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Friday, June 20, 2008

India ranks 71 on WEF trade index



NEW DELHI: India has been ranked 71 among 118 countries in a list
prepared by the World Economic Forum (WEF) for measuring openness to
international trade.

The poor show in the enabling trade index (ETI) of WEF's Global
Enabling Trade Report 2008 has been largely attributable to tariff
barriers and "severely restricted" market access.

The country was ranked 105 in terms of market access, below neighbours
Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. And despite autonomously bringing
down average tariff on industrial goods to 10% and agriculture to
about 33%, India was at the bottom of the pile in the category of
tariff barriers with a rank of 115. Only three countries were below
India in this segment.

The ETI, released on Wednesday as part of WEF's inaugural report, is
based on four sub-indices which include market access, border
administration, transport and communication infrastructure, and
business environment. India got much higher ratings in the indices
other than market access. India was ranked 52 in infrastructure, 55 in
border administration and 58 in business environment.

The top place in the overall index went to Hong Kong, which was also
ranked first in market access. It was followed by Singapore. The two
Asian countries were followed by Sweden, Norway, Canada, Denmark and
Finland. The US was ranked 14 and the UK was at 16th spot in the
overall index. Some notable countries below India in the overall index
include Brazil (80), Pakistan (84) and Russia (103).

"The principal aim of this report is to measure the extent to which
countries around the world have in place the factors and policies for
enabling trade," the WEF said.

Another area where India performed poorly was airport density where it
was ranked 117. In road congestion, the country was ranked third.


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Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated June 20, 2008



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June 20, 2008
Index Performance
Index

Sensex

Nifty
Open 15,168.05 4,504.20
High 15,202.01 4,532.00
Low 14,519.27 4,333.60
Today's Cls 14,571.29 4,347.55
Prev Cls 15,087.99 4,504.25
Change -516.70 -156.70
% Change -3.42 -3.48
 

Market Indicators
Top Movers (Group A)
Company Price 
(Rs)
%
chg

Gainers

United Phosphorus 315.00 2.36
Areva T&D India 1,367.60 2.24
ONGC 866.85 1.56
GSK Pharma 1,115.15 1.41
EIH 130.80 0.93

Losers

United Breweries 439.75 -10.43
Gammon India 285.80 -10.20
Rajesh Exports 73.70 -10.01
HDIL 528.15 -9.17
Indiabulls Financial 303.60 -8.73
Market Statistics
- BSE NSE
Advances 450 133
Declines 2,247 1,074
Unchanged 43 15
Volume(Nos) 27.96cr

47.97cr

 Market Commentary 
Market sinks on bear hammering 
The Sensex plummeted 517 points on a sharp hike in inflation and across-the-board selling pressure. 
The market went into a complete tailspin, as the much-awaited correction shaved nearly 700 points off the Sensex during the intra-day trades.    
Positive global cues like oil prices cooling off further failed to lift the sentiment, as investors instead tracked the falling Asian indices since early trades. After resuming on a positive note at 15,168, the market turned negative and remained under the bear hug for the rest of the session. The Sensex nearly slipped below 14,600 towards the noon trades as a wave of selling in heavyweights, oil, realty and metal stocks saw it slump to an intra-day low of 14,519. The Sensex finally ended 3.42% or 517 points lower at 14,571, while the Nifty crashed 157 points to close at 4,348. Among the Asian indices, Nikkei tanked 1.33% (down 188 points) at 13,942 and Hang Seng dropped 0.23% (down 52 points) at 22,745. 

The market breadth was extremely negative, Of the 2,740 stocks traded on the BSE, 2,247 stocks declined, 450 stocks advanced and 43 stocks ended unchanged. All the sectoral indices took sharp beatings. BSE Realty index bore the major brunt and crashed 5.03% at 9,420 while BSE Metal index, BSE Teck index, BSE Bankex index and BSE FMCG index dropped over 2-4% each.

Except ONGC, all other 29 stocks in the Sensex pack ended in the red. Among the major losers Reliance Communications tumbled 6.65% at Rs489, Reliance Industries slumped 6.61% at Rs2,079, Hindalco crumbled 6.37% at Rs158.70, Jaiprakash Associates plunged 6.03% at Rs165.15, Reliance Infrastructure dropped 4.92% at Rs943.65, Bharti Airtel declined 4.76% at Rs754, Ambuja Cement dropped 4.71% at Rs84.05, Tata Steel tumbled 4.66% at Rs772, DLF lost 4.57% at Rs452.50 and SBI fell 4.11% at Rs1,241.05. Other stocks also dropped over 2-3% each.

Over 1.32 crore Reliance Natural Resources shares changed hands on the BSE followed by IFCI (1.27 crore shares), Reliance Petroleum (1.15 crore shares), Chambal Fertilisers (1.07 crore shares) and Ispat Industries (0.98 crore shares).
European Indices at 16:35 IST on 20-06-2008
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
FTSE 100 Index 5686.80 -21.60 -0.38
CAC 40 Index 4553.63 -37.76 -0.82
DAX Index 6692.71 -28.46 -0.42
Asian Indices at close on 20-06-2008
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
Nikkei 225 13942.67 -188.09 -1.33
Hang Seng Index 22745.60 -52.01 -0.23
Kospi Index 1731.00 -9.71 -0.56
Straits Times Index 3001.81 9.15 0.31
Jakarta Composite Index 2371.78 -1.28 -0.05

 

 



 

RBI may step in to contain inflation rate



Indian inflation shot above 11 per cent in early June to a 13-year
high following a rise in state-set fuel prices, rattling markets and
prompting the finance minister to warn of stronger anti-inflation
measures ahead.

Inflation is on the rise globally and has also reached double digits
in other countries, including Indonesia, Vietnam, Sri Lanka and
Pakistan as oil, food and other commodity prices soar.

What experts say about inflation | Inflation rate surges to 13-yr high
at 11.05%

India government bond yields jumped to their highest in nearly seven
years after Friday's data and the finance minister's warning, while
shares fell to their lowest levels in 2008 on concern that interest
rates will move up.



Traders said the central bank, which raised rates just last week,
stepped in to support the weakening rupee after the release of India's
wholesale price index (WPI), the country's most widely watched
inflation measure.

The index showed annual inflation jumped to 11.05 per cent in the 12
months to June 7, its hottest pace since May 1995 and much higher than
forecasts for 9.82 per cent.

It also marked a big jump from 8.75 per cent in the week-earlier
data.

"The number is quite intimidating and it will require some response
from the fiscal authorities and the Reserve Bank of India," said
Abheek Barua, chief economist at HDFC Bank.

"So I wouldn't be surprised if there is another monetary measure on
its way in the next fortnight or so, and this is likely to be a repo
rate hike of about 25 basis points."

The double-digit inflation figure -- inflamed by a fuel price hike of
about 10 per cent early this month when India cut subsidies, will also
heap more pressure on a ruling coalition, which faces state and
national elections in coming months.

The coalition is already struggling to unify behind a controversial
nuclear energy deal with the United States.

The central bank surprised financial markets last week by raising
interest rates, its first increase in more than a year. It boosted its
repo rate by 25 basis points to 8 per cent.

Economists said with inflation running significantly higher than
anticipated, another increase was likely.

Reflecting such expectations, the benchmark 10-year government bond
yield jumped 10 basis points to 8.64 per cent, while the benchmark
stock index was down just over 3 per cent in mid-afternoon.

Political fallout

Political worries have already rattled markets this week, fuelling
losses on Wednesday and Thursday, while surging food bills have
contributed to a string of defeats for the ruling Congress party at
state elections over the last few months.

Now the coalition's communist allies have renewed threats to withdraw
support for the government over the nuclear deal. The government has
just a week or so to decide if it wants to risk early polls -- at
which rising prices will be a key battleground -- by going ahead with
the agreement.


Earlier this month, India joined a stable of Asian countries no longer
able to afford big fuel subsidies in the face of rising prices,
sparking street protests and calls for industrial strikes.

Where to next?

India's inflation rate was last this high in the week of May 6, 1995,
when it stood at 11.11 per cent. In the latest figures, inflation for
the week of April 12 was revised up to 7.95 per cent from 7.33 per
cent.

Energy costs account for 14.2 per cent of the WPI index and Friday's
data showed the index for fuel, power, light and lubricants rose 7.8
per cent in the week of the price rise.

Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram promised action.



"This is indeed a very difficult time and we will have to take
stronger measures both on the demand side and monetary side," he told
reporters.

Food prices have been a source of concern for the Congress party-led
coalition as these impact the poor the hardest, but the food articles
index fell 1.1 per cent in the June 7 data.

Nonetheless, Indranil Pan, chief economist at Kotak Mahindra Bank,
said inflation could go towards 12 per cent. "The next 3 to 5 months
are going to be very crucial."

Robert Prior-Wandesforde, economist at HSBC in Singapore, saw both the
repo rate and the cash reserve ratio (CRR), used by the central bank
to drain surplus cash from the money market, rising by 50 and 75 basis
points respectively by year-end.


World population to hit 7 billion in 2012



WASHINGTON - The world's population will reach 7 billion in 2012, even
as the global community struggles to satisfy its appetite for natural
resources, according to a new government projection.

There are 6.7 billion people in the world today. The United States
ranks third, with 304 million, behind China and India, according to
projections released Thursday by the Census Bureau.

The world's population surpassed 6 billion in 1999, meaning it will
take only 13 years to add a billion people.

By comparison, the number of people didn't reach 1 billion until 1800,
said Carl Haub, a demographer at the Population Reference Bureau. It
didn't reach 2 billion until 130 years later.

"You can easily see the effect of rapid population growth in
developing countries," Haub said.

Haub said that medical and nutritional advances in developing
countries led to a population explosion following World War II.
Cultural changes are slowly catching up, with more women in developing
countries going to school and joining the work force.

That is slowing the growth rate, though it is still high in many
countries.

The global population is growing by about 1.2 percent per year. The
Census Bureau projects the growth rate will decline to 0.5 percent by
2050.

By then, India will have surpassed China as the most populous country.

The Census Bureau updates projections each year on a variety of global
demographic trends, including fertility and mortality rates and life
expectancy. U.S. life expectancy has surpassed 78 years for the first
time, the National Center for Health Statistics announced last week.

The new Census report comes amid record high oil and gasoline prices,
fueled in part by growing demand from expanding economies in China and
India.

There is no consensus on how many people the Earth can sustain, said
William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, a Washington
think tank. He said it depends on how well people manage the Earth's
resources.

Today, industrialized nations use a disproportionate share of oil and
other resources, while developing countries are fueling population
growth.

There are countries in Africa, Asia and the Middle East where the
average woman has more than six children in her lifetime. In Mali and
Niger, two African nations, women average more than seven children.

"There's still a long way to go in the developing world," Frey said.
"A lot of it does have to do with the education of women and the
movement of women into the labor force."

In the U.S., women have an average of about two children, which
essentially replaces the population. Much of the U.S. population
growth comes from immigration.

Moody's arm says RBI may tighten interest rates before Jul review




Moody's arm says RBI may tighten interest rates before Jul review
Friday, Jun 20

   NEW DELHI - The Reserve Bank of India is likely to further tighten
interest rates before its next quarterly review of the policy on Jul
29 after the headline inflation rate soared to a 13-year-high of
11.05%, Moody's Economy.com said today.
   "The RBI looks set to further tighten monetary policy. There is a
good chance that the central bank will not wait until the next formal
review, which is scheduled for July," the Moody's arm said in a
release.
   On Jun 11, the RBI had hiked repo rate by 25 basis points to 8% to
curb inflationary expectations. Prior to the move, the central bank
was primarily relying on cash reserve ratio to suck out liquidity and
tame inflationary expectations.
   It steadily raised banks' CRR by 200 bps since Apr 2007 with the
last one coming on Apr 29.
   The central bank has projected inflation for 2008-09 at 5.5%.
   The government has also taken a series of measures, including duty
cuts, but they have not had any impact so far to rein in prices.
   However, the Moody's economic think-tank arm maintains that
despite moderation in household consumption and business investment in
2008-09 following high inflation and tight monetary stance, Indian
economy will grow by 7.6%.
   The Indian economy grew 9.0% in the 2007-08.  
 
 

RBI to hike repo rate by 0.25%: Economists



Reserve Bank of India may soon raise the interest rate for short-term
lending to banks once again as a measure to control the unabated rise
in inflation that shot to 13-year high at 11.05 per cent, economists
said.

The short-term lending rate (repo rate) is currently ruling at 8.0 per
cent and this may be increased to 8.25 per cent even before the July
policy announcement.

It is quite possible that RBI may increase the repo rate by a quarter
per cent before July policy review, HDFC Bank Chief Economist Abheek
Barua said.

The hike could come in the next 10 days, he said, adding, depending on
the situation RBI could also increase the Cash Reserve Ratio-- the
ratio of deposits which banks have to keep with RBI.

The central bank would come out with quarterly review of the Credit
Policy on July 29.

According to Saumitra Chaudhuri, member of Prime Minister's Economic
Advisory Council, the unexpected surge in inflation is due to revision
of non-sensitive fuel items like light diesel oil, naphtha, furnace
oil and bitumen.

"All of it has come during the week pushing inflation by additional
one per cent," he said.

There is lot of pressure on interest rates. RBI may further tighten
the monetary policy in order to anchor inflation to reasonable level,
Chaudhuri said.

The monetary authority could raise repo or CRR depending on the
condition, he added.

Any change in key policy rate or ratio by RBI would force the banks to
revise both deposit and lending rates to maintain its margin which is
already under pressure.

Hindalco Q4 net profit at Rs 721 cr




Aditya Birla Group company Hindalco on Friday reported a net profit of
Rs 1,077 crore for the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2008, a rise of
49.3 per cent over the corresponding period previous year.

The company had registered a net profit of Rs 721.3 crore in the
fourth quarter of 2006-2007, according to data available on the
company's website.

It clocked a net sales of Rs 5,010.2 crore for the fourth quarter of
the last fiscal, up by 5.5 per cent over the same period last fiscal.

Hindalco had achieved net sales of Rs 4,748.9 crore in the
corresponding quarter of the previous year.

For the fiscal 2007-08, the company clocked a net profit of Rs 2,860.9
crore, a 11.56 per cent increase over the previous fiscal. It had
recorded a net profit of Rs 2,564.3 crore last year.

The net sales for the entire year stood at Rs 19,201 crore, against Rs
18,313 crore last year, up by 4.8 per cent.

Crude futures fall on MCX on weak Asian trend




Crude oil in futures trading fell by 0.70 pc on Friday after China
raised domestic fuel prices and Saudi Arabia announced its plans to
increase its oil output.

At 1130 hrs, crude for July delivery contract fell 0.70 pc at Rs 5,695
per barrel on the Multi Commodity Exchange. The contract moved between
Rs 5,684 and Rs 5,727 per barrel.

The August delivery contract also fell by 0.70 pc at Rs 5,700 per
barrel after moving between Rs 5,705 and Rs 5,688 per barrel.

Crude oil prices fell in Asian markets after Saudi Arabia, the biggest
producer in the OPEC cartel, said it planned to increase output by
200,000 barrels per day.

"Expectations that supply might improve as Saudi Arabia planning to
increase its output next month, influence trading sentiment," said
Harish, research head at Karvy Comtrade.

He said the market might go further down on expectations that the
crude in overseas market might touch a low of 125 dollar per level.

Meanwhile, the benchmark futures contract, New York's light sweet
crude for July delivery, was 56 cents lower at 131.37 US dollar a
barrel.

Brent North Sea crude for August delivery eased 13 cents to 131.87 US
dollar after dropping 4.44 dollars to settle at 132 US dollar in
London.
 
 

Coffee prices rise on tight supply, demand



Prices moved up at the Indian Coffee Trade Association auction on
Thursday on a tight supply situation and good export demand, traders
said on Friday.

"Supply situation is tight in the market as harvesting has already
ended in April," said a Bangalore-based trader, who did not want to be
identified.

In India, robusta arrivals start in February and continues through
April, while arabica harvesting is from December to February.

Robusta parchment received good support from exporters and prices were
higher by 100-150 rupees per 50 kg, while robusta cherry prices were
higher by 50-100 rupees, the auctioneer said.

Robusta is more tolerant to warm conditions than arabica and
constitutes about 65 pc of India's coffee output.

