 400% (Rs 8 per equity share of Rs 2 face value each) for FY '08.

The stock hovers around Rs 463.60

 

CM ANALYSIS: Phoenix Lamps - Sparkling growth (Wednesday, May 21, 2008 14:29 Hrs IST)

Phoenix Lamps

Sparkling growth

For the quarter ended Mar'08 the net sales revenue of Phoenix Lamps stood at Rs 98.85 crore which was 39% higher as compared to corresponding period last year. The OPM Increased by sharply by 590 basis points to 20.5%. The resultant operating profit for the quarter under review stood at Rs 20.28 crore which was 96% higher on Y-o-Y basis. The ensuing PAT for the quarter under review stood at Rs 14.80 crore which was 52% higher on Y-o-Y basis.

Quarterly Analysis

For the quarter ended Mar'08 the net sales revenue of Phoenix Lamps stood at Rs 98.85 crore which was 39% higher as compared to corresponding period last year. The OPM Increased by sharply by 590 basis points to 20.5%. The resultant operating profit for the quarter under review stood at Rs 20.28 crore which was 96% higher on Y-o-Y basis.

The employee cost and other expenditure cost decreased (as % of sales net of stock adjustment) from 9.1% to 7.9% and from 20.2% to 16.8% respectively. The Cost of Consumption of Raw Materials increased (as % of sales net of stock adjustment) from 55.8% to 56.7%. During the quarter under review there was Purchase of traded goods was Rs 0.21 crore as compared nil during the corresponding previous quarter last year.

For the quarter ended Mar'08 other income of the company increased by 146% to Rs 1.84 crore. The ensuing PBIDT for the quarter ended Mar'08 was Rs 22.12 crore which was 100% higher as compared to the corresponding previous quarter last year. The Interest cost for the quarter ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 2.34 crore which was 39% higher when compared with corresponding period last year. The depreciation expenses for the quarter ended Mar'08 remained flat at Rs 2.76 crore.

The ensuing PBT for the quarter ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 17.02 crore which was 156% higher when compared with corresponding period last year. Provision for taxation (including current tax, deferred tax, fringe benefit tax, Mat Credit entitlement and Earlier period) for the quarter ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 2.21 crore (as against a Tax credit of Rs 3.10 crore during the corresponding period last year) resulting in a PAT of Rs 14.80 crore for the quarter ended Mar'08 as against Rs 9.75 crore in corresponding previous quarter last year, indicating a rise of 52%.

Year ended

For the year ended Mar'08 the net sales revenue of Phoenix Lamps stood at Rs 356.65 crore which was 28% higher as compared to corresponding period last year. The OPM Increased by by 230 basis points to 18.6%. The resultant operating profit for the year under review stood at Rs 66.43 crore which was 46% higher on Y-o-Y basis.

The employee cost and other expenditure cost decreased (as % of sales net of stock adjustment) from 8.9% to 7.8% and from 19.0% to 16.5% respectively. The Cost of Consumption of Raw Materials increased (as % of sales net of stock adjustment) from 55.5% to 57.8%.

For the year ended Mar'08 other income of the company increased by 38% to Rs 3.84 crore. The ensuing PBIDT for the quarter ended Mar'08 was Rs 70.27 crore which was 46% higher as compared to the corresponding previous quarter last year. The Interest cost for the year ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 7.15 crore which was 1% lower when compared with corresponding period last year. The depreciation expenses for the year ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 11.11 crore, which was 3% higher when compared with corresponding period last year.

The ensuing PBT for the year ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 52.00 crore which was 72% higher when compared with corresponding period last year. Provision for taxation (including current tax, deferred tax, fringe benefit tax, Mat Credit entitlement and Earlier period) for the year ended Mar'08 stood at Rs 3.93 crore (as compared to a Tax credit of Rs 2.43 crore during the corresponding period last year) resulting in a PAT of Rs 48.08 crore for the year ended Mar'08 as against Rs 32.64 crore in corresponding period last year, indicating a rise of 47%. During the year under review there was Prior Period Adjustments (Net) of Rs 0.07 crore when compared with Rs 1.16 crore during the corresponding period last year. The ensuing PBT after Prior Period Adjustments (Net) stood at Rs 48.00 crore as compared to Rs 31.47 crore during the corresponding period last year indicating a rise of 53%.

Highlights:

  • Company is riding high on the increased production with the start of the Haridwar facility.
    • Enters new strategic markets for auto exports
  • Better realizations through backward and forward integration
  • Company successfully implemented SAP ERP solution

Other highlights

With regard to auditor's observation regarding charging of Rs 8.718 crore to reserves and surplus of the company, this is charged so, as the same is being given to the employees as special incentive in recognition of their services.

The implementation of SAP ERP system has resulted in the change of valuation method for inventories other than finished goods from FIFO basis to transaction moving weighted average.The impact of such change is not significant.

The Company has adopted Accounting Standard 15 (Revised 2005) "Employee Benefit" during the year. In accordance with the revised accounting standard, the transitional liablity amounting to Rs 1.8627 crore has been deducted from opening balance of general reserve.

The Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on May 19, 2008, inter alia, have took the following new initiatives and approved the following:

1. Formation of a subsidiary Company in India with majority shareholding of Phoenix for the manufacture of Electronic Gears under Joint Venture with a Foreign Company.

2. Joint Venture in Kuwait for marketing / manufacture of CFL Lamps and Luminaries with majority shareholding of Phoenix.

The scrip is currently trading around Rs 167.75

 

CM ANALYSIS: Suzlon Energy - Consolidated Net up 29% restricted by higher EO (Wednesday, May 21, 2008 11:20 Hrs IST )


Suzlon Energy

Consolidated Net up 29% restricted by higher EO

Suzlon Energy, the domestic wind energy leader on consolidated basis has turned in strong revenue growth of 69% (to Rs 4923.75 crore) for the quarter ended Mar '08. But faced with pressure at operating level where the operating margin eroded by 230 basis points to 14.7%, the growth at operating profit stood restricted to 46% to Rs 724.62 crore. The growth at net profit level before profit from associates and minority interest stood restricted to 27% to Rs 456.51 crore. But for higher EO expense (net of tax) amounting Rs 82.97 crore as against nil in the corresponding previous quarter the growth at bottomline growth would have been steeper. EO for the quarter was largely expense towards rotor blade retrofit programme.

On standalone basis the sales was higher by 34% (to Rs 2744.40 crore). With OPM expand by 70 basis points to 22.4%, the operating profit stood higher by 38% to Rs 615.80 crore. Finally the net profit was up by just 10% to Rs 482.55 crore as the profits were hit by higher tax incidence and higher EO expense during the quarter.

The consolidated order book of the Company as on May 19, 2008 was Rs 18308.59 crore (3454.25 MW) compared to Rs 9,486 crore (1,958 MW) as end of May 11, '07. International orders amounts Rs 17422.10 crore (3294.15 MW) comapared to Rs 8,078 crore (1692 MW) in the corresponding period last year. Even the international order on strong foot the domestic orders have declined. The domestic orders stood at Rs 886.49 crore (160.10 MW) comapared to Rs 1408 crore (266 MW) as on May 11, '07.

Suzlon Energy is the world's leading wind turbine generator (WTG) manufacturer. The Company has been ranked the 5th largest in the world in terms of capacity installed in 2005 and holds a global market share of 10.5% in 2007. And the company is the largest in India and Asia as well in terms of market share. The Company has been the market leader for nine years consecutively, installing over 50% of the capacity added. The company offers customers total wind power solutions including consultancy, manufacturing, operations & maintenance services.

Consolidated quarterly performance

Consolidated sales for the quarter ended Mar '08 was higher by 69% to Rs 4923.75 crore. The segment revenue of wind turbine was higher by 86% to Rs 4084.93 crore (or 81% of total sales) while that gear box (Hansen transmission business) stood at Rs 865.23 crore, a rise of 33% accounting 17% of total sales The segment revenue of others segment grew by 54% to Rs 109.03 crore (2% of total sales).

Escalating commodity prices resulting in upward cost push have resulted in sustained pressure on margin. Since the order book to delivery period for international orders being longer compared to domestic orders which is not more than 6 months the company was forced to absorb part of incremental material cost despite the pass through in international orders. The pass through normally covers only to the extent of 65% of the rise in material cost. Further the margins were under pressure in change in duty structure in US and tax structure in Brazil as the old orders have not factored these additional costs. Reflecting this the segmental EBITDA margin of both Wind Turbine as well as Gear Box business were lower by 480 bps (to 12.5%) and 330 bps (to 18.7%) respectively. Material cost which as a proportion to sales net of stocks was higher by 260 bps to 68.1%. Even the staff cost and OE was lower by 50 bps and 10 bps respectively that could not cushion the rise in material cost leaving the margin to erode by 230 bps to 14.7%. Consequent to erosion in margin the operating profit was limited to Rs 724.62 crore, a rise of 46%.

Faced with erosion in margin, the segment profit of both wind turbine generators and gear box was limited to 34% and 13% despite higher revenue growth. On a segment revenue growth 86% the segment profit of WTG was higher by just 34% to Rs 508.67crore. Similarly the segment profit of gear box stood higher by 13% to Rs 161.76 crore on a revenue growth 33%.

The other income more than doubled to Rs 95.92 crore, a rise of 107%. The interest cost was higher by 33% to Rs 128.98 crore and depreciation was higher by 63% to Rs 97.78 crore. As result the PBT was higher by 54% to Rs 593.78 crore.

After accounting for taxation the PAT before EO & minority interest was higher by 50% to Rs 539.48 crore. Taxation for the quarter was higher by 112% to Rs 54.30 crore. The net profit before minority interest was higher by 27% to Rs 456.51 crore. But for higher EO expense (net of tax) amounting Rs 82.97 crore as against nil in the corresponding previous quarter the growth at bottomline would have been steeper. EO for the quarter was largely expense towards rotor blade retrofit programme. Eventually the net profit stood at Rs 464.82 crore, up 29% after adjusting for minority interest and profit on associate of Rs 37.44 crore and Rs 45.75 crore respectively.

Consolidated full year performance

Consolidated sale for fiscal ended Mar '08 was higher by 71% to Rs 13679.43 crore. With OPM skid to 14.1% from 16.2% the Operating profit was restricted to Rs 1924.45 crore, a rise of just 49%. Other income was up 49% to Rs 1924.45 crore. Interest cost and depreciation was up by 111% (to Rs 532.03 crore) and 68% (to Rs 289.36 crore). Thus the PBT was up by 41% to Rs 1367.61 crore. After accounting for taxation (up 93% to Rs 199.29 crore), the PAT was higher by 35% to Rs 1168.32 crore. The EO net of tax was Rs 151.17 crore compared to nil in the corresponding previous period. Limited thus the net profit before minority interest and profit/ loss on associate stood higher by just 18% to Rs 1017.15 crore. The EO for the quarter consists of Rs 65.46 crore for site restoration and Rs 121.71 crore for rotor blade retrofit program. Minority interest stood at Rs 42.80 crore compared to Rs 77 lakh in corresponding previous period. The Share on profit of associate stood at Rs 55.75 crore compared to nil in corresponding previous period thus leaving the net profit up by 19% to Rs 1030.10 crore.

Standalone quarterly Results

Sales for the quarter ended Mar '08 was up by 34% to Rs 2744.40 crore. However a 70 basis point expansion in operating profit margin along with higher sales saw the operating profit to expand by 38% to Rs 615.80 crore.

Other income was lower by 1% to Rs 42.43 crore affected by loss on account of restatement of foreign currency liability aggregating to Rs 35.25 crore. Interest cost was higher by 9% to Rs 32.48 crore and depreciation was lower by 1% to Rs 24.96 crore. Thus the PBT was higher by 38% to Rs 600.79 crore. Taxation was Rs 35.27 crore compared to a write back of Rs 3.80 crore in corresponding previous period. Taxation in corresponding previous quarter is net of MAT credit availed by the company during that quarter. Finally PAT was higher by 29% to Rs 565.52 crore.

EO expense (net of tax) amounted Rs 82.97 crore as against nil in the corresponding previous quarter. EO for the quarter was largely expense towards rotor blade retrofit programme. Eventually the net profit was higher by 10% to Rs 482.55 crore.

Standalone yearly Results

For the year ended Mar '08 the company has reported 29% jump in revenue to Rs 6926.01 crore. As OPM expand to 23.0% from 22.2% the operating profit stood higher by 33% to Rs 1592.90 crore.

Other Income has zoomed by 43% to Rs 125.61 crore. Gain on account of restatement of foreign currency liability for the fiscal aggregate to Rs 4.4 crore.The Interest expenses have increased by 40% to Rs 125.34 crore while provision for depreciation has increased by 17% to Rs 86.21 crore. PBT for the quarter has posted a growth of 35% to Rs 1506.96 crore. Provision for tax was higher by 54% of Rs 90.08 crore. PAT stood higher by 34% growth to Rs 1116.88 crore.

The EO net of tax was Rs 151.17 crore compared to nil in the corresponding previous period. The EO for the quarter consists of Rs 65.46 crore for site restoration and Rs 121.71 crore for rotor blade retrofit program.

Limited thus the net profit stood higher by just 19% to Rs 1265.71 crore.

Final dividend @ 50%

The company to pay a final dividend of Rs 1 per equity share of Rs 2 face value each for FY '08.

Power transmission business foray

The company through its wholly owned subsidiary i.e. Suzlon Power Infrastructure (SPIPL) has made an application for a transmission license to the Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission ('GERC') at Ahmedabad on January 28, 2008. The transmission lines covered under the application will support the power evacuation arrangements and transmission of power for the wind sites and any other generating sources located in the Kutch region of Gujarat, India. In expectation of receipt of the license by SPIPL, Suzlon Gujarat Wind Park, another WOS of the Company has inventorised the costs incurred by it on developing a part of these lines till March 31, 2008. The extent of the costs which can be inventorised has been determined based on lower of cost incurred and valuation conducted by an external valuer. These lines would eventually be transferred to SPIPL, based on a valuation of the investment approved by the regulator.

Capex plans

Work on establishment of 3000 MW in new capacity are in advanced stage of progress with production scheduled to begin in July FY '09 and to reach full utilization levels by last quarter of FY '09. These new capacities will more than double the capacity of the company to 5700 MW.

Work on company's project to establish forging facilities of 70000 MT capacity and foundry facility of 120000 MT capacity too on schedule and these facility to start commercial production in Q3 FY '09.

Management Comment

Commenting on the result Tulsi R Tanti, the CMD of the company has quoted 'Our global growth story continues ever stronger. Suzlon has grown at over 71% compared to an industry average of 24%. We continue to outperform our peers on the global stage, and will continue our record breaking growth even in this supply restricted environment. Our global market share in CY 2007 grew to 10.5% up from 7.7% in CY 2006, registering significant increase of 30%.' Andre Horbach, CEO of the company quoted ' We entered several new markets in the last year, securing breakthrough orders in Nicaragua, Turkey, Spain, Brazil and taking the business from 16 to 21 countries worldwide.'.

The stock hovers around Rs 318.35.

 


 

Thursday, May 22, 2008

Water purifier turns money-spinner-the Calcutta telegraph reports

Forbes and company holds 100% stake in eureka forbes.It is surprising that electrolux valuations have risen by 3.5 billion rs after its entry in water purifiers while we get 100% of eureka forbes + its cfs division + 16 cares in perrungadi chennai + real estate in chandivali and thane for 650 crs .

eureka forbes sales in FY08 will be above 1050 crs vs 730 crs


Water purifier turns money-spinner
SIMI KAMBOJ

Mumbai, May 19: The next world war — if there ever is one — will not
be over territory (land), but water.

The apocalyptic prophecy may never come true, but corporate skirmishes
have already begun over a scarce commodity: clean drinking water.

Sparkling pure water has never looked so alluring before.

The water purification business has emerged as the next money spinner
for consumer goods manufacturers, with more and more players entering
the fray, including Hindustan Unilever.

Sharda Prasad of Philips Consumer Lifestyle says the vulnerability of
the water distribution system to contamination and the onset of
water-borne diseases, especially during monsoon, have made the Indian
consumer anxious, even paranoid, about ensuring clean and potable
water for the family.