A rise in global prices and demand from European countries also
supported the market, said another trader. The robusta September
contract in London rose by $49 to $2,258 a tonne in the last one
week.

Total quantity on offer was 192 tonnes and about 73 tonnes were sold,
the auctioneer said. India's coffee exports rose 3.6 pc during the
first five months of 2008, according to the Coffee Board.

It exports mainly to Italy, Germany and Russia. The country produces
only 4 pc of the world's coffee, but exports 70-80 pc of its output.

Following were the prices quoted for 50 kg bags in rupees.
 
 
 

BHEL gets $428 m order


Indian state-run equipment maker Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd said on
Friday it got a contract worth Rs 18.40 crores ($428 million) for
setting up a 500 megawatt power project in the eastern state of
Jharkhand.
 
 
 

L&T order book crosses Rs 1,000 cr in Q1 FY09



Larsen & Toubro Ltd (L&T) today said its Heavy Engineering Division
(HED) has bagged orders for high-tech equipment and systems worth more
than Rs 1,000 crore within two months of Q1 FY09.

''The HED has bagged orders of more than Rs 1,000 crore within two
months of Q1 FY09,'' a company statement said.

Major contracts include orders from Tata Power Company Ltd's
subsidiary Coastal Gujarat Power Ltd (CGPL) for its Ultra Mega Power
Plant (UMPP), and another contract from HPCL Mittal Energy Ltd,
Bathinda (HMEL) for critical reactors.

The CGPL contract includes supply of Surface Condensers, Feed Water
Heaters & Deaerators for five units each of 800 MW for the UMPP being
set up at Mundra in Gujarat.

Export orders include supply of coke drums for Kuwait National
Petroleum Company, Kuwait (KNPC), high pressure heat exchangers from
Petroleo Brasileiro, Brazil, ammonia converters from UHDE, Germany and
Reactors from PTT Asahi Chem Co. Ltd, Thailand.

The KNPC contract is for four Coke Drums required for KNPCs 'Clean
Fuel Project 2020'.

The equipment will be manufactured at L&T�s state-of-the-art
manufacturing facilities at Powai & Hazira.

''As the demand for critical hi-tech equipment in the country as well
as abroad is on the rise, we are expanding our manufacturing
facilities at Hazira in Gujarat and setting up a new facility at
Oman,'' company's HED Senior Executive Vice President, M V Kotwal
said.

Sebi simplifies listing norms for corporate debt



To provide vibrancy to lacklustre primary market for corporate bonds,
Sebi removed the requirement of filing of draft offer documents with
the market regulator for such issues but made it mandatory for
companies to get credit rating.


However, a draft offer document has to be filed with the stock
exchange through the lead merchant banker, according to Regulations
for Issue and Listing of Debt Securities notified on Thursday.



The lead merchant banker would have to ensure that all comments
received on the draft offer document are suitably addressed prior to
the filing of the offer document with Registrar of Companies.


For any public issue of corporate debts, credit rating has to be
obtained from at least one credit rating agency with the Sebi's
approval and is disclosed in the offer document, the Regulation said.


In case where ratings are obtained from more than one agency, all such
ratings, including the unaccepted ones, would have to be disclosed in
the offer documents.



Every rating would be periodically reviewed by the registered credit
rating agency and any revision would have to be disclosed to the stock
exchange.


The issuer can also list its debt securities on a private placement
basis, provided they have been credit rated and meet other
regulations.


The issuer would have to redeem the debt securities in terms of the
offer documents, the Regulation said.


However if the issuer wants to roll-over debt securities issued by it,
it would have to pass a special resolution of holders of such
securities and give a 21 day notice for the roll-over to them, the
Regulation added.


Special resolution means consent of not less than 75 percent of the
holders by value of debt securities.

FM says Loan waiver scheme includes interest component



Finance Minister P Chidambaram has directed all PSU banks to prepare a
list of beneficiaries under the ambitious 71,860 crore debt relief
package by 25th of this month.


"On 25th June, we hope to get the list (of farmers)," the Finance
Minister told various PSU banks heads through a video-conferencing.

He asked these banks to get themselves satisfied by 23rd June that
inspection and superchecks in this regard have been done and list of
farmers prepared.

On 24th June, Financial Services Secretary Arun Ramanathan will get in
touch with PSU banks Chairmen to take the confirmation that the list
is prepared, he said.

The Finance Minister also clarified that interest not serviced as on
31st December, 2007 will also be included for the purpose of debt
waiver in the case of investment loans.

In case of loans to farmers through self-help groups, Chidambaram said
disaggregated data could be maintained in books of these groups,
provided banks are satisfied with that data.

Under the loan waiver scheme, loans provided directly to group of
individual farmers like Self Help Groups will also be included, but
disaggregated data of the loan extended to each farmer must be
maintained.

In his budget speech, the Finance Minister has set 30th June as the
deadline for waiving debt of farmers with holdings up to three
hectares.

The size of the loan waiver was subsequently enhanced to Rs 71,680
crore, and its coverage widened to include seven million more marginal
and small farmers, taking the number of such beneficiaries to 43
million from the originally proposed 40 million.

The Finance Minister further clarified that the interest rate
component will also be eligible under the scheme so that every farmer
will be eligible for fresh loans.

RBI delays introduction of credit derivatives



The RBI deferred introduction of credit derivatives in the country
saying it will first study the experiences of other developed
financial markets.


"It has been decided to keep in abeyance the issuance of the final
guidelines on introduction of credit derivatives in India," the RBI
said in a release on Thursday.


The decision has been taken to "be able to draw upon the experience of
the financial sector of some of the developed countries," it added.


"Taking into account the status of the risk management practices then
prevailing in the banking system, the issuance of final guidelines had
been deferred," the statement said.


A senior banker commenting on the RBI's move said, "With the current
controversy in the credit derivative market internationally, this
would not be the right time for introduction of the same in India."


The central bank had issued the Draft Guidelines for Introduction of
Credit Derivatives in India, in March 2003 and had also invited
comments from banks on the issue.


The introduction of these financial instruments was later announced at
the Annual Policy Statement for the year 2007-08.



"However, in view of certain adverse developments witnessed in
different international financial markets, particularly the credit
markets, resulting in considerable volatility in the recent past, such
as mounting losses suffered by banks on account of sub-prime crisis,
need for the central banks of those countries to inject liquidity into
the system," RBI said.

Natural gas production to jump two-fold by 2011-12



NEW DELHI: India's natural gas production will more than double to 170
million standard cubic meters per day by 2011-12 after fields such as
Reliance Industries' eastern offshore KG-D6 reach peak output.

In 2007-08, domestic production at 79.40 mmscmd and 31.50 mmscmd from
import LNG met some 60 per cent of the demand, according to latest
projections made by the Petroleum Ministry.

State-run Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) will produce 47.06 mmscmd of
gas this fiscal, almost unchanged from 47.19 mmscmd of 2007-08. This
output will rise to 51.65 mmscmd by 2011-12, while Oil India Ltd will
contribute 10 mmscmd.

Reliance Industries' KG-D6 will start producing this year at an
initial rate of 40 mmscmd, rising to 60 mmscmd in 2009-10 and to 80
mmscmd in 2011-12. When KG-D6 hits peak, the share of fuel produced by
fields operated by private sector firms would touch 102.57 mmscmd (in
2011-12).

The projections anticipate an additional 2 mmscmd output from Mahanadi
basin NEC-25 field of Reliance in 2011-12 and 4.5 mmscmd from Gujarat
State Petroleum Corp's Krishna Godavari basin field.

India's import of liquefied natural gas (LNG) is also slated to more
than double to 23.25 million tons by 2011-12 from 9 million tons in
2007-08 after Dabhol, Kochi and Mangalore terminals become
operational.

Petronet LNG's Dahej terminal will see capacity doubling to almost 12
million tons and Shell's Hazira terminal is seen operating at 2.5
million tons, unchanged from present times. Dabhol may import 5
million tons, Kochi 2.5 and Mangalore 1.25 million tons, the
projections stated.

Together with 81.38 mmscmd of LNG, the country's total gas
availability will touch 252.09 mmscmd in 2011-12 from 110.9 mmscmd
now.

India ranks 71 on WEF trade index



NEW DELHI: India has been ranked 71 among 118 countries in a list
prepared by the World Economic Forum (WEF) for measuring openness to
international trade.

The poor show in the enabling trade index (ETI) of WEF's Global
Enabling Trade Report 2008 has been largely attributable to tariff
barriers and "severely restricted" market access.

The country was ranked 105 in terms of market access, below neighbours
Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. And despite autonomously bringing
down average tariff on industrial goods to 10% and agriculture to
about 33%, India was at the bottom of the pile in the category of
tariff barriers with a rank of 115. Only three countries were below
India in this segment.

The ETI, released on Wednesday as part of WEF's inaugural report, is
based on four sub-indices which include market access, border
administration, transport and communication infrastructure, and
business environment. India got much higher ratings in the indices
other than market access. India was ranked 52 in infrastructure, 55 in
border administration and 58 in business environment.

The top place in the overall index went to Hong Kong, which was also
ranked first in market access. It was followed by Singapore. The two
Asian countries were followed by Sweden, Norway, Canada, Denmark and
Finland. The US was ranked 14 and the UK was at 16th spot in the
overall index. Some notable countries below India in the overall index
include Brazil (80), Pakistan (84) and Russia (103).

"The principal aim of this report is to measure the extent to which
countries around the world have in place the factors and policies for
enabling trade," the WEF said.

Another area where India performed poorly was airport density where it
was ranked 117. In road congestion, the country was ranked third.

Thursday, June 19, 2008

Easier share transmission rules soon



MUMBAI: There's good news for lakhs of legal heirs awaiting the
transmission of shares of deceased shareholders. Market regulator Sebi
is expected to accept most of the recommendations of the group that
was formed to look into the matter. This will pave way for quick
transmission of shares and benefit those who have inherited them in
physical form.

Currently, companies follow different systems for transmission of
shares in physical form. For instance, HDFC asks its local manager in
some cases where the legal heir does not possess succession
certificate or the probated will, to carry out a verification once it
receives the application. The manager then submits a report and the
company then acts based on the recommendation. But market participants
say this can be a tedious exercise.

"The companies would have to fix a threshold limit of 200 shares or Rs
1 lakh whichever is higher for transmission of shares after submitting
the standardised documents. Companies would require an affidavit, deed
of indemnity and a no objection certificate in case there are other
legal heirs. The limit will be the basic minimum limit to be adhered
to by all listed companies. Those companies that have higher threshold
can continue with that," said a person close to the development.

Transmission means devolution of title to shares otherwise than by
transfer, for example, devolution by death, succession, inheritance,
bankruptcy, marriage, etc. Transmission is different from 'transfer';
in transmission a person acquires an interest in the property by
operation of law, such as by right of inheritance or succession,
whereas, transfer is effected by act of the parties.

"In spite of the legislative intent to simplify the transmission
procedure, companies have different documentary compliances on the
part of the legal heirs of the deceased security holder. In case of
many companies, this is so time consuming and tedious that investors
do not want to follow it up if the amount involved is not very big,"
says Ashok Bakliwal, president of the Bombay Shareholder's
Association, a Sebi-recognised association.

In transmission case, where title to shares are passed by operation of
law, the beneficiary need not carry out further formalities. A year
ago Sebi had constituted a group to address this issue and to evolve
an uniform procedure on transmission of shares.

The group had unanimously suggested suitable measures to address
issues relating to difficulties faced by investors while dealing with
transmission of securities in the physical and dematerialised mode. It
had also proposed the standardisation of these documents. "Once the
new process comes into effect, companies, depositories, recognised
investors' associations and Sebi is expected to put awareness on the
use of nomination facility at the account opening stage itself. This
might also be made mandatory going forward," adds Mr Bakliwal, who was
also member of the above group.

"There is a need for the depositories to encourage the use of
nomination facility in case of demat mode. It should ensure that all
its existing accounts are updated with nomination. The DPs as well as
companies would be required to ensure that the transmission cases are
dealt with in a time-bound manner," he adds.

Power Grid profit at Rs 14,484.70 mn for FY08



Power Grid disclosed a profit of Rs 14,484.70 million for the
financial year ended March 2008.

The company`s revenue stood at Rs 46,148.60 million, while total
income stood at Rs 50,815.30.

The EPS for the year ended Mar. 31, 2008 stood at Rs 5.72.



Shares of the company declined Rs 2.4, or 2.64%, to trade at Rs 88.5.
The total volume of shares traded was 194,436 at the BSE. (11.41 a.m.,
Thursday)

Source : Rediff News

Media revenue to hit $2.2 trillion by 2012: PwC



NEW YORK: Global entertainment and media revenue is forecast rising by
an average of 6.6 per cent a year to $2.2 trillion by 2012, boosted by
advertising-supported digital and mobile media and an explosion in the
adoption of broadband.

According to the PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) annual forecast released
on Wednesday, advertising tied to the burgeoning interest in watching
videos on the Internet and on devices, such as Apple Inc's iPod, will
account for 24 per cent of growth in the sector and is projected to
grow fastest at a compound annual growth rate of 19.5 per cent to
2012.

Total entertainment and media revenue growth is seen outpacing global
gross domestic product, which will increase 5.7 per cent, according to
the report.

Despite the acceleration of digital businesses, revenue from
traditional media venues such as television will still dominate global
market share, if not growth. Digital and mobile revenue will account
for only 11 per cent of total spending, or $234 billion, in the next
five years.

PwC's report presents a more stable view of large media and
entertainment companies. Those shares have sunk more than 13 per cent
since the beginning of the year - at a steeper rate than the Standard
& Poor's 500 Index - on fears that the weak economic climate could
curtail consumer spending and spark an advertising recession.

Last week, Lehman Brothers argued that with entertainment company
valuations near 10-year lows, it might be a good time for investors to
shop for deals, such as News Corp.

One surprise: Advertising on over-the-air television globally - the
sector viewed by Wall Street as one of the most vulnerable in a
weakened economy - is expected to rise 5 per cent on a compounded
annual growth basis to 2012, making it the most resilient to threats
posed by digital growth.

"The oft-reported death of traditional media remains greatly
exaggerated," according to the report.

The weakest area in the next five years will be the music industry.
Ravaged by online piracy, recorded music sales are expect to fall by
0.6 per cent to 2012, but is seen growing again by 2011, when digital
sales will overtake CD sales.

What's unlikely to be solved in the next five years? "While companies
are making bold moves to follow consumers into the digital/mobile
future, they continue to wrestle with the challenge of creating
business models that adequately monetize their efforts," the report
said.

PwC's report, which surveys 15 major industry segments in 59
countries, underscored a trend over the past few years. The United
States will continue to account for the biggest share of revenue by
country, or $759 billion by 2012, but will grow the slowest at about
4.8 per cent, outpaced by the Asia Pacific and Latin America.

MTNL gets ILD licence; ISD rates could come down further


Public sector telecom service provider MTNL received the much-awaited
international long distance licence on Wednesday, a development which
could signal further lowering of ISD rates as the PSU is gearing up to
carrying its own traffic in the near future.


A senior MTNL official told a news agency that the PSU has signed the
licence agreement with the Department of Telecom on Wednesday and
would now focus on carrying its own ILD traffic, although for some
time the PSU would depend on the other ILD operators' network.



MTNL is currently routing most of its ISD traffic through VSNL.



At present mobile ISD rates to the US, Europe, Gulf and Africa ranges
from Rs 6.40 to 9.20 per minute, while from landline the average rate
is 5.99 per minute to the US.



With its own network coming up, the official said, the PSU's ISD
carriage cost would fall significantly.



This would cut down the PSU's operational cost.



The ISD segment which already has players like state run BSNL besides
private majors like Bharti, Reliance and VSNL, see some more
competition with the entry of MTNL.



The operator of Mumbai and Delhi circle is also building an undersea
cable project to carry its own ISD traffic.



Its erstwhile partner BSNL has pulled out of the project, which is to
connect India to Singapore and Malaysia.


Ranbaxy, Pfizer sign truce over Lipitor



NEW DELHI: Exactly a week after the promoters of Ranbaxy Laboratories
sold their shareholding to Japanese drug maker Daiichi Sankyo, the
Indian drug maker and US giant Pfizer announced that they have reached
an out-of-court settlement on their litigation over the world's
largest selling drug, Lipitor (Atorvastatin).

According to the settlement, Ranbaxy will launch its generic version
of Lipitor, the $12.7-billion cholesterol-lowering medicine, and
combination drug Caduet in November 30, 2011 in the US with exclusive
marketing rights for 180 days, along with the innovator company.

Industry estimates peg Ranbaxy's revenue upside from the settlement
for Lipitor at $1.5 billion over a four-year period up to May 2012.
Ranbaxy (subject to litigation) was on course to launch its generic
version of Lipitor in the US in March, 2010, 15 months ahead of its
patent expiry in June, 2011. The settlement pushes back the launch
date by 20 months, even though it eliminates all uncertainty regarding
the launch date. In addition, Ranbaxy will also not receive any
upfront payment from the out-of-court settlement.

Says Prabhudas Lilladher's pharma analyst Ranjit Kapadia: "The
settlement brings certainty to Ranbaxy's launch and will cut down
litigation cost for Ranbaxy from tomorrow itself. However, the drug's
launch has been pushed back by 20 months, which means that Pfizer will
get additional sales of around $20 billion during the extended
period."


Ranbaxy has described the deal as a win-win situation. "This is the
largest and the most comprehensive out-of-court settlement ever in the
pharma industry covering a total revenue of over $13 billion. The
revenues will start kicking in from this year as we will be launching
generic version of Lipitor in Canada this calendar year," Ranbaxy
Laboratories CEO and MD Malvinder Singh told ET. A senior Pfizer
executive said the agreement clearly reaffirms the value and
importance of intellectual property.

The settlement was announced after Indian stock exchanges closed on
Wednesday. Ranbaxy shares moved up 2.9% to Rs 598 during the day.

According to industry estimates, Ranbaxy will get a revenue upside of
around $1.5 billion from the Lipitor generic over a four-year period
up to May 2012. Bulk of this revenue will be backloaded and is
expected to accrue when Ranbaxy launches the drug in the US market in
November, 2011.

Lipitor generates annual sales of $8 billion in the US alone. In
Canada, the drug rakes in about a $1 billion in sales every year.
Caduet, a combination drug of Lipitor and hypertension drug Norvasc,
has annual global sales of $400 million.

In addition to the US and Canada, the Indian drug maker will also have
the licence to sell Atorvastatin in six more countries - Belgium,
Netherlands, Germany, Sweden, Italy and Australia - on different
dates. Ranbaxy can launch its Atorvastatin 2-4 months ahead of patent
expiry in these countries. Ranbaxy and Pfizer have also resolved their
disputes regarding Atorvastatin in Malaysia, Brunei, Peru and
Vietnam.

The patent infringement litigation between Pfizer and Ranbaxy relating
to Lipitor will continue in five other European countries - Finland,
Spain, Portugal, Denmark and Romania. "There are certain issues that
needs to be settled in these countries," Mr Singh said.

The agreement pertains solely to Ranbaxy and its affiliates and does
not cover legal challenges to Lipitor patents involving other generic
manufacturers.

For the past few days, there has been speculation that Pfizer would
announce a counter offer for the 65% non-promoter shareholding in
Ranbaxy. While theoretically this option exists, it now appears
remote. It is unlikely that Pfizer would have negotiated an out-of-
court settlement with Ranbaxy if it had intentions of launching a
hostile bid for the company.

It is learnt that Ranbaxy promoters' discussions with Daiichi Sankyo
were going on parallely with the company's negotiations with Pfizer.
Some experts tracking the pharma sector feel that given the nature of
the out-of-court settlement, which will not result in any windfall
payment for Ranbaxy, it is possible that the Indian company wanted to
first announce the stake sale.

Pfizer's president of Worldwide Pharmaceutical Operations Ian Read
said: "The agreement provides patients with access to a generic
product much earlier than if Ranbaxy were unsuccessful in obtaining
approval for its product and overcoming the relevant patents. It
provides substantial certainty regarding the timing of the entry of a
generic version of Lipitor. Finally, the agreement clearly reaffirms
the value and importance of intellectual property and this country's
(US) well-balanced system of creating incentives to develop innovative
medicines while at the same time establishing a strong generic drug
business."

Chryscapital MD and pharmaceutical expert Sanjiv Kaul said that other
Indian companies should also go for similar settlements. "Litigation,
for Indian pharma companies, is a costly proposition. They should
always look for a possible collaborative approach rather than a
confrontational approach. One should use the Para IV for positioning
itself as a global supplier of authorised generics to MNCs."

An industry source said Ranbaxy opted for the settlement route as it
wanted to cut down on litigation costs, which would have quadrupled
when the case moved to higher courts. Also, Daiichi Sankyo, which
bought the Ranbaxy promoter's 35% stake, would not have been keen on a
pursuing a legal fight with Pfizer.

The settlement also resolves the patent litigation between the
companies involving the branded drugs Accupril (in the US) and Viagra
(in Ecuador) and all patent litigations with Ranbaxy relating to
generic formulation of Quinapril Hydrochloride in the US and
Sildenafil in Ecuador.

UAE, Argentina look to India for biofuel



AHMEDABAD: At a time when crude oil prices are threatening to cut
loose and run amok, countries like Oman, the UAE and Argentina have
approached an Indian research institute for developing alternate
biofuels. These countries are now looking for assistance from the
Bhavnagar-based Central Salt and Marine Chemicals Research Institute
(CSMCRI) to begin research on Jatropha biodiesel in their own
individual countries.

According to officials at the institute, Oman and Argentina have
sought help in initiating studies on jatropha in their countries,
while the UAE (United Arab Emirates) has sought assistance to set
research institute on the lines of CSMCRI.

"From fingers being pointed at biodiesel research for being the cause
of global food shortage, the focus of the world has now shifted to
jatropha which is a non-edible source of biodiesel and grows on
wastelands," said the institute director, Pushpito K Ghosh. The
institute has been doing pioneering research on Jatropha Curcas since
1997.

"At different points in time, Argentina, Oman and the UAE have
approached us for assistance in conducting research on Jatropha
biodiesel," Mr Ghosh told ET, while stating that the state-run Sultan
Qaboos University in Oman had recently approached CSMCRI to help them
initiate their first study on jatropha.

"Our institute will be collaborating with the department of soils,
water and agricultural engineering. We are currently waiting for
approval from National Biodiversity Board in Chennai for sending the
necessary jatropha germplasm needed for research to Oman. This will
help the West Asian country to study how jatropha can survive in harsh
climatic conditions prevailing there," he said.

A few days ago, a team from Argentina had visited CSMCRI's premises in
Bhavnagar and had a first-hand experience about the development of
jatropha-based biodiesel. The team also expressed interest in forging
tie-up with the institute.

"Argentina wishes to promote jatropha cultivation in some of the arid
parts of the country," Mr Ghosh said, while hinting that the institute
could collaborate with the South American country in the coming days.
The institute is also looking to forge tie-up with Ras Al Khaimah, one
of the emirates of the UAE. Sheikh Saud bin Saqr Al Qasimi had visited
the institute last year and had sought assistance to set up a research
institute on the lines of CSMCRI. "This research centre will be part
of the Ras Al Khaimah Centre for Advanced Materials," Mr Ghosh said.

The biodiesel developed by the institute had gained international
recognition after extensive tests were conducted at the Austrian
Biofuels Institute (ABI). The ABI which pitted CSMCRI's jatropha
biodiesel against fuels from other feedstocks showed that it clearly
outperformed the biodiesel sourced from rapeseeds, sunflower and
soyabean.

"Though a native of Central America, jatropha is India's contribution
to the world," said the senior scientist about the shrub which is
resistant to drought and pests and produces seeds that contain up to
40% oil. When seeds are crushed and processed, the resulting oil can
be used in a standard diesel engine.

CSMCRI is currently offering its help to a number of Indian and
foreign automotive manufactures like DaimlerChrysler, General Motors
and Mahindra & Mahindra to develop efficient biodiesel vehicles.

Govt ready to infuse more capital in Central Bank of India: FM



NEW DELHI: Finance minister P Chidambaram said on Wednesday the
government was willing to infuse capital into Central Bank of India,
if required. He was speaking after meeting the bank's board of
directors here. The bank has a capital adequacy ratio of 10.42%.

"The government will be willing to help the bank, with additional
capital, if it requires, just as we did for SBI. It will not be a
problem for the government, if the bank can service this capital," Mr
Chidambaram said.

"The bank has not been able to utilise its resources effectively, not
able to raise its capital adequacy. Only the top line is growing, the
bottom line is not," he added.

Although the bank's CMD H A Daruwalla said while it was yet to
approach the government for capital, she would examine the bank's
capital requirement after the first quarter of this fiscal.

Ms Daruwalla said: "We have to examine our capital requirement. As a
part of compliance for accounting standard AS15, Rs 875 crore has been
provided for from the tier I capital. As a result of this, the gap for
tier II capital has reduced. The CRAR for the bank stands at 10.42%
and it's expected to be 10.78% by the end of the fiscal."

Tier II capital should be half of tier 1 capital.

There are several ways of accessing capital, including hybrid
instruments to raise tier II capital, subordinated debt. "We will
examine the least expensive way to raise capital," she said.

Last fiscal, the bank had its initial public offer, after its capital
base was restructured. The bank should also account for operational
risk in view of the implementation of the Basel II norms by March
2009.
The bank is expected to open 200 branches, which will add Rs 1,000
crore of business. By December 2010, the bank will be in the 100th
year of operation.

Over 80 branches will be opened in the next two months. The bank needs
to resolve issues related to labour and human resources, she said.

Ms Daruwalla said that the bank's cost-to-income ratio is high. The
bank has just started implementing core banking solution (CBS) across
its branches. Its cost of deposits has gone up putting pressure on the
net interest margin.

Policy boost for battery-run 2-wheelers




NEW DELHI: Good news for all those planning to buy a battery-operated
vehicle. The Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) is planning
to work-out a policy to support manufacturers and users of battery-
operated vehicles. The ministry has plans to extend the present
subsidy scheme to battery-operated two-wheelers and companies
manufacturing battery-operated vehicles and engaged in establishing
network of charging stations.

"At this moment, with a view to work out a conducive policy for
large use of batteryoperated vehicles in the country, the existing
scheme will be changed to accommodate two-wheelers," the MNRE
secretary V Subramanian said after a meeting with manufacturers of
battery-operated vehicles on Tuesday. Under the present subsidy
scheme, owners of only three-wheelers and fourwheelers are eligible to
avail of 33% subsidy benefit on the cost of the vehicle.

However, according to a official of the New Technology Division of the
MNRE, the ministry is working on a new policy to increase the subsidy
as well as extend the benefits to owners of two-wheelers and network
of charging stations established by companies.

Companies can also apply with the MNRE for support in research and
development or for funding of the same, the official said.

There's still some room to invest & grow




The equity market is fluctuating wildly with no signs of any clear
picture emerging in the near-term. The debt market doesn't look
impressive with inflation at a seven-year high. Gold also looks
bearish and real estate looks stagnant with builders artificially
holding the prices high. Do you feel that you have just run out of
investment options? Does it make sense to just stay in cash? The
answer is no. If you leave cash idle in savings accounts it will fetch
you just 3.5% rate of interest per annum. So, it would be wise to park
your funds in a debt instrument like a liquid fund or fixed maturity
plan and earn a reasonable return.

Go short on debt

Debt instruments are popular among risk-averse investors. There are
many options in the debt spectrum like public provident fund (PPF),
fixed deposits (FD), fixed maturity plans (FMP), liquid funds etc.
PPFs offer assured returns, which are tax-free. But, it makes sense
only if you can part with the money for 15 years. You can make partial
withdrawals after the fifth year, but it takes away the sheen of this
investment. Banks are offering attractive rates on short-term FDs, but
again the real rate of return (after accounting for inflation) is very
low. Also FDs do not make any business sense for investors who fall in
the high-tax bracket, says at Kartik Jhaveri, certified financial
planner & director Transcend India. "If your FD fetches 9% at the end
of the one year and you fall in the 30% tax bracket, you virtually get
nothing in your hands. For such investors FMPs come in handy," Mr
Jhaveri says. Even if you are subjected to capital gains tax after you
exit your FMP at the end of first year, you still get better returns
than FDs, he adds.

Stay long in equities

The best time to enter the market is when the Sensex plunges, experts
say. This may be a good time to buy stocks as most scrips are trading
at very low prices. But the bigger question is whether you want to
enter the equity market directly or opt for the mutual funds' route.
"Investing directly in the stock market is good. You should look at
splitting your money among 5-6 blue chip companies. If you don't have
the expertise, then a diversified equity fund will be a safe bet," Mr
Jhaveri adds. It's better for new investors to enter the market in
tranches. "If you enter the market today and it falls by another 10%
tomorrow, it will pinch you. So it's better to spread your moves when
the stock market looks bearish," he says.

Gold glitters forever

Gold has been very stable. It is a natural hedge and tends to move in
line with inflation, experts say. Gold has never shown historic
returns like the equity market nor will it show inflated returns in
the future. It has been earning a consistent return of 9-10% and will
continue to offer the same in coming years. Today, you can invest in
gold in various forms such as coins, gold funds, gold ETFs or even
gold collectibles. Says B Srinivasan, a Bangalore-based certified
financial planner, "Parents tend to accumulate gold coins or even
physical jewellery for their daughters. Gold coins are more expensive
and everytime you buy jewellery using gold coins, the jeweller buys
these coins at a discounted value (usually 4%)." You can look at gold
collectibles like antiques, paintings or even ancient gold coins,
which have a dual value –– for the art as well as the gold. In India,
the wedding trousseau (especially the daughter's) is dominated by the
yellow metal. If you have set a target, then invest the equivalent
amount in either gold ETFs for a period of less than 5 years or gold
funds if you have five years in hand, Mr Srinivasan adds.

Is real estate the way to go?

Industry estimates show rentals have corrected by nearly 20%-30%.
Builders, however, have not lowered the prices of housing projects.
Says Anuj Puri, chairman & country head, Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj,
"It is definitely not an investor's market right now, owing to the
generalised slowdown. Prices are stagnating and there may be a
correction in many areas over the next year. This, again, is not a
blanket evaluation, and factors like specific location, sector and
property typology will play a significant role." Experts recommend
following property trends carefully . It is possible that the area
they have chosen to buy in may see a drop in rates over the next six
months to a year. If the property is still on your wishlist, evaluate
the trends carefully and then take a decision on how much and where to
invest.

Real estate as an asset class continues to provide excellent risk-
adjusted returns along with low correlations with other asset classes.
It is, however, not the best of short-term investment routes as it
requires a sufficient incubation period to fructify.

The demand story for the Indian real estate has reached an
intermission and not an end, feels Mr Puri. The market will find its
footing again. Lack of growth does not equal a setback — only a period
of stagnancy.

Advance Tax Numbers



  - ICICI Bank has paid Rs 340 crore Vs Rs 250 crore a year ago
   - SBI has paid Rs 663 crore Vs Rs 503 crore a year ago
   - IDBI Bank has paid mere Rs 10 crore Vs Rs 7 crore a year ago
   - Reliance Industries paid Rs 340 cr Vs 295 cr a year ago
   - Bajaj Auto paid Rs 50 cr Vs Rs 60 cr a year ago
   - HDFC's Advance Tax shot up by 40% to Rs 140 cr Vs Rs 95 cr
   - Tata Motors paid Rs 30 cr and Ambuja Cement Rs 100 cr

Reliance to Raise Crude Oil Imports From Saudi Arabia

 

June 17 (Bloomberg) -- Reliance Industries Ltd India's biggest company, is increasing crude oil imports from Saudi Arabia as it seeks to secure supplies because of rising demand for fuels in India and the rest of Asia.

Reliance, based in Mumbai, is boosting purchases by at least 90,000 barrels a day, accounting for 30 percent of Saudi Arabia's output increase of 300,000 barrels a day this month, P.M.S. Prasad president of the company's oil and gas business, said in a telephone interview.

The refiner, building a second oil refinery that would make it the world's largest by this year, stepped up imports after Saudi Arabia's Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi last month the kingdom is raising output to meet demand from customers.

Demand for fuels in the Middle East and Asia is forecast to rise 25 percent to 39 million barrels a day in 2015 from 2008, consultant FACTS Global Energy said today in a report.
 

``We have been assured of the additional barrels,'' Prasad said yesterday.

Reliance operates a 660,000 barrel-a-day refinery at Jamnagar in Gujarat, and would start operations at a 580,000 barrel-a-day plant under unit Reliance Petroleum Ltd. later
this year.