"This changing attitude of consumers indicates huge potential for
growth in this segment. With almost 94 per cent of the market
untapped, it's a good time for companies to be in this space," adds
Prasad.

The Indian water purification market stands at Rs 800 crore and is
growing at 15 to 20 per cent annually, market watchers say.

The market penetration is low at barely 6 per cent; the field is
dominated by Eureka Forbes, which controls 70 per cent of the market,
followed by Kent, a reverse osmosis player, and Ion Exchange's Zero B.

But now the new entrants have started to shake up the market.

Philips, which launched four models of the Philips Intelligent Water
Purifier last year, says it is "delighted" with the response.

Philips products are priced Rs 6,995 onwards and go up to Rs 10,495
for the fully loaded autonomous models with battery back-up.

Hindustan Unilever has stormed the water purification space with its
resin technology based Pureit, arguably the cheapest offering among
the new entrants.

Running on a "germkill" battery kit, Pureit costs Rs 1,800. The
battery kit priced at Rs 300 lasts for about 1,500 litres, offering
water at 20 paise per litre.

The company plans to sell 1.5 million purifiers and seven million
batteries by 2010.

"HUL has a unique distribution network in terms of how it acquires and
services the customer. Customers interested in Pureit will have to
call a helpline asking for a free home demonstration," said a company
official.

Whirlpool India is also rolling out a "direct flow reverse osmosis
water purifier" across the metros, mini metros and key cities.

The three models in the Purafresh range priced between Rs 12,500 and
Rs 22,000, are certified by the Water Quality Association, USA.

"We have entered this category as we see long-term benefits," said
Shantanu Das Gupta, vice-president of Whirlpool India Ltd.

But is the market big enough to accommodate all the players?

"There is enough space in the market since only 6 per cent households
currently use purifiers. HUL and others have finally identified the
opportunity which we saw 25 years ago. However, only the businesses
that deliver quality after-sales service will be the ones which will
survive and be successful," said S.K. Palekar of Eureka Forbes.

--
 
courtesy: Aditya


Chocoholics' paradise! Enter here.

FIIs net sell Rs 537cr, DIIs net buy Rs 415cr



Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers of Rs 537.35
crore (provisional) today, according to data released by BSE.

While FIIs made gross purchases of Rs 2,226.70 crore, gross sales
totalled Rs 2,764.05 crore.

Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers of Rs 415.16
crore today. While DIIs made gross purchases of Rs 1,345.33 crore,
gross sales totalled Rs 930.17 crore.

FIIs were net sellers of Rs 611.40 crore on Wednesday, May 21,
according to data released by Sebi today. While FIIs made gross
purchases of Rs 2,830.30 crore, gross sales totalled Rs 3,441.70
crore.

Mutual funds (MFs) were net buyers of Rs 13.10 crore on Wednesday. MFs
made purchases of Rs 622.60 crore and sales of Rs 609.50 crore.



Unlimited freedom, unlimited storage. Get it now

BSNL to capture 30% marketshare by next year



Expressing concern on the drop in BSNL's marketshare, Communications
and IT Minister A Raja today asked the state-run telecom operator to
capture 30 per cent of the market by the end of next year.

"While mobile market in India is growing at a rapid speed with more
than 9 million new connections every month, BSNL has dropped from the
second position to the fourth position in the country in this
important sector.

"It has vast infrastructure throughout the country with maximum reach
and penetration. I would like the organisation to leverage this
strength to increase its market share to 30 per cent by the end of
next year," Raja said today at the BSNL circle head meeting here.

BSNL, after facing repeated delays in equipment supply due to
controversies in tenders and losing critical time in customer
acquisition, has a marketshare of 18.44 per cent as on April, 2008.

He said India has become the second largest customer base after China
with more than 300 million telephone connections and has the fastest
growth rate in mobile segment, growing at the rate of around 8-10
million connections per month.

"The whole world is looking at India as the major telecom market and a
place of great opportunities in the next 5 to 10 years. Today, India
is attracting an investment of approximately $10 billion per year,
which is likely to grow to $15 billion per year in the next three to
four years," he said.

Raja said the government is committed to cover the unconnected
population through USO fund. "Under Phase-I of the project, about
8,000 towers are planned to be erected, out of which 6,175 towers will
be erected by BSNL."
 


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Inflation to come down by Aug-Sept: Montek



Asking people to be patient, Planning Commission Deputy Chairman
Montek Singh Ahluwalia on Wednesday said that inflation, which is at a
44-month high, will moderate significantly by August-September.

"Given a certain amount of patience, inflation will come down in 3-4
months significantly," he told reporters on the sidelines of an
Assocham conference on 'India Inc Vision 2020'.

Prevailing uncertainties in the economy would have resolved themselves
by the end of 2008, he said.

Inflation rose to a 44-month high of 7.83 percent for the week ended
3rd May despite the fiscal and monetary measures taken by the
government and the Reserve Bank of India.

Referring to the growth rate in India, Ahluwalia said if the economy
grows at a rate of 8 percent over a period of five years, "a target of
9 percent growth in the Eleventh Plan is not unreasonable".

"I am very confident that India is at a position when it will get a
higher growth rate in the days ahead," he added.

He further said that final economic growth figures for 2007-08 would
be higher than the initial projection of 8 percent plus, as the
agriculture sector output has not been adequately accounted for in the
estimates.

Stressing on the need to make growth more inclusive, Ahluwalia said "a
good policy, if does not incorporate inclusive growth, will not be
sustainable in the long run".

Attributing the slowdown to global developments, he said "our
endeavour should be to maintain and improve the policies. The good
performance of the economy should not be taken for granted".

Referring to challenges being faced by the agriculture sector,
Ahluwalia said the farm sector growth rate was just around 2 percent
between 1997-2004, which was "not good for the economy".

He said the foodgrains production in the Eleventh Plan would increase
by 2.5 percent each year with technologies at the disposal of farmers
and therefore foodgrains stock would not suffer.

The aim in the Eleventh Plan, he said, was to achieve a growth close
to 4 perent in the agriculture sector.

He said the country would need an investment of around Rs 4.2 lakh
crore during the current Plan to ensure double-digit growth of
industrial sector.

Ahluwalia said apart from infrastructure and agriculture sectors, the
country needs to focus on health, energy, water and employment.

Speaking on the occasion, Assocham President Venugopal Dhoot said with
growth came inflation, but it would decline in few months.

He said that the economy would grow around 8 percent despite the fall
in industrial production and rising inflation.



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SEBI finetunes alternate payment option



MUMBAI: Retail investors who are ready to apply at the cut-off price
in a public issue on the condition that they will not revise their
bids later on, will be eligible to use the proposed Applications
Supported by Blocked Amount (ASBA) mode of payment. Under ASBA, the
application money will not leave the investor's account till the basis
of allotment has been finalised.

The market regulator has worked out the modalities for the proposed
system and has invited public comments for the same. June 6 has been
fixed as the last day for submitting comments or suggestions. However,
ASBA method will be only an optional one and would co-exist with the
current system of investors using cheque as a payment instrument.

According to the proposed process, retail investors would have to
submit bids at the cut-off price through self-certified syndicate
banks (SCSBs) in which they have their accounts. Thereafter, the banks
would accept the applications, block the funds to the extent of bid
payment amount, upload the details in the electronic bidding system of
BSE or NSE, unblock the money once the basis of allotment is finalised
and transfer the amount for allotted shares, to the issuer.

"This (ASBA) would co-exist with the current procedure of investors
applying through sub syndicate/syndicate members with cheque as a
payment instrument," says the SEBI document. Meanwhile, if sufficient
balance for blocking the amount is not available in the applicant's
account, the application shall be rejected.

According to the market regulator, banks that wish to be recognised as
SCSB must hold a valid registration certificate as a banker to issue
under the SEBI (Bankers to an Issue) Regulations, 1994. Banks also
need to undertake mock trial run of its systems with BSE or NSE and
few registrars and in order to check that the adequate systems and
infrastructure are in place at its controlling branch and the
designated branches.

Such banks must also have an arrangement with BSE or NSE, which would
allow them access to the web-enabled interface of BSE or NSE for
uploading the bid/application data in their electronic bidding
system.

Sebi has directed the stock exchanges to make available a web-enabled
access to their electronic bidding system to the SCSB and the
designated branches for uploading of the bid/application data.