Refiners in Japan and South Korea are poised to increase crude oil imports in the coming months after annual plant maintenance peaked this month.

``There's an abundant supply of heavy crude but the Saudis are more savvy than others in marketing their crude,'' said Harry Tchilinguirian, senior oil market analyst at BNP Paribas SA. ``There's also a seasonal element to this as refiners return from maintenance.''

Heavy Crudes

Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil producer, and the most influential member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, pumps a variety of light and heavy crudes. OPEC, which supplies about 40 percent of the world's oil, hasn't been able to rein in prices, which rose to a record $139.89 a barrel in New York yesterday.

Reliance Chairman Mukesh Ambani earns more compared with overseas rivals by processing cheaper, dirtier crude with high- sulfur content. His plant is located two days away by ship from the Middle East.

 
Reliance earned $15.50 from processing a barrel of oil into fuels in the quarter ended March 31, compared with $7 for a plant in Singapore, the company said April 21.

 
China, the world's biggest energy user after the U.S., has increased crude oil imports from Saudi Arabia 17 percent this year to almost 10 million tons as new refineries start operations, according to customs data.
 
 

The Old Man and the Ship - Nice One



A giant ship engine failed. The ship's owners tried one expert after another, but none of them could figure but how to fix the engine.

Then they brought in an old man who had been fixing ships since he was a young. He carried a large bag of tools with him, and when he arrived, he immediately went to work. He inspected the engine very carefully, top to bottom.

Two of the ship's owners were there, watching this man, hoping he would know what to do. After looking things over, the old man reached into his bag and pulled out a small hammer. He gently tapped something. Instantly, the engine lurched into life. He carefully put his hammer away. The engine was fixed!

A week later, the owners received a bill from the old man for ten thousand Rupees. 
 

"What?!" the owners exclaimed. "He hardly did anything!"

So they wrote the old man a note saying, "Please send us an itemized bill."
 
The man sent a bill that read: 

          Tapping with a hammer.... Rs 2.00
          Knowing where to tap  .... Rs 9, 998.00
 
Effort is important, but knowing where to make an effort makes all the difference!
 
 
contributed by: Gautam Shroff

PowerYourTrade Trading Calls




Trading Calls for 19 Jun 2008
VK Sharma
Buy Ranbaxy Laboratories at around Rs 598.20 with a stoploss of Rs 590. This is a day trading recommendation.

Buy Ranbaxy Laboratories at around Rs 598.20 with a stoploss of Rs 590. This is a day trading recommendation.

DISCLAIMER.

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Mathew Easow
Buy Suven Life Sciences only on declines with a stoploss of Rs 33 for a short term target of Rs 41

Buy Suven Life Sciences only on declines with a stoploss of Rs 33 for a short term target of Rs 41.

Disclaimer: -

At the time of writing this article, I, my family members and my group companies do not have any position in SUVEN LIFE SCIENCES LTD. This stock has been recommended to our clients and they may be holding long or short positions in this stock.

Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. The information contained herein is not a complete analysis of every material fact representing the company, industry or security. The views expressed may change. However, prices can move up as well as down due to a number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility (or liability) for the accuracy of the above contents and also any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

Short Term Target Means – Approximately 3 –4 weeks. If the target is not met within 3-4 weeks then please exit the positions.

Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis–a–vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position. Individual traders /investors should book profit depending on their risk bearing capacity and need not wait for the targets.


 

Fertiliser cos await subsidy payment



NEW DELHI/MUMBAI: Fertiliser companies are still awaiting the
disbursement of subsidies to the tune of hundreds of crores for the
period between October 2007 and March 2008 even as climbing production
cost and constant prices of the key farm input is making matters worse
for the manufacturers.

"The subsidies/concessions due to the industry for the six month
period involves a substantial amount of funds. Of course, we welcome
the approval to the nutrient-based subsidy policy. But that shouldn't
take away the urgency for the government to disburse our dues,"
industry sources said.

The government had issued a notification regarding subsidy payment
about a fortnight ago, but payments have still not been made. While
the Cabinet committee on economic affairs approved the new nutrient-
based pricing policy on June 13, the subsidy policy for di-ammonium
phosphate (DAP), Muriate of Potash (MoP) and NPK fertilisers expired
on March 31, 2008.

High global prices for inputs and finished fertilisers have meant that
the fertiliser firms have had to borrow at high interest rates to fund
import in the absence of continuous flow of working capital to pay
their suppliers.
For example, the projected DAP requirement for the current kharif
season is 40-48 lakh MT, while domestic production is estimated to be
around 19-20 lakh MT.

To meet this imbalance, imports of 29 lakh MT have already been
contracted. However, only 17-18 lakh MT of DAP is expected to arrive
in time for use in this season, thereby leading to a shortage of 5-10
lakh MT, sources said.

The global price of DAP has also gone up substantially. The
international price has trebled from $430 per tonne last year to
$1,350 per tonne. Due to higher reliance on imports, the subsidy on
imported DAP alone works out to be over Rs 12,000 crore. According to
industry sources, imported DAP work out to over Rs 55,000 per tonne at
the point of distribution compared to prevailing imported DAP rate of
the Rs 13,182 per tonne rate fixed for February 2008.

The subsidy payment in the last four years has risen from Rs 15, 779
crore in 2004-05 to an estimated Rs 95,000 crore in 2008-09.

According to an Enam Securities report, the bonds issued to the
companies by the central government are also selling at significant
discount in the market. The cumulative loss to the industry on account
of selling these bonds in the market was more than Rs 100 crore in Q4
of FYO8, the report added.

Several companies have already asked the Centre to make up for losses
in order to ease the severe strain on the liquidity due to additional
borrowings on this count. Chambal Fertilisers, among the top gas-based
companies, recently joined others in petitioning the department of
fertilisers to reimburse it for losses incurred on account of bonds.
The company was issued Rs 383 crore worth of bonds but was unable to
sell them except at a huge discount.

Prior to the approval of the nutrient-based subsidy regime, subsidies
on fertilisers were entirely product-based and available only for
specific products such as urea, DAP, MoP and SSP. Other fertilisers
got no subsidy or had prices fixed with regard to their nutrient
content.

The subsidy bill could be contained over the mid and longer term,
thanks to the switch to a nutrient-based pricing. But for now, since
the Centre has kept the price of nitrogen, phosphates and potash
unchanged rather than increasing the price of urea and decreasing that
of phosphate, the subsidy bill is expected to remain significantly
high.

 
 

ISRO ties up with BrahMos aerospace unit



The BrahMos Aerospace unit here has signed an agreement with the
Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) for taking up engineering
and integration of the space agency's launch vehicles PSLV and
GSLV.

The Rs 25-crore pact involves work on ISRO's tankages, special
aluminium work and all titanium work, a senior BrahMos official said
here today.


The Brahmos facility will also take up space-tech related
infrastructure work for ISRO's future missions.

Brahmos Aerospace established its unit here early this year by taking
over the state-owned Kerala High-tech Industries Ltd (KELTEC).

Even when it was a state-run facility, the unit used to supply some
components and sub-assemblies to the ISRO as well as other central
scientific and defence agencies like the Defence Research and
Development Organisation (DRDO).

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

Inflation seen at 9.82 per cent on June 7



Mumbai, June 18: India's annual inflation rate is expected to have
jumped to 13-year highs near 10 percent in early June, powered by a
fuel price rise, a Reuters poll showed on Wednesday.

The wholesale price index is forecast to have risen to 9.82 percent in
the 12 months to June 7, which would be the highest since June 3,
1995, when annual inflation was at 9.89 percent.

The forecasts from 12 analysts ranged widely from 9.63 percent to
10.62 percent, and compared with an annual rise of 8.75 percent in the
previous week.

Four economists in the poll estimated the data, due around noon (0630
GMT) on Friday, to come in at above 10 percent, its first double-digit
reading since May 27, 1995.

It would be the 17th consecutive week that inflation rate has been
above 5.5 percent, the central bank's target by the end of the fiscal
year in March 2009.

India had raised state-set fuel prices by about 10 percent on June 4,
and the central bank last week raised its key lending rate for the
first time in more than a year to contain inflation expectations.

India's chief statistician, Pronab Sen, said on Tuesday that headline
inflation would hit double digits sometime in the coming weeks and was
likely to hover around 8 to 9 percent before declining in the last
quarter of 2008.

The wholesale price index is more closely watched than the consumer
price index (CPI) because it includes more products and is also
published weekly. The CPI is released monthly.

Sources : Financial Express

Dish TV Q4 net loss at Rs 115.06 cr



Mumbai, June 18: Zee group company Dish TV India on Wednesday
announced a net loss of Rs 115.06 crore for the quarter ended March
31, 2008, against a net loss of Rs 100.18 crore in the corresponding
quarter last year.

The total income rose to Rs 136.36 crore in the latest quarter, from
Rs 66.63 crore in the same period last year, Dish TV said in a filing
to the Bombay Stock Exchange.

For the year ended March 31, 2008, the group reported a consolidated
net loss of Rs 414.13 crore, compared to a net loss of Rs 240.07 crore
in the previous fiscal.

The total income rose to Rs 416.18 crore in FY'08 from Rs 196.24 crore
in the year-ago period.

The company announced a standalone net loss of Rs 413.20 crore in
FY'08 as against a net loss of Rs 251.88 crore in the year-ago
period.

The total income rose to Rs 415.72 crore in FY'08, from Rs 194.31
crore in the previous fiscal.

Further, the board has approved the raising of Rs 1,140 crore through
the rights issue.

Shares of Dish TV were trading at Rs 42.35, up 2.42 per cent in the
late afternoon trade on the BSE.


SEBI panel to look at MF regulations




MUMBAI: Chairman CB Bhave said Securities and Exchange Board of India
plans to set up an advisory committee on mutual funds in a month's
time, to understand the needs and problems of the industry and to see
if any regulatory changes are necessary.

Bhave said the committee would seek advice from participants for
betterment of the industry. He said the markets regulator had received
complaints from investors on problems faced at redemption and HR
related issues with regard to distributors.

The SEBI head was speaking at a CII organized conference on the mutual
fund industry.

Meanwhile, Association of Mutual Funds in India head AP Kurian sought
relaxation on PAN norms from the SEBI chief.

How House Rent Allowance is calculated?

Sandeep Shanbhag / DNA MONEY
Wednesday, 18 June , 2008, 09:02


As per my inbox, the most frequently asked question has to do with the
house rent allowance (HRA). Typically, the employee receives a certain
amount of HRA. He either already owns a flat or is about to buy one.

Consequently, he is concerned that on account of the ownership flat,
he may lose the HRA deduction. Or, the other way around — since he is
receiving HRA, the concern is that he may not be eligible for home
loan deductions.

This week, let us find out whether these fears are justified. However,
for that, we need to first understand how HRA actually works.

HRA is basically an allowance, which forms a part of one's taxable
salary. It is not mandatory for the employer to give HRA. But, if an
employer chooses to offer the allowance, one will receive it whether
or not he owns a house, pays EMI on the home loan, pays rent, or lives
with his parents.

In other words, the HRA, like the basic salary, is received every
month, regardless of one's personal situation.

However, the law also provides that if the employee satisfies certain
conditions, a deduction will be provided from the HRA received and
only the balance will be subject to tax. This deduction depends upon
the city one lives in and the amount of rent he pays. We shall discuss
this in detail a little later.

Let us first address the issue we started out with. What if you get
HRA and also own a house? Does this affect either the HRA deduction or
the home loan deductions?

The answer is no. HRA and home loan provisions are two different
issues as far as the Income Tax Act is concerned and one does not
influence the other. So, you may own a flat or any number of flats,
either in the same city that you work in or anywhere else in the whole
of India or for that matter abroad.

This will, in no way, influence the HRA deduction that you are
entitled to. Conversely, notwithstanding the amount of HRA that you
receive, your home loan deductions on the EMIs for the house you have
bought or intend to buy will not be affected.

Now, let's move on to understanding how much HRA deduction you would
be eligible for and the way to calculate it. As mentioned before, the
HRA is provided by the employer.

However, a deduction thereon is provided by the Income Tax Act,
subject to fulfilment of certain conditions.

The first and the foremost condition is that you have to be paying
rent. After all, that is what the allowance is meant for in the first
place. So, if you are one of the lucky few who do not have to pay rent
for the roof over your head, you don't get the deduction.

Note that it is not necessary for you to pay rent to a landlord. It is
possible that you live in your parents' house, in which case, you may
pay rent to your parents and consequently be eligible for the HRA
deduction.

In this case, the rent received will be taxable for your parents —
however, if their total income is below the taxable limit, the entire
transaction would be rendered tax-free.

As per the provisions of the Finance Act, 2008, Rs 2,25,000 is tax-
free for a senior citizen. Split between mom and dad, the total amount
of rent could be much as Rs 4,50,000 (Rs 2,25,000 x 2) without tax
incidence. So, you get your HRA deduction, they don't pay any tax and
everyone wins.

But, let me clarify that the same structure cannot be adopted in the
case of your spouse. Yes, it would be very convenient to pay rent to
the non-working spouse and thereby save a load of tax. But, if only
life were that simple! Husband and wife cannot charge each other rent
as they are supposed to live together under the same roof.

In other words, the relationship between husband and wife cannot be
commercial in nature.

The other factor that influences the HRA deduction is where you live.
If you live in a metro city, you would be eligible for a deduction of
up to 50% of your salary (basic plus DA, if applicable); otherwise,
the limit is 40%.

So, in a nutshell, the HRA deduction is the least of the following:

i. Actual HRA received,

ii. 50% of salary for employees living in metros and 40% otherwise,
and

iii. Excess of the rent paid over 10% of salary.

Say, Vikram earns a basic salary of Rs 35,000 per month and rents an
apartment in Mumbai for Rs 15,000 per month. The actual HRA he
receives is Rs 20,000. Vikram's HRA deduction will be the least of the
following three figures:

i. Actual HRA received, i.e. Rs 20,000,

ii. 50% of the salary, i.e. Rs 17,500, and

iii. Excess of rent paid over 10% of salary, i.e. Rs 15,000 - Rs 3,500
= Rs 11,500.

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Therefore, the net taxable HRA for Vikram would work out to Rs 20,000
(HRA received) less Rs 11,500 (HRA deduction available), which works
out to Rs 8,500.

Last but not the least, don't forget to maintain the rent receipts or
a copy of the lease agreement as this serves as proof of having paid
the rent.

Life continues to be tough for IPOs



MUMBAI: That investor sentiment is on shaky ground was evident in the
response generated to three small-sized issues that were to close for
subscription on Tuesday. While two of the three issues managed to
garner investor interest, the third, Lotus Eye Care Hospital, was
forced not only to extend its subscription period by three more days,
but also to lower its price band.

The issues that did close could not, however, boast of high
subscription numbers, though retail category, unlike earlier
instances, was fully subscribed.

In the case of Lotus Eye Care Hospital, the merchant bankers have
announced that the issue would now close on June 20 and revised the
price band downward to Rs 36 to Rs 38 per share (from the earlier Rs
38 to Rs 42 per share).

According to NSE data, the issue was subscribed 0.61 times with the
QIB category being subscribed 0.70 times. The retail and HNI category
has been subscribed 0.71 times and 0.14 times, respectively.

Prime Database MD Prithvi Haldea attributes this to "bad secondary
market, adding that "small-sized issues face difficulties" when it
comes to generating institutional interest even during normal market
conditions.

The other issue that closed on Tuesday was that of First Winner
Industries, which was subscribed 1.26 times, according to NSE data.
The QIB portion was subscribed 1.05 times, with the retail and HNI
segments getting subscribed 1.32 times and 1.84 times, respectively.

Incidentally, First Winner was fully subscribed only after it extended
its bidding period and revising its price band downward to Rs 115 to
Rs 125 per share (from Rs 120 to Rs 130 per share). The issue was
originally scheduled to end on June 12.

The last of the three issues, Archidply Industries, presents an
interesting case. The QIB portion has been subscribed only 0.20 times
or 20%.

Still, there has been no extension to the issue, with bankers managing
the issue maintaining that the "prospectus clearly mentioned that only
10% of the issue size was required to be filled by QIBs".

Archidply Industries witnessed a strong response in the other
categories. The retail segment was subscribed 3.04 times, while the
HNI portion was subscribed more than two times.