SCSBs, which wish to enable online application through ASBA, will have
to use its own net banking facility and will not be allowed to compel
the investor to apply through brokerage entities that are its
subsidiaries or associates or with whom it might have some
arrangements.

Interestingly, the proposed modalities are in line with chairman CB
Bhave's intention of cutting down the time between a company's public
issue and its listing from 21 to seven days. The approval to marking
lien on bank account is being seen as the first step in that
direction. SEBI, during its board meeting on May 13, gave an 'in-
principle' nod to marking lien on bank account as an alternative mode
of payment in public and rights issues.

 


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Rupee weakens past 43/dollar to 13-mth lows



MUMBAI: The partially convertible Indian rupee weakened past 43 per
dollar to its lowest level in 13 months in opening deals on Thursday,
as record oil prices raised worries of a widening trade deficit.

At 9.02 am, the rupee was at 43.10 per dollar, a level it last traded
on April 6, 2007. It had closed at 42.83/84 on Wednesday.

Source : Economic Times


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Equities seen lower on weak global cues


MUMBAI: Equities are likely to open lower on Thursday tracking weak
overseas cues. Mounting worries over the health of the US economy
rattled investors across the world and record high oil prices
continued to keep sentiment jittery.

US stocks tumbled on Wednesday, posting their biggest losses in two
weeks, amid fears the US economy faces stagflation after the Federal
Reserve slashed its economic growth forecasts while raising estimates
for inflation.

The Dow fell 227.49, or 1.77 per cent, to 12,601.19, after falling
nearly 200 points on Tuesday. Broader stock indicators also stumbled.
The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 22.69, or 1.61 percent, to
1,390.71, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 43.99, or 1.77
percent, to 2,456.09.

Further fueling market concerns, oil prices surged further into
uncharted territory, soaring over $4 a gallon, or 3.25 per cent, to a
record high close at $133.17, after US government report showed a
surprise drop in crude stockpiles.

Asian markets were trading weak following Wall Street cues. The Nikkei
slumped 2 per cent, Hang Seng fell 2.61 per cent and Straits Times
declined 1.45 per cent.

Back home, on Wednesday, saddled with weak overseas cues, the market
opened on a nervous note, slipped in the early part of the day, only
to stage a smart recovery in post-noon trading.

Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensex closed flat at 17,243.16, up 12.98
points or 0.08 per cent. The 30-share index bounced back 200 points
from day's low of 17,041.63 to touch an intra-day high of 17,293.34.

National Stock Exchange's Nifty advanced 0.25 per cent or 12.70 points
to close at 5117.65. The index touched a high of 5,135.55 and low of
5,048.70.

Source : Economic Times


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PowerYourTrade Midday Trading Calls


Midday Trading Calls for 21st May 2008
Hitendra Vasudeo, stockmechanics.com
Buy Hindustan Oil Exploration above Rs 149. Stop Loss of Rs 143, target of Rs 154-Rs 156. (Intra-day/Positional Call)
Buy Mundra Port above Rs 925. Stop Loss of Rs 889, target of Rs 1035-Rs 1071. (Intra-day/Positional Call)
Buy Aban Offshore at Rs 4000-Rs 3820. Stop Loss of Rs 3700, target of Rs 4533 for short term. (Intra-day/Positional Call)
Disclaimer :Intra-day call are of high risk as they are based on instant market movement. If the money and risk is not managed correctly, then traders and short term investors can land up in losses.

We are not responsible for any losses that can occur due to volatility and stop loss violation.

I do not have any personal positions any time on the recommendation made for the intra-day calls. However, it is possible that our Live Market Calls subscriber's could have positions and trading positions without our knowlege and consent. We also dont have any control on our client reverse positions if they have created against our recommendtion. Individual traders, implementers of the trading call are doing it at their own risk. We also dont have any control on our subscriber's positions.

Traders are advised to check their cost in long and short trades and kee p taking profits irrespective of our targets. What matter is trading profits therefore check cost and keep taking profits.

 

Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated May 21, 2008


 
 Sharekhan's daily newsletter
 
May 21, 2008
Index Performance
Index

Sensex

Nifty
Open 17,065.61 5,105.70
High 17,293.34 5,135.55
Low 17,041.63 5,048.70
Today's Cls 17,243.16 5,117.65
Prev Cls 17,230.18 5,104.95
Change 12.98 12.70
% Change 0.08 0.25
 

Market Indicators
Top Movers (Group A)
Company Price 
(Rs)
%
chg

Gainers

Praj Industries 217.80 11.26
HMT 84.15 10.00
Chambal Fertilisers 82.45 6.46
Gujarat NRE Coke 159.00 6.28
GTL Infra 54.45 6.04

Losers

Tech Mahindra 868.60 -4.17
Phoenix Mills 363.25 -3.93
Glenmark Pharma 625.60 -3.87
HDIL 811.75 -3.64
HDFC Bank 1,413.90 -3.46
Market Statistics
- BSE NSE
Advances 1,710 755
Declines 1,009 449
Unchanged 76 24
Volume(Nos) 42.45cr

65.26cr

 Market Commentary 
Volatile market ends buoyant
Led by buying in oil & gas and metal stocks, the Sensex recovered smartly in the afternoon and ended firm at 17242.
The market wiped out losses of over 150 points incurred in the first half, after a strong bout of buying in Tisco, Mahindra & Mahindra and Reliance Industries triggered  
wide-spread buying in the market. It was a highly volatile trading session, with the Sensex opening 164 points lower at 17066 following weakness in Asian indices and crashing to the day's low of 17042 on relentless selling. The market was on a recovery path thereafter--the Sensex witnessed a sharp turnaround in the afternoon as gains in heavyweights, oil & gas, metal and public sector stocks propelled the index to an intra-day high of 17293. After gyrating 250 points during intra-day trades, the Sensex closed up 13 points at 17243. The Nifty also ended 13 points higher at 5118.

Movers & Shakers

  • GMR Infrastructure gained ground on reports that the company has reported a 202% surge in its Q4 net profit.
  • Ranklin Solutions, which has decided to acquire 51% of the shareholding in Logic Bytes Pvt Ltd, recorded gains.


The market breadth ended in positive. Of the 2,795 stocks traded on the BSE 1,710 stocks advanced, 1,009 stocks declined and 76 stocks ended unchanged. Among the sectoral indices, the BSE Oil & Gas index led the pack and gained 2.36% at 11,433 followed by the BSE Metal index (up 1.24% at 17,390) and the BSE PSU index (up 0.98% at 7,727). The CG index, auto index and realty index ended with steady gains. The rest of the sectoral indices ended in negative territory. 

Tata Steel was the star performer amongst the heavyweights and the stock soared 3.09% at Rs922.25. Among the other major gainers, Mahindra & Mahindra advanced 2.66% at Rs670, Reliance Industries jumped 2.53% at Rs2,667.90, BHEL rose 2.03% at Rs1,771.70, Grasim moved up by 1.57% at Rs2,323.10, Tata Motors advanced 1.55% at Rs688.85 and TCS added 1.18% at Rs963.95. However, HDFC Bank, HDFC and HUL inched lower.

Oil stocks were in demand and scaled higher. RNRL soared 5.04% at Rs113.60, Aban Offshore flared up 4.95% at Rs4,050, Essar Oil added 4.75% at Rs261.20, RPL gained 3.99% at Rs192.90 and BPCL was up 1.99% at Rs356.05. In the metal pack, Gujarat NRE zoomed 6.28% at Rs159, NATCO shot up by 4.62% at Rs538, Hindustan Zinc rose 3.07% at Rs752 and Ispat gained 2.40% at Rs34.10. 

Over 2.15 crore IFCI shares changed hands on the BSE followed by RNRL (1.49 crore shares), Ispat (1.40 crore shares), Aishwarya (1.39 crore shares), Chambal Fertilizers (1.24 crore shares) and RPL (1.04 crore shares)

European Indices at 16:20 IST on 21-05-2008
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
FTSE 100 Index 6210.00 18.40 0.30
CAC 40 Index 5032.38 -22.50 -0.45
DAX Index 7086.86 -31.64 -0.44
Asian Indices at close on 21-05-2008
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
Nikkei 225 13926.30 -233.79 -1.65
Hang Seng Index 25460.29 290.83 1.16
Kospi Index 1847.51 -25.64 -1.37
Straits Times Index 3196.90 -2.98 -0.09
Jakarta Composite Index 2494.71 -16.25 -0.65

 

 


 


 

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

PowerYourTrade Trading Calls



Trading Calls for 20 May 2008
Ashwani Gujral
Buy Gitanjali Gems with a stop loss of Rs 275 for a target of Rs 388

Buy Gitanjali Gems with a stop loss of Rs 275 for a target of Rs 388.

Disclosure:Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in future.

Buy GNFC with a stop loss of Rs 160 for a target of Rs 200

Buy Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers Company, GNFC with a stop loss of Rs 160 for a target of Rs 200.

Disclosure:Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in future.

VK Sharma
Buy GACL around Rs 187 with a stop loss of Rs 183. This is day trading recommendation

Buy Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals, GACL around Rs 187 with a stop loss of Rs 183. This is day trading recommendation.

DISCLAIMER:

This document has been prepared by Anagram Stock broking Ltd. (Anagram), for use by the recipient only and not for circulation. The information and opinions contained in the document have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Anagram does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any securities. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published, in whole or in part, by any recipient hereof for any purpose without prior permission from us. Anagram and the analyst(s), including his dependant family members may have an interest in the securities recommended above. To unsubscribe, send a mail to unsubscribechinta@gmail.com.

Copyright in this document vests exclusively with Anagram Stock broking Limited.

Mathew Easow
Buy KS Oils with a stop loss of Rs 70 for a short-term target of Rs 111

Buy KS Oils with a stop loss of Rs 70 for a short-term target of Rs 111.

Disclaimer: -

At the time of writing this article, I, my family members and my group companies do not have any position SUN PHARMA ADVANCE RESEARCH COMPANY LTD & KS OILS LTD . These stock have been recommended to our clients and they may be holding long or short positions in these stocks.

Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. The information contained herein is not a complete analysis of every material fact representing the company, industry or security. The views expressed may change. However, prices can move up as well as down due to a number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility (or liability) for the accuracy of the above contents and also any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

Short Term Target Means - Approximately 3 -4 weeks. If the target is not met within 3-4 weeks then please exit the positions.

Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis-a-vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position. Individual traders /investors should book profit depending on their risk bearing capacity and need not wait for the targets.

Buy Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company with a stop loss of Rs 88 for a short term target of Rs 123

Buy Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company with a stop loss of Rs 88 for a short term target of Rs 123.

Disclaimer: -

At the time of writing this article, I, my family members and my group companies do not have any position SUN PHARMA ADVANCE RESEARCH COMPANY LTD & KS OILS LTD . These stock have been recommended to our clients and they may be holding long or short positions in these stocks.

Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. The information contained herein is not a complete analysis of every material fact representing the company, industry or security. The views expressed may change. However, prices can move up as well as down due to a number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility (or liability) for the accuracy of the above contents and also any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

Short Term Target Means - Approximately 3 -4 weeks. If the target is not met within 3-4 weeks then please exit the positions.

Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis-a-vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position. Individual traders /investors should book profit depending on their risk bearing capacity and need not wait for the targets.


 

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Oil prices drop below $126 a barrel after string of records


Oil prices dropped below $126 a barrel Monday in Asia after punching
through to another trading record at the end of last week despite an
increase in output by Saudi Arabia.

The world's leading oil producer promised an additional 300,000
barrels of crude a day as US President George W. Bush wrapped up a
meeting Friday with Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah. But that and the US
move to temporarily stop filling government stockpiles have done
little to change overall sentiment in the market.

``There's a perception that demand is going to hold up pretty strongly
this year,'' said Mark Pervan, senior commodity strategist at
Australia & New Zealand Bank in Melbourne. ``This idea that the market
just couldn't handle a hundred dollar oil has just gone out the
window ... so there's a parallel shift at where the market will
trade.''

Late afternoon in Singapore, light, sweet crude for June delivery was
down 34 cents at $125.95 a barrel in electronic trading on the New
York Mercantile Exchange.

In Friday trade, the June contract hit a trading record of $127.82 a
barrel before settling at $126.29, up $2.17 from the previous close.
That record was the eighth in the previous 10 sessions, and the first
time oil had topped $127.

The reason for the disconnect between the US and Saudi decisions and
oil prices has primarily to do with market expectations. The Saudi
production increase was seen as minuscule, and no one expected the
suspension of shipments to America's Strategic Petroleum Reserve to
have much impact on supplies.

Goldman Sachs, one of the most influential investment banks,
underscored that sentiment Friday when it hiked its oil price forecast
for the second-half of the year to US$141 a barrel, up from US$107
previously. Analysts at the bank argue that the oil market is
undergoing a ``structural repricing'' that will continue to play out
for some time to come.

``We would view any pullback in oil, regardless of the size or
duration _ although a correction could be as large as 15 percent _ as
an opportunity to re-establish long positions in oil before the
summer,'' Goldman Sachs advised traders.

Earlier this month, a Goldman Sachs analyst predicted that oil prices
could reach US$150-US$200 a barrel over the next 6 months to two
years.

There has been a growing belief that the investment bank is ``going to
be correct again,'' said Pervan. ``It was a contentious call when they
called ... for $100 oil ... but this second call has a lot more
credit,'' he said.

Arjun N Murti, the Goldman Sachs analyst making the call for $150-$200
oil, had forecast in April 2005 _ when oil was trading at less than
$60 a barrel _ that prices would rise to as high as $105.

At the time, many analysts said the market would never support such
high oil prices.

``The market's sitting up and listening a lot more closely this time
around,'' said Pervan.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures fell 1.5 cents to $3.6878
a gallon (3.8 liters) while gasoline prices fell 0.4 cent to $3.2195 a
gallon. Natural gas futures rose 3.3 cents to $11.127 per 1,000 cubic
feet.

July Brent crude fell 62 cents to $124.37 a barrel on the ICE Futures
exchange in London.


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Aircel reduces roaming call rates up to 75%

Leading mobile service provider Aircel today announced that it has
reduced the romaing call rates upto 75 per cent for the benefit of its
customers.

Talking to newspersons here, Aircel Director K V P Baskar said roaming
incoming call has been slashed from Rs 1.75 to one rupee while
outgoing call (within visited circle) has been reduced from Rs 1.40 to
one rupee.

He said outgoing call STD (outside visited circle) has also been
reduced to the extent of 60 per cent from Rs 2.40 to Rs 1.50.

"Aircel was present in nine telecom circle and with licenses secured
for remaining 14 of the 23 telecom circles, the company is on track to
become a pan-India operator," he added.

Baskar said additionally, Aircel has also obtained the nod from the
Department of Telecommunication (DoT) to provide international long
distance and national long distance telephony services.


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Pay commission recommended remedial measures


Much of the discussion on the Sixth Pay Commission (SPC)
recommendations has revolved around the quantum of the increase
proposed, estimated in the range of 20-50% including increases in
allowances. Some measures, based on the increase in government's wage
bill ('Pay Commission hike is only 13%', T T Ram Mohan, ET April 3)
have suggested that the increase is a lot lower. In general, the
complaint has been that SPC award does not address the issue of
government salaries being much lower than in the private sector.

It is true that going only by monetary compensation, government
salaries appear to be lower even after the SPC award, at least in the
senior government ranks. But this is not a meaningful comparison as
private sector compensation, as noted by the commission, is often a
measure of what the employee costs to the company. Since such a
measure includes the costs of non-monetary benefits, the actual
compensation in private sector is often a lot lower, particularly in
senior positions. In the case of the government, a similar adjustment
based on what an employee costs to the government would increase
salaries significantly. Pension and medical facilities, for instance,
are a big comfort for government employees.

These non-monetary benefits are largely the reason why despite
complaints, movement from the government to private sector has in
general not been significant. However, there are government sectors
where, even after adjusting for non-monetary benefits, the private
sector scores over the government. These are the sectors where the
government is either facing an exodus or is finding it difficult to
recruit. Military and paramilitary services are a case in point. The
SPC has rightly taken note of the special situations and recommended
generous salary corrections.