These segments were not even fully subscribed till Tuesday afternoon.
Around noon, the retail segment was subscribed less than 40% or, in
other words, 0.40 times.

Rising FD rates to bring some cheers for depositors



NEW DELHI: There is some good news for retired persons and those
dependent on the interest income as banks have started increasing
their fixed deposit rates following the decision of the RBI to hike
the short term lending rate by 0.25 per cent.

Oriental Bank of Commerce yesterday revised their fixed deposit rates
for various maturities and raised the rates for its special deposit
scheme Asha Kiran (FDs for 400 days) to 9.75 for senior citizens.

This is probably the highest interest rate being offered by the city
based public sector lender on 13-month deposit.

Though the senior citizens would get a rate of 9.75 per cent, others
will receive 9.25 per cent for 400-day fixed deposit from OBC.

Even the new generation private sector lender Yes Bank increased the
deposit rates by 0.5 per cent across all maturities.

After the recent revision of interest rates by Yes Bank, senior
citizens would get a maximum of 10 per cent on fixed deposits with a
maturity of one year to 18 months. The others would receive a return
of 9.5 per cent.

Country's largest public sector lender, State Bank of India, also
revised fixed deposit rates upward by up to 0.5 per cent for selected
tenures effective June 1.

SBI increased fixed deposits rate for 5-10 years by 0.5 per cent to 9
per cent while 3-5 years tenure was hiked by 0.35 per cent. Senior
citizens will get 0.5 per cent more.

Another Mumbai-based lender Bank of India also increased deposit rates
up to 0.5 per cent for various maturities.

For deposits having a maturity of one year to less than two years, the
revised rates stands at 9.15 per cent, against the earlier rate of
8.50 per cent, while for deposits ranging from two to three years, the
new rate is 9.25 per cent as against earlier rate of 8.75 per cent.

Similarly, fixed deposits of Bank of India having a maturity of three
to five years will earn 9.50 per cent interest, against the earlier
8.75 per cent.

"The rates have been revised with a view to mobilise funds from
deposits in the beginning of the financial year. We will review our
rates by June 30, after which they might be revised again," the BOI
official had said.

There would be a case for further upward revision of fixed deposit
rates in case the inflation, as projected by many analysts, goes up to
10 per cent.

Moreover, the banks would have to raise fixed deposit rates to retain
the deposit base, says brokerage firm Edelweiss Capital in its recent
analysis on impact of repo rate hike on the banking sector.

The study further pointed out that following recent hike in repo rate,
bottomline of those banks which are dependent on wholesale money
market for funds would come under pressure.

Religare plans banking foray



NEW DELHI: Ranbaxy promoter group's financial services company
Religare Enterprises is looking at foraying into banking sector. The
company is exploring both organic and inorganic route, when the sector
opens up, for the venture. Incidentally, the company acquired a 4.2%
stake in Karnataka Bank in the last quarter of 2006 and this is the
only bank where Religare has invested so far.

At the end of the quarter ended March 31, 2008, there were 14
institutional shareholders holding a total of 41% stake in the bank.
US-based Oppenheimer Funds Inc is the highest shareholder with 4.94%
stake. The shareholding of this bank is widely disbursed, and it does
not have a promoter.

Religare is keeping its option open of increasing its stake in the
bank if it gets the regulatory nod. Says Religare Enterprises CEO and
MD Sunil Godhwani: "Karnataka Bank was the first bank in which we
invested. The company has advisory and other financial services
relationship with Karnataka Bank among other banks. But, Karnataka
Bank is the only bank in which we have picked up stake."

"We are offering all banking-related services except issuing cheques
and taking deposits. The group has been looking at foraying in banking
segment as it will complete our financial services. However, the
venture should be feasible and add value to the shareholders,
bottomline and the company's overall business. We are looking for the
market to open up," he added.

Under the existing regulations, a corporate entity cannot buy more
than 10% in a bank. Banking licences are hard to get in India and
Religare has also not applied for a banking license.

Mr Godhwani said the company has recieved investment options in
several banks but has not yet zeroed it down to any particular bank.
According to industry sources, Religare may invest a significant
amount of Rs 10,000 crore which the promoter family will get for
selling its 35% stake to Japanese company Daiichi Sankyo in its
banking foray.

Market watchers say that Religare has been looking at acquiring a
significant stake in a bank as the company needs one to expand its
financial services business.

Spielberg, Dreamworks in talks with Reliance


NEW YORK: Movie studio DreamWorks SKG is close to a deal with Reliance
ADA Group to form a new movie venture, the Wall Street Journal
reported on Tuesday, citing people familiar with the talks.

The Journal said a deal with Reliance would give movie director Steven
Spielberg the cash to finance his DreamWorks team's departure from
Viacom Inc's Paramount Pictures later this year.

Reliance would provide Spielberg and company with $500-$600 million in
equity and would also give Reliance a large stake in the new company.

Source : Economic Times
 
 
 

PowerYourTrade Trading Calls

Trading Calls for 18 Jun 2008
VK Sharma
Buy Ranbaxy Labs at around Rs 581.45 with a stoploss of Rs 575. This is a day trading recommendation

Buy Ranbaxy Labs at around Rs 581.45 with a stoploss of Rs 575. This is a day trading recommendation.

DISCLAIMER.

This document has been prepared by Anagram Stock broking Ltd. (Anagram), for use by the recipient only and not for circulation. The information and opinions contained in the document have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Anagram does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any securities. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published, in whole or in part, by any recipient hereof for any purpose without prior permission from us. Anagram and the analyst(s), including his dependant family members may have an interest in the securities recommended above. To unsubscribe, send a mail to unsubscribechinta@gmail.com.

Copyright in this document vests exclusively with Anagram Stock broking Limited.

Mathew Easow
Buy Sanra Software with a stoploss of Rs 65 for a short term target of Rs 118

Buy Sanra Software with a stoploss of Rs 65 for a short term target of Rs 118.

Disclaimer: -

At the time of writing this article, I, my family members and my group companies do not have any position in SANRA SOFTWARE LTD. This stock has been recommended to our clients and they may be holding long or short positions in this stock.

Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. The information contained herein is not a complete analysis of every material fact representing the company, industry or security. The views expressed may change. However, prices can move up as well as down due to a number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility (or liability) for the accuracy of the above contents and also any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

Short Term Target Means – Approximately 3 –4 weeks. If the target is not met within 3-4 weeks then please exit the positions.

Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis–a–vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position. Individual traders /investors should book profit depending on their risk bearing capacity and need not wait for the targets.


 


India's GDP to grow at 9.5 pc in FY 09: CMIE




India's real GDP is expected to grow at an impressive 9.5 percent in
FY 09, the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) said in its
monthly review in Mumbai.


The Indian economy is heading towards the fourth consecutive year of
an over-9 percent growth and like in the last five years, growth this
year too was expected to be driven by capital investments happening in
India, CMIE said.

As per CMIE CapEx Service, projects worth Rs 3.4 lakh-crore are
scheduled for commissioning in FY 09. This would be the highest-ever
completion of investments in the Indian history, CMIE said.

The current growth phase of the Indian economy is driven by the
capital investment boom in the country. India's GDP started rising by
over eight percent since FY 04.



And, the gross capital formation (GSF) grew in the range of 13-23
percent during this period.



CMIE expects growth in GSF to accelerate to 18.7 percent in FY 09 from
13.4 percent in FY 08.



This robust growth in GSF is expected to more than offset the
moderation in the growth in private final consumption expenditure
(PFCE) and Government final consumption expenditure (GFCE).



CMIE stated that the PFCE is expected to grow by five percent in FY
09, after growing by 7-9 percent in the preceding three years.



While the slower growth in the PFCE would mainly be on account of the
higher base last year, the prevailing high inflation would also affect
the consumption demand to some extent.



However, inflation is not expected to depress the PFCE dramatically as
income levels in India have also gone up significantly in the last one
year.



This is evident from over 20 percent rise in wages and salaries of the
manufacturing sector and the 57.6 percent rise in income tax
collection by the Government during FY 08.



Hence, despite a moderation, CMIE expects the growth in the PFCE to
remain healthy.



Since the sole growth driver in FY 09 is going to be GCF, one may
wonder 'what if all the projects do not get commissioned in FY 09?'



CMIE believe that even if half of the projects (scheduled for
completion) get implemented, it would give a big push to the growth of
the Indian economy.



It is the huge employment and demand for primary and intermediate
goods generated during the implementation of these projects, which is
more important than the actual commissioning of the capacities.



CMIE pointed out that the implementation of these huge investments to
help the construction sector clock a robust 15 percent growth in FY
09.



Also, the implementation of these projects is going to lead to higher
demand for machinery, steel, cement and other construction items.



Thus, the implementation of capital investments will continue to
generate demand for goods and services and their completion would
ensure that there are enough supplies to meet the freshly generated
demand.


PRESS: Rel Comm eyes 40% of MTN; hopes shareholders waive rights



Tuesday, Jun 17

   NEW DELHI - Anil Ambani, Reliance Communications Ltd. chairman, is considering buying more than 40% of MTN, Africa's biggest wireless company, according to a news report published on the Web site www.ft.com.

   Until now it has been thought Ambani would limit himself to a 34.9% stake in MTN, because if he went any higher he would be obliged under South African laws to make an offer to buy out the African company's other shareholders.

   The report, quoting people close to the matter, said Ambani was looking at the case for a "whitewash" procedure under which MTN's shareholders would vote on whether to waive their right to a tender offer.

   If the shareholders agreed, Ambani may end up owning 40-45% of MTN.

   MTN's largest shareholders are Newshelf, a company that holds 13% on behalf of the group's staff, and Public Investment Corp., a South African state-owned pension fund, which also has 13%.

   The third largest shareholder is M1, a company that holds almost 10% on behalf of Lebanon's Mikati family. The family was the largest shareholder in Investcom, a Middle East mobile operator bought by MTN in 2006.  
 
 
 

Govt warns about ill-effects of cell phone radiation



Warning people about harmful effects of radiation from mobile phones,
the government has asked service providers and makers to avoid
promotional advertisements showing vulnerable segments like children
and pregnant women using cell phones.

The electromagnetic waves emitted from mobile phones can seriously
damage the tissues of the users' brain, according to recent guidelines
issued by the Ministry of Telecommunication.

The draft guidelines suggested measures like limited usage of mobile
phones by children, pregnant women and people suffering from heart
ailments.

In India, the growth of mobile phones is very high and may cross 500
million by 2010-end, and a large chunk of the users are children.

Many parents provide mobile phones to their children for safety
reasons, and to keep connected with them all the time.

The guidelines say that mobile phones/radio terminals radiate Radio
Frequency energy that heats up the tissues which may be possibly
harmful to human health.

During use, mobile phones are usually kept closer to the ear which is
very near to the brain giving rise to fears that continuous use of
mobile phone for longer duration may damage some brain tissues.

The report advises people to use hands-free, if longer use is
unavoidable and recommends that children below 16 should be
discouraged from using cell phones as the tissues of children are
tender and are likely to be more affected.

According to the report, use of mobile phones/radio terminals by
persons, using medical aids such as hearing aids, defibrillators,
pacemakers and other implants should be minimised.

The use of cell phones/radio terminals in vulnerable areas of
hospitals such as Intensive Care Unit (ICU) should be prohibited or
restricted as decided by hospital authority.

The ministry has asked the manufacturers to provide the details of
Specific Absorption Rate (SAR) value for each hand set on websites or,
if possible, on the handsets as well. The SAR value indicates average
time for use of mobile phones that can be called harmless.

At the same time, the ministry has stressed on developing an effective
system of health information and communication, designed by
scientists, government, industry and public, to raise the level of
general understanding about mobile phone technology.

Source: Financial Express
 
 
 

Unilever to shut 3 Dutch plants, cut jobs



Anglo-Dutch consumer products group Unilever NV/Plc said on Tuesday it
plans to close three factories in the Netherlands by the end of 2008
and cut about 474 jobs.

Kees van der Waaij, head of Unilever Nederland, told ANP-Reuters
production would be moved to other plants in Europe and said the
company did not rule out forced redundancies.

The world's third-biggest food and consumer goods company announced in
August it would cut about a tenth of its 180,000 employees and sell
slow-growing businesses in a bid to speed up its recovery and fight
surging food costs.

Source: Financial Express
 
 

Employment - loose it or avail in India?



Glaxo cuts 350 jobs in drug research overhaul in Europe

ArcelorMittal's plans to shutdown a plants - French President Nicolas
Sarkozy as for explanation

Rolls-Royce to cut up to 2,300 jobs: Company

Engine manufacturer Rolls-Royce Group plc is to cut up to 2,300 jobs
in Britain, Europe and the United States

Unilever to shut 3 Dutch plants, cut jobs

And in INDIA!!!

Fujitsu to increase India headcount to 2,500

Insurance BPO to create 1 lakh jobs in India

The Rajasthan Government announced to give jobs to qualifying 18,000
BEd degree holders in the state within 100 days

Tata Consultancy to hire 9,000 employees
 
 

Oil output from Panna-Mukta fields may restart Wed, gas delayed



Tuesday, Jun 16

   NEW DELHI - Crude oil production from Panna-Mukta fields in western offshore is likely to restart Wednesday, two week after oil and gas production was shutdown due to an explosion on the Panna platform on Jun 3, an official close to the development said today.

   "Depending on the weather condition, oil production is likely to start as early as Wednesday morning...Initial production could be around 15,000-17,000 barrels of oil per day," the official told NewsWire18.

   State-run Oil and Natural Gas Corp. Ltd., Reliance Industries Ltd. and BG India jointly operate Panna-Mukta and Tapti fields.
   ONGC holds 40% stake in these fields, while RIL and BG India own 30% each.

   Oil production from Panna-Mukta fields stood at around 40,000 barrels per day prior to the accident. The entire output was bought by  Indian Oil Corp. Ltd. 
 
   The official said gas production could take some more time--"probably weeks--to resume production. 

   The fields also produced 5.5 mmscmd of natural gas, which was marketed by state-run GAIL (India) Ltd.

   At 3:02, ONGC shares were trading at 879.50 rupees on the National Stock Exchange, up 4.08% from Monday. RIL shares were 1.9% higher at 2,326 rupees.
 
 
 

Microsoft to open European search technology center





Microsoft Corp said on Tuesday that it planned to open a search
technology center (STC) in Europe as part of its plan to accelerate
investments in Live Search.

The location of the STC has not yet been determined, the company said,
with several possible cities being considered for the hub.

The STC will be opened in Microsoft's 2009 fiscal year, which runs
from July 1, 2008 through June 2009.
 
 
 

BPCL Q4 net plunges 91.28%



Bharat Petroleum Corporation disclosed a substantial drop in
standalone net profit for the quarter ended March 2008. During the
quarter, the profit of the company declined 91.28% to Rs 584.00
million from Rs 6,700.00 million in the same quarter last year.

Net sales for the quarter rose 35.03% to Rs 325,786.00 million, while
total income for the quarter rose 34.17% to Rs 327,129.00 million,
when compared with the prior year period.

Quarterly Results - Standalone (Rs in mn)
As at Mar - 08 Mar - 07 %Change
Net Sales 325786.00 241265.00 35.03
Net Profit 584.00 6700.00 (91.28)
Basic EPS 1.62 18.53 (91.26)

During the quarter, the company disclosed a fall in operating margin
of 365.87 basis points to 1.62% on higher production cost. Interest
cost increased 30.83% to Rs 2,156.00 million while depreciation cost
rose 19.47% to Rs 3,319.00 million over previous year period.

Annual Results

The company announced a drop in standalone net profit for the year
ended March 2008. During the year, the profit of the company declined
12.46% to Rs 15,806.00 million from Rs 18,055.00 million in the last
year.

Net sales for the year rose 13.31% to Rs 1,105,468.00 million, while
total income during the year rose 13.73% to Rs 1,117,862.00 million,
when compared with the prior year period.


Annual Results - Standalone (Rs in mn)
As at Mar - 08 Mar - 07 %Change
Net Sales 1105468.00 975602.00 13.31
Net Profit 15806.00 18055.00 (12.46)
Basic EPS 43.72 49.94 (12.45)


During the year, the company reported a fall in operating margin of
180.59 basis points to 1.70% on higher production cost. Interest cost
increased 40.87% to Rs 6,725.00 million while depreciation cost rose
21.47% to Rs 10,982.00 million over previous year period.