Take the case of central paramilitary forces, which the commission
acknowledges have arduous work conditions. The commission has,
therefore, recommended a pay scale jump for the entire constabulary of
central paramilitary forces. A constable, for instance, would now get
the pay scale of a head constable and a sub-inspector gets a pay scale
of an inspector. Allowances such as compensation in lieu of quarter,
family accommodation allowance, ration money allowance have either
been hiked or made available across the board.

The SPC has also given special attention to government staff which has
a direct interface with the public and is, therefore, instrumental in
quality of service delivery. These include staff such as nurses,
teachers and police. A staff nurse, for instance, would now get a pay
scale of Rs 7,450-11,500 and a grade pay of Rs 4,600 against a pay
scale of Rs 5,000-8,000 earlier. The increase is of the order of 50%.

Similarly, in order to attract better teaching talent and retain it in
the government sector, the commission has suggested good increments
for teachers. A primary school teacher in grade III, for example, goes
up to a pay scale of Rs 8,700-34,800 and a grade pay of Rs 4,200 from
a pay scale of Rs 6,500-10,500. This means teachers have got a jump of
two grades under the SPC.

Besides, in order to ensure better delivery of services, the
commission has also recommended a parity between field offices and the
secretariat. Earlier secretariat staff used to get higher salaries
even though it was field staff that was actually the interface with
the people and largely responsible for the delivery of services.
Clearly, the disaggregated picture is qualitatively a lot better. The
commission was, it appears, aware of the market realities. In general,
at lower ranks, government salaries are a lot higher than in the
private sector, for example those of unskilled Group D workshop staff.
Therefore, hikes are appropriately not too high. But wherever there is
competition from the private sector or the government needs to ensure
quality, the pay commission has recommended remedial measures.


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Airtel launches ‘dial a post-paid’ scheme


Mobile phone service provider Bharti Airtel Ltd has launched 'dial a
post-paid' scheme that would help the existing pre-paid customers
wishing to switch to post-paid connections and new customers intending
to subscribe to post-paid connections to have the formalities
completed at the doorstep.

Under the scheme that has a tariff plan of Rs 400, the customers would
be charged 50 paise for local calls and Re 1 for STD calls. They also
would have 800 local minutes and 800 local SMS free. The offer comes
without any entry deposit or deposit for STD or ISD connections. The
pre-paid customers have the option of upgrading to post-paid and opt
for this plan.

Rajiv Rajgopal, CEO, Mobile Services – Tamil Nadu, Bharti Airtel, said
the launch of the new scheme was another initiative by his company to
make mobile services available to the people at the doorstep.


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L&T bags electrical project worth Rs 6.35 bn in Gulf



India`s largest engineering firm Larsen & Toubro (L&T) bagged four EPC
electrical project orders worth Rs 6.35 billion from UAE and Oman in
the Gulf Region.

The projects will be executed by the Electrical Projects & Gulf
Operations Vertical of L&T`s Construction Division.

Two of these orders valued at Rs 5,210 million were secured from Abu
Dhabi Water & Electricity Authority (ADWEA), and involve supply and
construction of five 33/11kV GIS substations and 33 kV cabling works.

Apart from this, L&T`s subsidiary, L&T (Oman) at Muscat has bagged two
orders valued at Rs 1,140 million. While one order is from Oman
Electricity & Transmission Company for construction of 132 kVgrid
substation and associated transmission lines at Saham area of Oman,
the other order was received from Muscat Electricity Distribution
Company for 33/11 kV substation at the Mabella Region of Oman.

Both projects are to be completed within 10-13 months.


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Tech Mahindra makes net loss of Rs 225 cr



Mumbai-based IT solutions provider to telecom firms, Tech Mahindra,
reported a net loss of $54.7 million (around Rs 221 crore) for the
fourth quarter ended March 2008 as it incurred an exceptional charge
of $109.9 million (around Rs 440 crore) towards an exclusivity payment
to a customer (name not disclosed but sources say it's BT) for a long-
term strategic transformation contract.

In rupee terms, the company a consolidated net profit after tax and
before exceptional item of Rs 218.9 crore for Q4 FY 08 as against Rs
196.1 crore in Q4 FY 07 -- a 11.6 per cent growth. Its revenue touched
Rs 1021.8 crore for Q4 FY08 as against Rs 874.5 crore in Q4 FY07 -- a
16.9 per cent increase.

For the full year ending March 31, 2008, its consolidated revenue grew
by 28.6 per cent to Rs 3,766.10 crore from Rs 2,929 crore in the
previous financial year. Its consolidated net profit grew by 25.6 per
cent to Rs 769.6 crore from Rs 612.6 crore (excluding exceptional
items) in the previous year. Consolidated net profit after exceptional
items was reported at Rs 329.9 crore.

The company derived 19.4 per cent, 73.6 per cent and 7 per cent of its
revenues from the US & Canada, Europe (primarily British Telecom) and
rest of the world (ROW) regions respectively. The number of clients
increased from 83 in FY 07 to 107 in FY 08. Its consolidated headcount
increased from 19,749 in March 2007 to 22,884 in March 2008 -- a
growth of 15.9 per cent.

British Telecom holds a 31 per cent stake in Tech Mahindra and
contributes to over 60 per cent of its revenue. AT&T is its other
major client, contributing 16-17 per cent.

Anand Mahindra, Chairman, Tech Mahindra, said: "Our robust results
reinforce our leadership position in our chosen vertical. Our
alignment to customer needs and our investments in the telecom domain
have positioned us well for growth." Vineet Nayyar, Vice Chairman &
MD, Tech Mahindra, said: "Our strategy of building long-term
partnerships with our customers by pursuing multi year deals has
yielded us dividends this quarter. These deals are a reflection of the
confidence reposed in us by our customers


Chocoholics' paradise! Enter here.

Soaring food prices due to trade restrictions: US, Brazil



Trade restrictions, not biofuels, are to blame for soaring world food
prices, top US and Brazilian agricultural officials have said.

Export restrictions in India, Vietnam and Argentina -- among the
world's top producers of rice, soy and wheat -- are reducing world
food supply and inflating prices around the globe, said Mark Keenum,
Undersecretary for Farm and Foreign Agriculture Services at the US
Department of Agriculture.

India and Vietnam have restricted most rice exports, while Argentina
has banned wheat and beef exports and imposed heavy export taxes on
soy.

Those moves have "inhibited the capacity of its producers to maximize
their income," pushing up food prices far more than demand for
biofuel, Keenan told reporters after meeting with agricultural
officials in Brasilia.

Increased production of sugarcane-based ethanol has not reduced
Brazilian bean, soy and corn output, as experts predicted, Brazilian
International agribusiness secretary Celio Porto agreed.

He urged nations to slash farm subsidies and tariffs to boost world
food production by giving smaller countries access to larger markets.

Brazil is the world's largest ethanol exporter, and last year signed
accords with the US to boost biofuel production and draft
international quality standards that would allow ethanol to be traded
as a commodity, as oil is.


Planet Earth is in the hot seat. Know more.

SBI suspends loans for buying tractors, farm equipment


State Bank of India, the largest bank in the country, has suspended
new loans for buying tractors and other farm equipment.

The sudden decision, which according to SBI officials was prompted by
the rising bad loans, has surprised tractor makers and the farm
lobby.

"Our tractor loans now amount to around Rs 7,000 crore and 15 per cent
of which has become NPAs," said a senior SBI official.

The bank had issued circulars to all branches last week asking them to
stop new loans to purchase tractors with immediate effect. The bank is
planning a special recovery drive, for which they will also involve
tractor manufacturers, said the official in charge of rural business.

"Our aim is not to deprive funds to buy tractors. On the other hand,
our priority is to help genuinely distressed farmers. But there are
wilful defaulters in some pockets. We want to tackle that," said Anup
Banerji, Deputy Managing Director, Agri & Rural Business, SBI.

"This is a temporary measure. We hope to see some improvement in the
recovery by June, after which we will resume lending to this segment,"
said another SBI official.

Bankers are not sure whether all tractor loans would come under the
government's farm loan waiver scheme. Under the farm debt waiver
scheme announced in the Union Budget, there is a provision for a one-
time settlement under which the government will pay 25 per cent of the
loan, and the farmer will have to pay 75 per cent of the loan. "We are
guessing that the farmers who avail themselves of tractor loans may
not be small and marginal farmers who are eligible for full loan
waiver. However, they can take advantage of the one time settlement.
Yet, we are not sure," the official said.