Dividend

The board of directors have recommended 40% dividend i.e. Rs 4 a
equity share of Rs 10  each for the year 2007-08.

Shares of the company gained Rs 4.15, or 1.5%, to trade at Rs 280. The
total volume of shares traded was 146,357 at the BSE

 
 

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Chettinad Cement board recommends 100% dividend



The board of directors of Chettinad Cement (Q, N,C,F)* Corporation, at
its meeting held on Jun. 17, 2008, has recommended a dividend of 100%
for the financial year ended Mar. 31, 2008, subject to approval of the
shareholders.

The company registered a 35.33% growth in net profit to Rs 364.30
million for the quarter ended March 2008 from a profit of Rs 269.20
million for the quarter ended March 2007.

Net sales rose 37.88% to Rs 2,577.90 million for the quarter ended
March 2008 from Rs 1,869.70 million for the quarter ended March 2007.

Shares of the company closed up Rs 16.9, or 3.5%, to settle at Rs 500.
The total volume of shares traded at the BSE was 581

Yahoo partners with MTNL, Idea Cellular




Yahoo! the leader in mobile advertising and mobile Internet services,
announced partnerships with two Indian mobile operators MTNL and Idea
Cellular on Tuesday as part of a series of initiatives in Asia. While
in case of MTNL it is for Yahoo! oneSearch, the mobile search engine,
in the case of Idea Cellular, the partnership is for mobile
advertising.

The Sunnyvale, California based company today announced several new
mobile initiatives for the Asia Pacific region, including five new
Yahoo! oneSearch partnerships with leading mobile operators including
MTNL, Hong Kong CSL Limited (CSL), Smart Communications Inc (Smart,
Philippines), Digital Mobile Phlis, Inc (SUN Cellular, Philippines)
and Vibo Telecom Inc (Vibo, Taiwan).

It has also forged strategic mobile advertising partnerships with Idea
Cellular Ltd and Maxis Communications Bhd (Malaysia), the company said
in a statement distributed via Businesswire.

Yahoo! also announced localised versions of Yahoo! Go 3.0 for India,
Australia and Southeast Asia, including a local language version for
Indonesia, and an English version of Yahoo! oneSearch with voice that
recognises regional accents.

The company also announced the launch of new mobile widgets for the
Asia Pacific region including Yahoo! Cricket, Yahoo! Answers and
Showtimes (Yahoo! India Movies), as well as a MTV Asia mobile widget
featuring news updates and music charts.

These announcements further demonstrate Yahoo!'s global momentum and
unveil the next phase of the company's mobile strategy for the Asia
Pacific region, said the release.

Tuesday's Yahoo! oneSearch partnerships announcement brings the total
number of mobile search deals signed by Yahoo! worldwide in the last
18 months to over 60.

"Sixty signed Yahoo! oneSearch partner deals is a great milestone,
putting us on our way to our goal of ultimately connecting the
billions of mobile consumers around the globe with the best possible
Internet experience," Yahoo! Executive Vice President, Connected Life,
Marco Boerries said.

"Today's partnerships and product launches further Yahoo!'s global
momentum and serve to reinforce our strong position in the mobile
industry, he said."

Yahoo! oneSearch, one of the industry's leading mobile search
services, would be the preferred search service on the carriers'
respective mobile Internet sites.

"Working closely with our partners, Yahoo! oneSearch is a starting
point for mobile consumers across the Asia Pacific region, delivering
locally relevant information on their mobile devices," said David Ko,
managing director & vice president, Yahoo!

Across the fast-growing Asia Pacific market, Yahoo! has entered into a
total of twenty-three strategic mobile search partnerships with mobile
operators, providing the company with an opportunity to bolster its
market share of mobile search queries in the countries in which Yahoo!
operates.

As for Yahoo! oneSearch, Yahoo! has inked partnerships with Idea
Cellular, Reliance Communication, Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited (BSNL),
Aircel Limited, BPL Mobile and MTNL (Mumbai); these leading operators
provide mobile services to 50 per cent of the rapidly-growing base of
mobile consumers in India.

Analysts see more fall in newspaper shrs on rising newsprint costs


Monday, Jun 16

   MUMBAI - Spiralling newsprint costs and increasing competition amid volatile market conditions are keeping investors away from shares of newspaper companies, analysts said.

   Newspaper shares have shed over 52% since January, and the correction is likely to continue until end of 2008, analysts said.

   "Newsprint prices have been in the up trend since the past eight to nine months on account of capacity shutdown by global players, and rising energy costs...," ICICI Securities said in a research note to clients. 

   Newsprint prices have gone up 40-50% to $900 (38,655 rupees) per 1 tn since January, and it is all set to touch $1,000 (42,950 rupees) by the end of this financial year, an analyst at a domestic brokerage said.

   Newsprint constitutes 50% of raw material costs for publications.  "Though we expect a 15-18% growth in top line, rising newsprint costs will offset revenue growth and will impact margins badly," the analyst said.
   Analysts said although newsprint costs have been rising since the last quarter of 2007-08 (Apr-Mar), companies like HT Media and Jagran Prakashan have maintained margins due to higher inventory levels.

   However, their margins are likely to come under pressure by second quarter of the current financial year, once inventory levels have gone down, they said. 

   Analysts see a correction in newsprint prices in 2009-10 (Apr-Mar), as they expect increase in production capacity in China will pull prices down.

   "Post Olympics, we expect decline in newsprint prices, as China would turn exporter once again. Also, increased capacity in China is likely to further pressurise prices in FY10," ICICI Securities said. 

   Some analysts were of the view moderation in newsprint prices in FY10 will not help newspaper companies much as prices are likely to remain high.

   "We expect newsprint prices to be at $750 (32,213 rupees) in FY10, but it may not come down to $600 (25,770 rupees) as was the case in FY08. So no respite for these companies unless they retrain their newsprint usage," the analyst said.

   Companies like HT Media are venturing into other business like radio and Internet to offset losses from newspaper business but experts said the new ventures will continue to remain in the ramp-up phase over the next 18 months.
 

RISING COMPETITION
 
   As newsprints costs are already looking to eat into their margins, rising competition is also adding pressure, especially to small and regional players, analysts said.

   The Hindi belt is already witnessing a cover-price war where cover prices of popular dailies have been reduced to 2 rupees a copy from 3 rupees, ICICI Securities said.

   With rising competition, the newspapers are not able to increase its advertising rates, as it would result in falling ad revenues, analyst said.

   Advertisements contribute almost 90% of newspaper revenues.
 
 
VALUATIONS
 
   There is no near-term triggers that can pull the shares up, analysts said.
   "Any spike in newsprint prices would pull the stocks down sharply and these stocks are likely to touch new 52-week lows frequently," a senior dealer at a domestic brokerage said.

   "The stocks have been showing downward trend and further weakness is expected in the counters, if the markets turn volatile," said Milind Vasudev, technical analyst, Angel Broking.

   Shares of HT Media ended marginally up at 121.85 rupees on the National Stock Exchange, while Jagran Prakashan ended flat at 72.05 rupees, down 0.6%, and Deccan Chronicle ended 4.5% lower at 118.85 rupees.  
 
 
 

Monday, June 16, 2008

Reliance Retail to ink JV with Avery Dennison



KOLKATA: After inking a joint venture with Office Depot, Reliance
Retail is about to ink another major partnership to strengthen its
office products and services offering. The retail major will soon
enter into a 51:49 JV with the US-based $6.3-billion Avery Dennison
Corp, a global leader in labelling, office automation & consumer
products and retail information services.

The JV will provide Avery Dennison's products and services directly to
business customers in India, and will also sell them through Reliance
Retail stores. Plans are afoot to roll out standalone specialty stores
across the country, sources said. The deal is likely to be signed in a
month. When contacted, a Reliance Retail spokesperson declined to
comment. Despite repeated efforts, Avery Dennison India head Raj
Srinivasan could not be reached for comments.

Avery Dennison operates an Indian subsidiary and has three
manufacturing facilities in Gurgaon, Pune and Bangalore. It has
invested more than $30 million in its Indian operations and employs
1,100-odd people. The company has a network of sales and distribution
centres in Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore, Hyderabad, Chennai and Kolkata.


"The proposed Reliance Retail-Avery Dennison JV will combine the
global resources of Avery Dennison with local market knowledge and
resources of Reliance Retail to strengthen existing supply chain
network and enhance merchandising capabilities," sources said.

Sources said a top management team from Avery Dennison, including its
global CEO Dean A Scarborough, was recently in India to finalise the
partnership. The team had a series of discussions with Reliance Retail
president and CEO (lifestyle) Bijou Kurien and decided to float a JV.

Avery Dennison, globally, has a large presence in pressure-sensitive
labelling materials, retail tag, ticketing, branding systems and
office products. Its products are sold under two brands—Fasson and
Avery. The company has a strong presence in Radio Frequency
Identification (RFID) solution. Analysts feel the JV might also help
Reliance Retail's in-house requirements in retail solutions such as
RFID implementation.

Apart from Office Depot, Reliance Retail has recently formed JVs with
optical retailer Pearle Europe and Britain's Marks & Spencer. The
retailer has identified the route of JVs with major foreign players to
grow and consolidate its operation.

 
 

Your power bill could go up three-fold in the next 3 years



If you have been sweating over the recent increase in electricity
tariffs, there is more bad news. By 2012, your electricity bill is
likely to go up almost three times, thanks to the national tariff
policy (NTP) formulated by the Centre. Also in the news

The NTP, introduced in 2007-08 and valid for five years, says cross-
subsidisation has to be done away with. Therefore, over the next three
years all state electricity regulatory commissions will have to reduce
the subsidy given to residential consumers rather than charge
commercial consumers a lot more. This means every consumer will have
to pay for the expensive power purchased.


Currently, if the average cost of power purchased by a utility is Rs 5
a unit, it supplies the same to residential consumers at Rs 0.75 to Re
1 per unit whereas high-end commercial and industrial consumers pay Rs
5 to Rs 6 per unit.



But under the NTP, tariffs must progressively reflect the cost of
supply and hence the regulatory commission will have to bring the
rates to ±20% of the average cost of supply. For instance, if the
average cost of power is Rs 5 per unit, by the end of financial year
2010-11, the tariff for residential consumers (other than those below
the poverty line) should not be less than Rs 4 per unit. The tariff
for bulk consumers cannot be more than Rs 6.

"By 2012 every consumer will have to be brought on a par where the
average cost of power purchased will have to be recovered from them.
The recent tariff increase is a gradual move towards reducing the
cross-subsidisation," said S A Puranik, additional general manager
(electricity), of the Brihanmumbai Electric Supply and Transport
(BEST) undertaking.

The NTP is in compliance with the Electricity Act, 2003, which talks
of eliminating energy and peaking shortages by adding new generation
capacity of more than 1,00,000 MW during the 10th and 11th plan
periods, thereby guaranteeing electricity to every household in the
next five years.


The policy, however, respects the right of state governments to give
subsidy to poorer consumers.


State government officials, however, claim tariffs may not go up by
three times because additional generating capacities will be in place
by then and power costs will come down due to competitive bidding.

Wipro buys Motorola stake in JV WMNetServ



Wipro Technologies, the global IT arm of Wipro Ltd, has acquired the
stake held by its joint venture partner Motorola in WMNetServ for an
undisclosed sum.

Wipro and Motorola had formed the joint venture firm, WMNetServ, in
2006 with Wipro holding the majority stake. The stake held by Wipro
was also not disclosed.
When contacted a Wipro spokesperson confirmed the development.

"Wipro and Motorola will continue to work closely in the engineering
space. We have altered the equity arrangement in the partnership by
buying out Motorola stake as both we and Motorola did not see any
value add," Wipro Technologies President (Technology, Communications &
Media) Sudip Nandy said.

WMNetServ delivers network engineering services to equipment vendors
and wireless operators on a global basis. It has a framework for
remote delivery of network services like network planning and design,
network optimisation and others


TRAI says no question of letting MVNOs own spectrum




Monday, Jun 16.
 

   NEW DELHI - The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India has ruled out allowing ownership of spectrum by mobile virtual network operators.

   "There is no question of ownership of spectrum by MVNOs," TRAI Chairman Nripendra Misra said after an open house discussion on allowing MVNOs in India.

   An MVNO is a company that buys airtime from an existing mobile services provider, and offers the same to its customers without setting up its own infrastructure.

   On a media report that the regulator has given its approval to the Tata Teleservices-Virgin Mobile deal that was alleged to be based on an MVNO model, Misra said, "It never needed our approval. It was never under our scrutiny. It's the licensor's (department of telecommunications')
job."  
 
 

States seek compensation for cut in sales tax on auto fuels


Monday, Jun 16

  NEW DELHI - State governments today asked the Centre to partially compensate them for the projected revenue loss of around 80 bln rupees due to cut in sales tax on petroleum products.

   "The states together would lose 80 bln rupees in the remaining months (of the current financial year) on account of cut in sales tax. We want the Centre to compensate 50% of this (revenue loss)," Empowered Group of State Finance Ministers Chairman Asim Dasgupta told reporters after the panel's meeting here today.

   Ten state governments have reduced sales tax on petrol and 15 states have cut sales tax on diesel to cushion the steep increase in auto fuel prices announced by the Centre earlier this month. 

   On Jun 4, the centre had raised prices of petrol by 5 rupees per L and diesel by 3 rupees per L. It also increased price of cooking gas by 50 rupees per cylinder.

   "The states have limited resources and cannot endlessly take revenue hit," Dasgupta said.
 
   He said the states have also sought from Centre details of policy of price fixation of  petroleum products as their base price varies from one state to another.

   On the issue of cut in sales tax on aviation turbine fuel, Dasgupta said the issue will be discussed in the next meeting. 

   "We have asked for some more data from the civil aviation ministry and after we get the information we will take it up," he said.

   The Empowered Group of State Finance Ministers will meet again between Jun 21-23 in Srinagar. 

   Last week Civil Aviation Minister Praful Patel sought declared goods status for aviation turbine fuel to bail out airlines facing mounting losses due to the steep increase in its prices.

   In Delhi, a kL of ATF has increased to 66,226.66 rupees from 45495.82 rupees in January.

   ATF comprises 40-45% of airlines' total operational cost.  
 
 

Oil price drops as Saudis pledge more production



Global oil prices have fallen slightly after an announcement by the UN
Secretary-General, Ban Ki-moon, that Saudi Arabia will increase oil
production.

New York's main oil futures contract, light sweet crude for July
delivery, dropped 77 cents to 134.09 dollars per barrel, as the
European trading day began.

After meeting Saudi leaders in Jedda, Mr Ban said the Saudis had
agreed to produce an extra 200,000 barrels a day in July - about 2 per
cent of current output.

This comes on top of a promised hike of 300,000 barrels per day in
June.

"They will respond positively whenever there is a request from their
customers, so there is no shortage," Mr Ban said.

He says the Saudis "don't want to be blamed" for high oil prices.

Oil prices broke through $US100 for the first time ever only at the
start of 2008 and began 2007 trading at about $US50.

Global finance officials fear high oil prices pose a threat to world
economic growth, while truckers and others in Europe and Asia are
holding protests over the rising cost of fuel.

Food prices threaten Asian economy: ADB



Soaring food prices could become a highly sensitive economic and
political issue in Asia despite its robust growth, the president of
the Asian Development Bank warned on Monday.

Haruhiko Kuroda said the explosion in food prices posed a threat to
macroeconomic stability and raised the cost of food subsidies and
current account deficits in food-importing countries.

"Food prices can become a very sensitive economic and political
issue," he told an Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM) of finance ministers,
calling for safety nets to help the poor, reforms to agriculture and
measures to increase productivity.

Despite relatively robust growth, he said, Asia faces downside risks
-- a sharper than expected US slowdown, an escalation in global
financial instability and soaring energy and food prices.

Kuroda said the cost of food and energy may be the "most important
risk at the moment," posing policy challenges.

"Many countries face a growing dilemma on monetary policy: how to
gauge the right mix to control rising inflation without excessively
slowing economic growth," he said.

If Asian countries raise interest rates, the wider gap with the US may
attract "volatile portfolio investments" and fuel asset-price
inflation with an increased risk of a hard landing.

"But the risk would be even greater if prices spiral out of control,
feeding higher inflation expectations."

Kuroda said high oil prices could have a more visible impact on
domestic consumption and growth in Asia this year and next.

The meeting in the South Korean resort island of Jeju is being
attended by finance ministers or their deputies from 27 EU countries
and 16 Asian nations, plus officials from six international
organisations.

India to continue as top retail sourcing hub: PwC




China and India are expected to continue as the top sourcing hubs in
retail and consumer sector globally in the coming years, even as
concerns over rising cost, quality and environmental issues may impact
their advantage, a latest PwC report says.

According to report 'Global Sourcing: Shifting Strategies' released by
PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), cost, quality and the environment would
play an increasingly important role as Companies seek to achieve new
heights of performance and competitive advantage from the global
sourcing programmes.

"Our feeling is that China will continue to be the leader in terms of
sourcing activities for many years to come, however, concern over
rising costs, carbon footprint and other issues may cause Companies to
step up purchases in other countries over time," the PwC report
stated.

China is the number one destination for global sourcing activities
with 83 per cent of Companies interviewed for the survey naming it as
the top sourcing nation, while India follows at the second place with
58 per cent.

"Global sourcing is experiencing robust growth with increased
globalisation. While cost is still the key driver of global sourcing
activities, mature Companies are shifting focus to gain greater
efficiency in competitive market, with focus on better quality
products and collaborative supplier relationships," PwC India retail
and consumer leader N V Sivakumar said.

For success, Companies need to adapt their organisation structure and
processes to manage the supply chain risks, minimise impact on
environment, as well as measure and maximise cost savings, Sivakumar
added.

Gold demand remains low on firm prices



India's gold demand was sluggish on Monday as customers were cautious
of firm prices, dealers said.

"Prices have not come down during the weekend. They are still above
12,000 rupees, which is keeping customers away from the market," said
Ashok Gupta, partner at Delhi-based Ganpati Traders.

At 3:38 p.m. the benchmark August contract on the Multi Commodity
Exchange of India Ltd was trading at Rs 12,180 per 10 grams, compared
with Rs 12,115 on Saturday.

The lack of festivals and weddings, which will now start in August,
also kept demand low, said a dealer with a large private bank.

Separately, India's gems and jewellery exports rose 33.3 percent in
the first two months of fiscal 2008/09 on higher demand for cut-and-
polished diamonds and coloured gemstones, an industry body said on
Monday.


Sharekhan Post-Market Report dated June 16, 2008




 
 Sharekhan's daily newsletter
 
June 16, 2008
Index Performance
Index

Sensex

Nifty
Open 15,333.07 4,536.30
High 15,553.37 4,617.70
Low 15,333.07 4,536.30
Today's Cls 15,395.82 4,572.50
Prev Cls 15,189.62 4,517.10
Change 206.20 55.40
% Change 1.36 1.23
 

Market Indicators
Top Movers (Group A)
Company Price 
(Rs)
%
chg

Gainers

Welspun Gujarat 373.25 9.63
Max India 177.05 9.19
Engineers India 591.10 8.66
Jindal Saw 574.05 7.14
Indiabulls Real Estate 398.35 6.75

Losers

Sintex Industries 389.15 -6.94
United Spirits 1,297.05 -5.35
Deccan Chronical 119.00 -4.49
Tata Chemicals 351.90 -4.04
Indusind Bank 72.55 -3.40
Market Statistics
- BSE NSE
Advances 1,776 806
Declines 872 372
Unchanged 76 33
Volume(Nos) 27.20cr

47.46cr

 Market Commentary 
Market ends upbeat, gains 206 points
The market was back on track after slipping on Friday.
Though it came off its highs, but still ended firm above the 15,350 mark. The bounce from the recent sell-off was in line with the recovery witnessed in the major Asian indices, which    
were up around 1% each. The Sensex resumed 143 points higher at 15,333 and advanced further on substantial buying support. Buying in realty and banking stocks propelled the index to an intra-day high of 15,553 in afternoon trades. After an initial upmove, the Sensex witnessed profit taking in the second half of the session and erased most of its gains to touch an intra-day low of 15,333. The index finally wrapped up the session with gains of 206 points at 15,396, while the Nifty closed with gains of 55 points at 4,573. 

Movers & Shakers

  • Indian Overseas Bank gained over 2% on reports that the bank has recommended a dividend of 35% ie Rs3.50 dividend per equity share of Rs10 each for the financial year 2007-2008.
  • Tata Steel notched up gains on report that the company and its wholly-owned subsidiary Rawmet Ferrous Industries has entered into a share subscription agreement and shareholders' agreement with Jasper Industries Pvt Ltd.
  • Era Infra Engineering gained on bagging two prestigious contracts from M/s Birla Tyres for construction of two tyre plants valuing Rs30 crore and 25 crore.


Of the 2,724 stocks traded on the BSE 1,776 stocks advanced, 872 stocks declined and 76 stocks ended unchanged. Among the sectoral indices, the BSE Realty index was the major gainer and was up 3.54% at 5,870.87 followed by the BSE Bankex index that was up 2.83% at 7,255.63. The BSE IT index, the BSE Power index, the BSE Teck index, the BSE FMCG index, the BSE Metal index and the BSE PSU index ended the day in positive territory. On the other hand, the BSE CD index and the BSE Auto index ended the day in red.

Among the index heavyweights, ICICI Bank gained 4.43% while Reliance Infrastructure notched up gains of 3.97%, Bharti Airtel moved up 3.15% at Rs839.60 and NTPC scaled up 3.07% at Rs166.05. Cipla, HDFC Bank, DLF, Infosys, Hindustan Unilever and ITC were up 2% each. Wipro, HDFC, Satyam Computer Services and Larsen & Toubro gained 1% each. Tata Steel, Reliance Industries, Jaiprakash Associates, ONGC, Tata Consultancy Services and ACC also ended the day in positive territory. However, Hindalco Industries was the major loser and shed 2.31% at Rs170.65. BHEL was down 2.15% at Rs1,511.15 and Reliance Communications shed 1.52% at Rs531. SBI, Maruti Suzuki India and Mahindra & Mahindra ended in negative territory.

Over 2.58 crore Chambal Fertlisers shares changed hands on the BSE followed by Nagaarjuna Fertlisers (1.88 crore shares), Anu's Laboratories (1.10 crore shares), IFCI (94.35 lakh shares) and Reliance Natural Resources (88.87 lakh shares).

European Indices at 16:07 IST on 16-06-2008
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
FTSE 100 Index 5812.50 9.70 0.17
CAC 40 Index 4682.01 -0.29 -0.01
DAX Index 6775.81 10.49 0.16
Asian Indices at close on 16-06-2008
Index Level Change (pts) Change (%)
Nikkei 225 14354.37 380.64 2.72
Hang Seng Index 23029.90 437.39 1.94
Kospi Index 1760.82 13.47 0.77
Straits Times Index 3036.92 57.36 1.93
Jakarta Composite Index 2398.04 -0.38 -0.02

 

 



 

PowerYourTrade Trading Calls


Trading Calls for 16 Jun 2008
Ashwani Gujral
Buy Zee Entertainment with a stoploss of Rs 200 for a target of Rs 245

Buy Zee Entertainment with a stoploss of Rs 200 for a target of Rs 245.

Disclosure:Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in future.

Buy i-flex Solutions with a stoploss of Rs 1226 for a target of Rs 1537

Buy i-flex Solutions with a stoploss of Rs 1226 for a target of Rs 1537.

Disclosure:Neither me, nor my family nor our clients have any position in the above stock. However we run a substantial newsletter, chatroom and money mgmt business and this can change at any time in future.

Mathew Easow
Buy Aurobindo Pharma on declines with a stop loss of Rs 302 for a short term target of Rs 360

Buy Aurobindo Pharma on declines with a stop loss of Rs 302 for a short term target of Rs 360.

Disclaimer: -

At the time of writing this article, I, my family members and my group companies do not have any position in AUROBINDO PHARMA LTD. This stock has been recommended to our clients and they may be holding long or short positions in this stock.

Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. The information contained herein is not a complete analysis of every material fact representing the company, industry or security. The views expressed may change. However, prices can move up as well as down due to a number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility (or liability) for the accuracy of the above contents and also any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

Short Term Target Means – Approximately 3 –4 weeks. If the target is not met within 3-4 weeks then please exit the positions.

Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis–a–vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position. Individual traders /investors should book profit depending on their risk bearing capacity and need not wait for the targets.


 

Sunday, June 15, 2008

Goldman Sachs to invest Rs 700 crore for minority stake in M&M

15 Jun, 2008, 1428 hrs IST, PTI
 
NEW DELHI: American fund house major Goldman Sachs will take a minority stake in the homegrown auto major Mahindra & Mahindra by investing Rs 700 crore through its Cybrentity Goldboot Holdings based in Cyprus.

The Board of Mahindra and Mahindra has given a go-ahead to the proposal under which Goldman Sachs controlled entity would invest about Rs 700 crore by subscribing unsecured and compulsorily convertible debentures.

The foreign firm will get 3.68 per cent stake in the M&M by converting its debentures into equal number of equity shares over a period of 18 months.

The investment by Goldboot has been approved by the Foreign Investment Promotion Board.

Goldboot has proposed to get 93.95 lakh unsecured fully and compulsorily convertible debentures (FCDs) of face value of Rs 745 each aggregating Rs 700 crore from M&M, which could be later converted into shares. M&M submitted information to BSE in this regard last week.
As per the agreement, for which M&M has got government approval, it would offer 9.25 per cent per annum interest on funds to the Goldman Sachsby issuing over till it is issued equity share at the time of final settlement.

For the quarter ended March 31, Foreign Institutional Investors held 25.49 per cent stake in the company, which included HSBC Global Investment Fund Mauritius Ltd and JP Morgan Asset Management among others.

Goldman Sachs has investments in a host of listed entities including Sesa Goa, Reliance Capital, Jet Airways, Indiabulls Real Estate among others.

For the financial year ended March 31, M&M registered a 5 per cent growth at Rs 1,571.12 crore, as against Rs 1,497.15 crore in the year ago period, while the turnover also rose to Rs 24,445.29 crore in the year-ago period.

The homegrown auto major plans to utilise the issue proceeds to boost its auto and tractor business.
 


From Chandigarh to Chennai - find friends all over India. Click here.

Anil Ambani's group charges Mukesh of sabotaging MTN deal

13 Jun, 2008, 2205 hrs IST, PTI
 
NEW DELHI: The war between Ambani brothers erupted again on Friday night with younger Anil's group charging Mukesh-led Reliance Industries with attempting to "sabotage" its potential multi-billion dollar deal with South African telecom giant MTN.

Mukesh Ambani group, however, declined to comment on allegations from the Anil's group that RIL had communicated to MTN about its claim to right of first refusal to buy controlling stake in RCOM and it was "legally and factually untenable, baseless and misconceived."

An RIL spokesperson said "no comments" when asked about the issues raised by Anil Ambani group.
Asserting that the new combined entity would have operating profits of Rs 50,000 crore, much higher than the Mukesh Ambani's group, RCOM official alleged that "RIL is seeking to disrupt the creation of one of the world's most valuable telecoms combinations."

Claiming that RIL's communication to MTN was based on a 'unilateral' agreement of January 12, 2006 signed by RIL officials, ADAG said that the agreement for effecting the family settlement was held "unfair and unjust" by the Bombay High Court later that year.

RCOM officials, however, exuded confidence that RIL's attempt would not delay the negotiations on the deal, that is believed to be in the region of over 70 billion dollars where Anil Ambani could be Chairman of the combined entity with single largest shareholding.

He, however, did not take questions on present status of the negotiations for which RCOM had entered into exclusive negotiations with MTN group on May 26 for a period of 45 days.

Meanwhile, reports from Johannesburg quoted an MTN spokesperson as saying "as far as we are concerned nothing has changed... we (RCOM and MTN) are continuing talks."

ADAG group said that "last night, in a mala fide effort to disrupt the talks (with MTN), RIL, part of Mukesh Ambani group, has sent a communication to MTN Group, making a false claim of an alleged right of first refusal to buy the controlling stake in Reliance Communications Ltd."

Terming it as legally and factually baseless, the spokesperson said that "RIL's claim is borne out of mounting despair and frustration at Reliance ADA Group's continuing successes, and the support it enjoys from over 10 million investors, the world's largest shareholding family."

"Reliance Communications dismisses RIL's claim with the contempt it deserves," the official said.

According to him, the new entity from the deal between R-Com and MTN would have have 120 million subscribers.
The official said that RIL has based its claim on an agreement of January 12, 2006, which was "unilaterally" signed by RIL's officials when RCom was under the RIL control.

However, this "procedure" was held to be "unfair and unjust" by the Bombay High Court on October 15, 2006, the ADAG spokesman said.

RCom got into the negotiations with South African giant MTN for a potential deal on May 26, aimed at creating one of the world's 10 largest telecom companies, with a potential size of about 70 billion dollars.

Before RCom took a plunge, MTN and Bharti Airtel were in talks, which did not fructify.
 
 
 


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Asian firms' growth story strong, says AMEX Survey

15 Jun, 2008, 1022 hrs IST, PTI
 
MUMBAI: Unperturbed by the global financial turmoils, Asian and Australian companies see a higher growth in the coming months and plans to declare more dividends than their global counterparts, a survey said.

"Companies in this region expect their primary industry to grow and revenues to increase over the next 12 months...They are significantly more likely to return profits to shareholders through dividends or share buybacks than their global counterparts," Financial services major, American Express, said in its survey here.

Besides, Asian companies would invest more to increase their market reach while many of them have changed their investment priorities in view of the uncertain global markets, it said.

Inflationary pressures, high interest rates and fluctuating exchange rates continue to be 'urgent concerns' for the domestic companies apart from the rising cost of capital and unfamiliar political systems, the survey said.

"In India as elsewhere, rising energy costs are an urgent concern. While companies plans to be conservative in their spending,they are also looking at to enhance investments in growth areas," American Express Commercial Card's Head, Firdaus Mogul said.

Also, stringent regulatory regimes and government policies have posed big threats to the domestic companies who want to go global, it said.

Companies in Asia and Australia are also likely to increase the purchases of goods and services over the next one year, especially in technology and distribution arenas, the survey said.

Nearly 35 per cent of the respondents from the region believed that they should have invested more in products and services development during the last economic dowturn.

However, 40 per cent of the respondents were of the view that they should have invested more in the market expansion activities, as compared to 34 per cent globally.

"They (companies in Asia and Australia) are pursuing investments that will allow them to acquire more customers in new and better ways. This would be executed with a view to preserve the bottom line while promoting the top-line growth," Mogul said.

The survey was conducted among 370 senior finance executives in US, Canada, Mexico, Europe, Asia and Australia and comprised Chief Financial Officers and Directors of firms having an annual revenue of above USD 500 million.

American Express is a leading player in global payments and issues local-currency commercial cards in 40 countries and international dollar corporate cards in an additional hundred countries, the company said.
 
 


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RBI may again raise repo rate by 25 bps by July: Economists

15 Jun, 2008, 1115 hrs IST, PTI
 
NEW DELHI/MUMBAI: Woes of the UPA government on the price front are likely to continue with inflation expected to reach the double digit mark in the weeks ahead, which may force the Reserve Bank to raise short-term lending rate by another 25 basis points.

Despite the host of measures taken by the government and RBI, inflation has touched the seven-year high of 8.75 per cent and is likely to go up further next week after the index captures the impact of fuel price hike announced on June 5.

"Rising inflation rate may force the RBI to raise repo rate (short-term lending rate) by at least 25 basis points before the July policy announcement," HDFC Bank chief economist Abheek Barua told reporters.
With the impact of fuel prices hike getting reflected in the inflation data, the rate could rise to a 13-year high of 10 per cent, opined Lehman Brothers economist Sonal Varma.

"We expect another 25 basis points hike in the repo rate in quarter three of 2008 and one percentage increase in cash reserve ratio during this financial year," she said.

RBI has, after a gap on more than a year, increase the repo rate to 8 per cent from 7.75 per cent to contain inflation by curbing demand.

Even according to government estimates, inflation may peak at 9.70 per cent in October before petering out.

Inflation, which has already crossed 8.7 per cent for the week ended May 31, may touch 9.5 per cent in June, following the government decision to raise prices of petrol, diesel and cooking gas, official sources said.
 