An official with a leading tractor manufacturer said that the tie-up
with SBI has been working well.

There has been drop in sales, which was due to genuine slowdown in
demand.

SBI saw a growth of 24.6 per cent in agricultural advances for the
fiscal 2007-08.

For tractor financing, SBI has agreements with almost all major
companies such as TAFE Ltd, Mahindra & Mahindra, and Sonalika Group,
said an SBI official and the average ticket size of a tractor loan is
about Rs 4 lakh


Bring your gang together. Do your thing. Find your favourite Yahoo! Group.

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Texmaco Q4 net at Rs 30.48 cr; up 195%



Kolkata: K K Birla group company Texmaco Ltd on Friday reported a net
profit of Rs 30.48 crore in the quarter ended March, 2008, showing a
growth of 195 per cent over the corresponding period last year.

The sales were worth Rs 213.07 crore during the period under review,
against Rs 109.85 crore last year.

However, net profit for the entire year 2007-08 was Rs 69.09 crore for
the year ended 2007-08, up by 143 per cent over the previous year.

The net sales also scaled up by 81.5 per cent to Rs 693.47 crore
during the year. The company recommended a dividend of 75 per cent.

Texmaco board also approved stock-spilt of equity share of Rs 10 each
into 10 shares of Re 1 each.

Arrival of realty mutual funds aggravates talent shortage


The addition of new real estate investment products and property funds
that developers are lining up are expected to exacerbate the talent
crunch in real estate.

"The sector is currently hiring for front-office, back-office and
operational roles. The levels are comparable to the first wave of
aggressive hiring witnessed in the late nineties. We have seen over
1,500 cumulative openings being tendered in the first quarter of
2008," said Monisha Advani, managing director, Randstad Holdings India
(former Emmay HR), a hiring consultancy.

Though regulatory clarifications are still awaited, fund houses are
already on the hunt for key personnel, who have the caliber to look
after investments in real estate.

Milind Barve, managing director of HDFC Mutual Fund, says his firm has
already hired 5 to 6 people in the past 6 months for realty funds.

"Two of these would come from within the group i.e. Housing
Development and Finance Corporation, while another one has a finance
background," Barve said.

A fourth has been inducted to look after the tax issues on the deal
structuring side, while the fifth one will take care of legal issues
linked to due diligence of a property before investing in it. Rival
Birla Sun Life is on the lookout too.

"Not aggressively, but we are seeking people who have worked with
property consultants and investment banking firms," said an official
who did not wish to be named.

With talent in short supply, speed is of essence.

Property consultant Knight Frank has seen two seniors —- one from
India and another from Australia —- move to UK-based firm Rutley
EuropeanProperty's Indian asset management operations.

Manish Charatkar, head of human resources for western location at
Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj, says recruiting takes a long time, though
people are found in the end.

Poaching from competitors is rampant. "At any given point in time,
good people have 2 to 3 offers in hand. There is a premium on
readymade talent," says a consultant.

Not surprisingly, salaries are flying.

"On an average a professional gets 25-35% increment annually. Were
they to change jobs, the increment rises to 40%-50%. For companies,
the cost implications multiply if there is a delay in projects. That
makes these companies more than willing to meet the rising
expectations of candidates," says E Balaji, chief executive officer of
Ma Foi Management Consultants.

Educational institutes have been quick on the uptake, launching
specialised courses.

Narsee Monjee, the Mumbai-based B-school, has a 2-year programme on
real estate management, while Welingkar Institute offers a diploma in
real estate.

"Property developer Akruti Nirman has its own college. Others have
subjects in specific areas of real estate starting since second year
of graduation if not a full-fledged curriculum," Jones Lang LaSalle
Charatkar said.

According to a Ma Foi Employment Survey, real estate is likely to add
about 47,000 professionals in the organised segment this year.

How will the demand be catered to? Overseas talent is one answer.

"One of our clients brought in German engineers to handle their
projects," said Balaji.

Pranay Vakil, chairman of Knight Frank India said these days he gets
"innumerable" calls from the US, especially from New York.

Knight Frank just recruited a person from Kuwait, who has investment
banking background, while another from the US, with a housing finance
background in the US is also expected to join.

"Salaries in India have become comparable to those in the US, and the
subprime-triggered slump there is helping draw talent," he said.

Another approach could be hiring advisory services instead of hiring
and developing in house talent —- the way UTI Mutual Fund has done.

"We could utilise our existing partnership such as the one with
Shinsei Bank. We may only mobilise funds and leave the fund management
job to other firms that have the expertise. However, this is in the
planning stage yet," said UTI Mutual Fund's spokesperson Debashish
Mohanty.

Indian oil firms to lose Rs 1.8 trillion


Indian Oil, Hindustan Petroleum and Bharat Petroleum are likely to
incur a revenue loss of Rs 1,80,000 crore (Rs 1,800 billion on fuel
sales during the current fiscal after surge in global crude prices and
weakening rupee widened losses.

India imports 73 per cent of its crude oil import needs and the cost
of imports would spiral after crude inched closer to a record $125 per
barrel, while rupee touched its 13-month low, official sources said.

The basket of crude oil India imports was at $120.65 per barrel on
Thursday, a 91 per cent jump over the last fiscal's lowest price of
62.91 dollars recorded on May 9, 2007, official sources said.

The under-realisation on sale of petrol, diesel, domestic LPG and
kerosene in 2008-09 was previously put at Rs 1,50,000 crore (Rs 1,500
billion). But with rising crude and weakening rupee, the losses may
now total Rs 1,80,000 crore.

The three firms lost Rs 77,304.50 crore (Rs 773.04 billion) on fuel
sales in 2007-08 but the finance ministry allowed a revenue loss of
just over Rs 70,500 crore (Rs 705 billion) for the purpose of
government compensation.

The government at present compensates 42.7 per cent of the revenue
loss through issue of oil bonds. This may be raised to 50 per cent.

Sources said the oil firms were, at present, losing Rs 16.34 a litre
on petrol, Rs 23.49 per litre on diesel, Rs 305.90 per LPG cylinder
and Rs 28.72 a litre on kerosene.

Loss figures for petrol and diesel are calculated based on average
price of oil in a fortnight while those for LPG and kerosene are based
on monthly average.

The losses have widen from Rs 13.97 a litre on petrol and Rs 20.97 per
litre on diesel this fortnight, sources said.


 

 

PowerYourTrade Midday Trading Calls


Midday Trading Calls for 16th May 2008
Hitendra Vasudeo, stockmechanics.com
Buy Cairn India above Rs 296. Stop Loss of Rs 292, target Rs 307-Rs 312. (Intra-day/Positional Call)
Buy Jet Airways above Rs 542. Stop Loss of Rs 530, target Rs 562-Rs569. (Intra-day/Positional Call)
Buy Reliance Communication above Rs 599. Stop Loss of Rs 590, target Rs 614-Rs 620. (Intra-day/Positional Call)
Disclaimer :Intra-day call are of high risk as they are based on instant market movement. If the money and risk is not managed correctly, then traders and short term investors can land up in losses.

We are not responsible for any losses that can occur due to volatility and stop loss violation.

I do not have any personal positions any time on the recommendation made for the intra-day calls. However, it is possible that our Live Market Calls subscriber's could have positions and trading positions without our knowlege and consent. We also dont have any control on our client reverse positions if they have created against our recommendtion. Individual traders, implementers of the trading call are doing it at their own risk. We also dont have any control on our subscriber's positions.

Traders are advised to check their cost in long and short trades and kee p taking profits irrespective of our targets. What matter is trading profits therefore check cost and keep taking profits.

 

Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated May 15, 2008


 
 Sharekhan's daily newsletter Visit us at www.sharekhan.com
 
May 15, 2008
Index Performance
Index

Sensex

Nifty
Open 17,084.89 5,010.90
High 17,366.19 5,118.55
Low 17,079.94 4,999.60
Today's Cls 17,353.54 5,115.25
Prev Cls 16,978.35 5,011.75
Change 375.19 103.50
% Change 2.21 2.07
 

Market Indicators
Top Movers (Group A)
Company Price 
(Rs)
%
chg

Gainers

Lupin 644.40 10.75
Triveni Engineering 128.65 8.66
Crompton Greaves 245.30 8.13
Bajaj Hindusthan 239.25 7.14
Edelweiss Capital 809.85 6.24

Losers

Voltas 167.75 -3.84
Satyam Computer 483.90 -3.43
Dr Reddy's 654.20 -3.29
Cummins India 288.25 -1.94
Sintex Industries 441.40 -1.91
Market Statistics
- BSE NSE
Advances 1,772 840
Declines 909 359
Unchanged 74 31
Volume(Nos) 36.77cr

51.74cr

 Market Commentary 
Market ends upbeat, gains 375 points
The market came off its highs, but still ended firm above 17,300 on strong gains in heavyweights, capital goods and realty stocks.
The market held firm above the 17,100 levels for almost entire session as positive US and strong Asian markets created a perfect platform for the bulls to pursue buying.    
The Sensex resumed 107 points higher at 17,085 and advanced further on substantial buying support. While the gains continued unabated, buying spree in heavyweights, capital goods, realty, oil & gas, banking and power stocks propelled the index to an intra-day high of 17,366 in noon trades. The Sensex finally wrapped up the session with gains of 375 points at 17,354, while the Nifty ended at 5,115, up 104 points.

The market breadth was positive, with gainers outpacing losers by 1.40:1. Of the 2,755 stocks traded on the BSE 1,772 stocks advanced, 909 stocks declined and 74 stocks ended unchanged. All the sectoral indices, barring BSE FMCG index, ended positive. BSE CG index was the major gainer and soared 3.46% followed by the BSE Realty index (up 3.41%), BSE oil & gas index (up 2.65%), BSE Bankex index (up 2.44%) and BSE Power index (up 2.12%).

Front-line stocks once again led the rally. Hindalco was the front-runner amongst the heavyweights and vaulted 6.11% at Rs204.05. Among other major gainers, Reliance Communications rose by 5.31% at Rs589, L&T surged 4.67% at Rs2,962, Reliance Industries advanced 3.66% at Rs2,622.65, ICICI Bank scaled up 3.62% at Rs928.70, Infosys flared up 3.56% at Rs1,891.30 and DLF jumped 3.36% at Rs643.85. Maruti, BHEL, Gujarat Ambuja Cements, HDFC and JP Associates gained over 2% each. Satyam Computer Services however lost ground and tumbled 3.43% at Rs483.90, while Hindustan Unilever lost 1.85% at Rs238.60.

Capital goods stocks witnessed strong buying support. Crompton Greaves rallied sharply by 8.13% at Rs245.30, Kalpataru Power Transmissions vaulted 5.04% at Rs1,034.10, Kirloskar Brothers surged 4.20% at Rs250.30 and Areva scaled up 3.65% at Rs1,605.55. Alstom Projects, Suzlon Energy, Havells India and Punj LLoyd added over 2-3% each. Among the gainers in realty stocks, Phoenix Mill, Omaxe, HDFC, Parsvnath Developers, Akruti City, Unitech, DLF and Indiabulls Real Estate flared up 2-5% each.

Over 7.04 crore Aishwarya Telecom shares changed hands on the BSE followed by IFCI (2.18 crore shares), Ispat Industries (1.08 crore shares), Cyber Mate (1.08 crore shares) and Reliance Natural Resources (1.02 crore shares).

Valuewise, Aishwarya Telecom registered a turnover of Rs866 crore followed by Reliance Communications (Rs258 crore), Reliance Industries (Rs179 crore), Reliance Petroleum (Rs163 crore) and Satyam Computer Services (Rs158 crore).
European Indices at 16:38 IST on 15-05-2008
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
FTSE 100 Index 6234.00 18.00 0.29
CAC 40 Index 5042.36 -12.88 -0.25
DAX Index 7069.16 -14.08 -0.20
Asian Indices at close on 15-05-2008
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
Nikkei 225 14251.15 133.19 0.94
Hang Seng Index 25513.71 -19.77 -0.08
Kospi Index 1885.71 41.96 2.28
Straits Times Index 3344.53 - -
Jakarta Composite Index 2449.81 0.47 0.02

 

 


 


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PowerYourTrade Trading Calls


Trading Calls for 16 May 2008
Ashwani Gujral
Buy Shree Renuka Sugars with a stop loss of Rs 120 for target of Rs 166

Buy Shree Renuka Sugars with a stop loss of Rs 120 for target of Rs 166.

Disclosure:Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in future.

Buy Sun TV Network with a stop loss of Rs 320 for target of Rs 400

Buy Sun TV Network with a stop loss of Rs 320 for target of Rs 400.

Disclosure:Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in future.

Rajat K Bose
Buy Balrampur Chini with a stop loss below Rs 98 for targets of Rs 107 and Rs 113. This is day trading recommendation

Buy Balrampur Chini with a stop loss below Rs 98 for targets of Rs 107 and Rs 113. This is day trading recommendation.

Note: Either on the long side or on the short side if at any moment a counter is not moving beyond an initial or interim target to the final target book profits. Once initial target is crossed, you can use that as your trailing stop-loss level.

Caveat: The analyst holds the stock in his personal investment portfolio.

Notes: · All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.

· Calls are based on the previous trading day's price activity.

· The call is valid for the next trading session only unless otherwise mentioned.

· Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.

· Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

Disclosure: His newsletter clients have been recommended the same along with other picks. Traders are requested to adhere to the stop losses very strictly; they are given to be implemented, not ignored. Do not chase a security and take a position where you would be uncomfortable with the stop-loss level. Take a position only when you feel that the risk-reward ratio looks comfortable and favourable for the trade.

Notes:

  • All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.
  • Calls are based on the previous trading day's price activity.
  • The call is valid for the next trading session only unless otherwise mentioned.
  • Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.
  • Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

    Disclosure:The analyst and his family do not have any trades in the securities recommended above at the time of giving this recommendation. His newsletter clients have been recommended the same along with other picks. Traders are requested to adhere to the stop losses very strictly; they are given to be implemented, not ignored. Do not chase a security and take a position where you would be uncomfortable with the stop-loss level. Take a position only when you feel that the risk-reward ratio looks comfortable and favourable for the trade.
  • VK Sharma
    Buy Aptech around Rs 240.20 with a stop loss of Rs 236. This is day trading recommendation

    Buy Aptech around Rs 240.20 with a stop loss of Rs 236. This is day trading recommendation.

    DISCLAIMER: -

    This document has been prepared by Anagram Stock broking Ltd. (Anagram), for use by the recipient only and not for circulation. The information and opinions contained in the document have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Anagram does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any securities. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published, in whole or in part, by any recipient hereof for any purpose without prior permission from us. Anagram and the analyst(s), including his dependant family members may have an interest in the securities recommended above. To unsubscribe, send a mail to unsubscribechinta@gmail.com

    Copyright in this document vests exclusively with Anagram Stock broking Limited

    Mathew Easow
    Buy KS Oils with a stop loss of Rs 70 for a short-term target of Rs 111

    Buy KS Oils with a stop loss of Rs 70 for a short-term target of Rs 111.

    Disclaimer: -

    At the time of writing this article, I, my family members and my group companies do not have any position KS OILS LTD. This stock has been recommended to our clients and they may be holding long or short positions in this stock.

    Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. The information contained herein is not a complete analysis of every material fact representing the company, industry or security. The views expressed may change. However, prices can move up as well as down due to a number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility (or liability) for the accuracy of the above contents and also any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

    Short Term Target Means - Approximately 3 -4 weeks. If the target is not met within 3-4 weeks then please exit the positions.

    Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis-a-vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position. Individual traders /investors should book profit depending on their risk bearing capacity and need not wait for the targets.


     

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    Moneycontrol Top Headlines

    News Flash from IndiaEarnings

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    Inflation for wk ended Apr5 revised to 7.71% vs 7.14%earlier
    Inflation for week ended May 31 at 8.75% vs 8.24%
    Indian economy won't be as badly hit as the global eco:DCB
    Over a period of time mkt may drift down to 4060 :Atul Suri
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    Shriram City Union Fin changes 12.2% Eq via block deal
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    Oil India plans to launch IPO by Sep: NW18
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    Disclaimer