 


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Real estate sector facing severe cash crunch

15 Jun, 2008, 0330 hrs IST,Raja Awasthi & Dheeraj Tiwari, ET Bureau
 
NEW DELHI: The recent bloodbath in the real estate sector has started taking a toll. Almost all large developers are now facing a severe cash crunch and finding it difficult to complete their ongoing projects. In fact, the situation is so bad that most of them have reported a 50-70% cash shortfall. Industry sources told SundayET that the liquidity crunch has forced many developers to pick up cash from the unorganised market at interest rates as high as 35% to 50% annually. The lending rate of banks is between 18% and 20%.

The grade A developers which are facing crash crunch include DLF, MGF Emaar, Shobha Developers, Unitech, Omaxe, Parsvnath Developers, Hiranandani Group, Ansal API, BPTP Developers and TDI Group.

As a result of the crash crunch many developers have started going slow or even stopped construction of projects which are either in their initial stages of development or which would not affect their bottomline in the near future. While most developers that SundayET spoke to, agreed with the problem at hand, none of them were ready to be quoted on how it had affected them.
 
"There are visible signs that the global liquidity crunch has started to impact real estate companies in India. It is becoming extremely difficult for both small and large realty companies to organise financing, given the global liquidity crisis. The recent slowdown in demand, high interest rates, rising input costs and meltdown of realty stocks have only added to their problems. The real estate companies are in dire need for credit and other sources of capital to complete projects at hand and also to sustain their expansion plans. Some companies are able to access capital, albeit at very high costs, which in the long run may not be a sustainable solution, especially given the size of the market and consequent need for large chunks of capital," says Cushman & Wakefield executive MD (South Asia) Sanjay Verma.

Many in the industry feel that notwithstanding the final verdict on the extent of global economic slowdown and recovery of financial institutions, real estate players in India may continue to face liquidity problems in the near future due to global credit crunch and unfavourable stock market conditions for raising capital.

What's more, bankers say they may now get more cautious towards lending to real estate developers. "Real estate companies have many projects at hand and the sales have been constantly dwindling. Analysing these sentiments, any financial institution will be cautious. Remember, during monsoons, housing sales come down and banks may have to consider increasing interest rates further in future," says HDFC Bank chairman Deepak Parekh. State Bank of India (SBI) is no different. It is also contemplating similar measures. "We are not sure for how long the current volatility will exist in the realty market. Also, banks need to maintain their reach among their clients. However, it is possible that all banks may sanction loans to only those developers with whom they have had a long relationship," says a top SBI official.

Industry experts feel the only avenue available for raising capital in the current situation is at the project SPV level and by way of private equity or similar sources, which is generally the most expensive method of raising capital and has limitations on the over all extent of financing that is required. "Concerns about liquidity will continue to plague the market since debt will not be easily available. Real estate players had traditionally raised money from debt funds via corporate deposits and commercial paper. However, debt funds are currently not eager for more exposure in real estate and are continuously rolling over the debt advanced to these players. The primary source for institutional funding will, therefore, now be private equity," says JLLM chairman & country head Anuj Puri.
 
 


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Navratna power PSUs cry foul over pay panel's suggestions

 
15 Jun, 2008, 1308 hrs IST, PTI

 
NEW DELHI: Navratna power companies like PowerGrid, which have not been classified as A+ category, are planning to write to the government demanding parity in salaries with the elite Navratna club, for them the Pay Revision Committee has recommended higher wages.

"We have not been included in the A+ category of power PSUs which will result in lower salary revisions for us compared to A+ category 'navratna' firms. Hence we will write to the government on this," a top official of PowerGrid Corp said.

The government has classified NTPC and BHEL as A+ category navratna companies, while other power firms Power Finance Corporation, Power Grid Corp and Rural Electrification Corp have not been accorded this status.

"Because of the non-inclusion, our salary revision is expected to be lower by 15-25 per cent," the official said.

The Pay Revision Committee submitted its recommendations to the government in May and the government would take a view on the recommendations by the year-end.

They allege that parameters like revenue and profit per employee have been ignored while granting A+ status.

Some PSUs have also expressed displeasure over the inclusion of certain mini-ratna firms in the category because of which some navratna firms have suffered.

Certain non-power state-owned companies have already written to the government regarding the same.

Revised income ceiling for OBC creamy layer by June 30

 
15 Jun, 2008, 1125 hrs IST, PTI

NEW DELHI: In a move that could end the debate over classification of creamy layer among the OBCs, the National Commission for Backward Classes is expected to give its recommendations to the government by June 30 on the revised income ceiling for their eligibility for reservation.

Acting on a government directive, the NCBC has obtained suggestions from commissions from 20 states on the income ceiling of the creamy layer and is in the process of getting similar views from other eight states.

Most of the state commissions have recommended revision of the income limit for creamy layer classification from Rs 2.5 lakh to Rs 4 lakh to Rs 6 lakh.

The recommendations were made at a conference of the NCBC and state backward commissions held here recently.

The conference was attended by representatives of 20 state commissions. At least 40 per cent of the representatives of the state commissions had not come with official recommendations and have promised to get back, NCBC member Abdul Ali Azizi said.

Azizi said the views of those states, which could not attend the meeting, will be taken via correspondence while others have been directed to send their officials' recommendation to NCBC by June 25.

The NCBC will be sending its recommendation to the central government by June 30 on the basis of views that are available by that date.

The recommendations will help the government to define the income limit for the creamy layer among the OBC, setting at rest a debate on the issue.

The creamy layer among the Other Backward Classes (OBCs) on the basis of annual income was defined in 1993 with the ceiling fixed at Rs one lakh. It was later revised to Rs 2.5 lakh in 2004.

The creamy layer cannot claim benefits, including reservation in jobs and professional courses, that are available to the OBCs.

At the recent conference involving the NCBC and the state backward commissions, Karnataka demanded ten-time rise in the ceiling from Rs 2.5 lakh to Rs 25 lakh, while Madhya Pradesh demanded that it be fixed at Rs 10 lakh, four times more from the existing level.

Most of the other states recommended a ceiling of Rs 4 lakh to Rs 6 lakh.

Some of the members also suggested that properties that yield no income should not be included for deciding creamy layer. This includes real state properties, which give no earning and the agriculture land, where no cultivation is taking place.

"Things could have been completed much more smoothly had the state representatives come out clear on their stands and attended the meeting in full capacity," sources in the NCBC said.

Blue chip, mid-cap look good at present levels



After a dream bull run over the last 3-4 years, the domestic stock markets are on a downward trend from the beginning of this year. They have dropped so much of late that they are now among the worst-performing in the league of emerging markets. With a flurry of bad news coming in, it looks like nothing is going right for the markets.


These are some of the factors that led to the markets crashing recently:

High inflation rate

Inflation is ruling high across the world. Here, the inflation rate has touched a 45 months' high and is ruling over eight percent. Analysts and market men are predicting that inflation will not cool down in the near future due to the recent price hike in oil. Higher petrol and diesel prices will have a cascading effect on commodity prices which will also be visible in the inflation numbers over the next few weeks. Last month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised the cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 75 basis points. This week, the RBI increased the repo rate to signal a further tightening of the monetary policy to control inflation.

High crude oil price


The soaring crude oil price is one of the main dampeners in the stock markets world over. Recently, the crude oil price touched an all-time high of USD 139 per barrel. Many analysts are predicting it will touch USD 150 per barrel in the near future and it might even go up to USD 200.

They are unanimous that if crude prices surges further or even stays at the current levels , it will impact the global economic growth.

FII selling pressure

Investments from foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were a prime driver of the domestic stock markets over the last couple of years. The FII investment trend has been reversed this year as they have taken out more than USD 5 billion from the markets.

This could be attributed to the urgent need for liquidity in their parent companies abroad. Also, given the current market situation in India, FIIs are unlikely to bring in fresh money in near the future - at least till they are see some improvement in the macroeconomic environment and global inflation levels.

Market sentiments

The sentiments in the market are quite bearish, and at times, it seems like there are no buyers in the markets (neither foreign institutions nor local mutual funds). The markets have dropped quite significantly from their peak levels.

The Sensex has come down to around 15,000 from the earlier 21,000 levels, and the Nifty has come down from 6,200 levels to 4,500 levels. Many stocks have dropped by 40 to 60 percent from their peak levels.

Stocks and sectors that led the market rally last year are the worsthit in this correction. Investors are not sure whether they should sell at these levels or buy more to average out their purchase prices.

Here are two factors investors should think about before making their decisions on further investments or cutting losses in the market :


Existing positions in the market:

People who invested in blue chip or fundamentally strong mid-cap should hold on to their positions . However, investors should look at a long-term investment horizon for their positions. Market sentiments are quite bearish at the moment and further downfalls from current levels cannot be ruled out. Market traders and analysts are expecting more negative news from the global as well as local macroeconomic fronts.

Taking fresh positions:

Analysts advise investors to stay with cash in crashing market conditions. However, there is no dearth of opportunities for investors with a risk appetite. There are many stock-specific and sector-specific investment opportunities available in the market. Many blue chip stocks are available at quite reasonable prices. Investors should look at investing in blue chip and quality midcap stocks with a long-term perspective.
 
 

'Bonus lie' charge irks Mukesh Ambani

 
13 Jun, 2008, 0037 hrs IST, ET Bureau
 

MUMBAI: "If you don't like the Reliance stock, sell them away," an irate Mr Ambani told a shareholder at Thursday's AGM pestering him about bonus shares.

The shareholder argued that Mr Ambani is spending Rs 8,000 crore in building the world's costliest house, another Rs 600 crore to gift an aircraft to his wife and when it comes to rewarding the shareholders through bonus issue, he turns a miser.

Mr Ambani tried to pacify him and invited him to have a cup of tea, but the shareholder carried on and warned Mr Ambani that he may come down to the earth one day. The shareholder also alleged that Mr Ambani did not stick to his words and has not awarded a bonus despite having promised one in the past few AGMs.

This further angered Ambani and he banged on the dais and said, "Don't speak a lie at a corporate AGM. This is not a political meeting. The proceedings of every year AGM are recorded and I never promised any bonus issue. It is a decision to be taken by the RIL board. Corporates mein aisa hi chalta hai... (This is the way how corporates function)."

Earlier while addressing the shareholders, Mr Ambani said, "All our businesses have delivered outstanding results and all shareholders have benefited significantly. Over the past five years, the market capitalisation has grown by 54% compounded per annum. This is a glowing assertion of our commitment to shareholder value creation. We have increased our dividend payout to 130%, amounting to Rs 1,631 crore ($407 million) for the year."

RIL's market cap has increased Rs 1,30,274 crore ($32,471 million) to Rs 329,179 crore ($82,049) during the 2008 fiscal.

PowerYourTrade Trading Calls - 13 jun




Trading Calls for 13 Jun 2008
VK Sharma
Buy Hindustan Oil Exploration at around Rs 128.20 with a stop loss of Rs 126.20. This is a day trading recommendation

Buy Hindustan Oil Exploration at around Rs 128.20 with a stop loss of Rs 126.20. This is a day trading recommendation.

DISCLAIMER.

This document has been prepared by Anagram Stock broking Ltd. (Anagram), for use by the recipient only and not for circulation. The information and opinions contained in the document have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable. Anagram does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any securities. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published, in whole or in part, by any recipient hereof for any purpose without prior permission from us. Anagram and the analyst(s), including his dependant family members may have an interest in the securities recommended above. To unsubscribe, send a mail to unsubscribechinta@gmail.com.

Copyright in this document vests exclusively with Anagram Stock broking Limited.

Mathew Easow
Buy National Fertilizers on declines with a stop loss of Rs 45 for a short term target of Rs 73

Buy National Fertilizers on declines with a stop loss of Rs 45 for a short term target of Rs 73.

Disclaimer: -

At the time of writing this article, I, my family members and my group companies do not have any position in NATIONAL FERTILIZERS LTD. This stock has been recommended to our clients and they may be holding long or short positions in this stock.

Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com gives an unbiased and competent picture of trading opportunities and it does that to the best of its abilities. The information contained herein is not a complete analysis of every material fact representing the company, industry or security. The views expressed may change. However, prices can move up as well as down due to a number of factors, all of which are impossible for anyone to foresee. THEREFORE, Mathew Easow and matheweasow.com cannot accept any responsibility (or liability) for the accuracy of the above contents and also any investment decision or trading decision taken by readers and clients on the basis of information contained herein.

Short Term Target Means – Approximately 3 –4 weeks. If the target is not met within 3-4 weeks then please exit the positions.

Please follow stop losses very strictly and do not take positions where one is uncomfortable with the stop loss level. Above all Buy or Sell the stock only when the risk - reward ratio vis–a–vis the stop loss is favourable for taking a position. Individual traders /investors should book profit depending on their risk bearing capacity and need not wait for the targets.


 

Reliance Energy bids lowest for UP power projects

13 Jun, 2008, 2108 hrs IST, IANS

LUCKNOW/NEW DELHI: The Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group looks set to be awarded two major power projects with a combined capacity of 3,250 megawatt (MW) at Allahabad in Uttar Pradesh after it quoted the lowest per unit cost of electricity, officials said on Friday.

The group's Reliance Energy had made the bid for the 1,950 MW Bara project and the 1,300 MW Karchna power project of the Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation Ltd (UPPCL), quoting Rs.2.64 and Rs.2.60 per unit for the Bara and Karchana power plants respectively.

Last year, Reliance Energy chairman Anil Ambani announced his company would invest up to Rs.600 billion between 2007 and 2011. The company has already bagged the prestigious 1,200 MW Rosa project in the state.

The Bara project will have three units and Karchna two, each unit with a capacity to generate 650 megawatts.

The state government had floated a global tender after it rejected last month an earlier contract awarded to Lanco Kundapalli. Lanco had quoted the lowest rates of Rs.2.88 per unit for Bara and Rs.2.83 for Karchna in the first bid that opened April 11.


"The rates offered by the company (Lanco) were on a higher side and then it was decided to invite fresh tenders from the same participating companies," UPPCL deputy general manager Shailendra Dubey said. "The fresh bid still needs a final approval from the state cabinet," he added.

The other giants that participated in this bid included NTPC, L&T, Tata Power, Lanco Kundapalli, and JLW. UPPCL has allocated Rs.500 million for acquiring the 3,000 acres of land for the two projects. Reliance Energy bids lowest for UP power projects

LUCKNOW/NEW DELHI: The Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group looks set to be awarded two major power projects with a combined capacity of 3,250 megawatt (MW) at Allahabad in Uttar Pradesh after it quoted the lowest per unit cost of electricity, officials said on Friday.

The group's Reliance Energy had made the bid for the 1,950 MW Bara project and the 1,300 MW Karchna power project of the Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation Ltd (UPPCL), quoting Rs.2.64 and Rs.2.60 per unit for the Bara and Karchana power plants respectively.

Last year, Reliance Energy chairman Anil Ambani announced his company would invest up to Rs.600 billion between 2007 and 2011. The company has already bagged the prestigious 1,200 MW Rosa project in the state.

The Bara project will have three units and Karchna two, each unit with a capacity to generate 650 megawatts.

The state government had floated a global tender after it rejected last month an earlier contract awarded to Lanco Kundapalli. Lanco had quoted the lowest rates of Rs.2.88 per unit for Bara and Rs.2.83 for Karchna in the first bid that opened April 11.


"The rates offered by the company (Lanco) were on a higher side and then it was decided to invite fresh tenders from the same participating companies," UPPCL deputy general manager Shailendra Dubey said. "The fresh bid still needs a final approval from the state cabinet," he added.

The other giants that participated in this bid included NTPC, L&T, Tata Power, Lanco Kundapalli, and JLW. UPPCL has allocated Rs.500 million for acquiring the 3,000 acres of land for the two projects.

Oil prices going to cool off soon...but not until they hit their highs!!




Barely weeks after stunning the world with news that oil prices will touch $200 a barrel, Goldman Sach's oil analyst Arjun Murti predicts oil prises are going to plummet to nearly $75/barrel. He attributes this sharp decline to 2 factors.

  1. Soon prices of oil would rise to a great extent, that there will be a sharp decline in demand of oil, consequently, pushing down oil prices steeply.
  2. Some OPEC countries have issued statements that they might increase oil production following this oil crisis in order to ease the supply pressure and cool off the demand. This is too likely to push down oil prices.

According to me, the ongoing 'slowdown' in the growth of the global economy and falling growth in industrialized countries will push down oil prices alongwith food prices and other necessary commodities' prices also. Further on, if India and China are unable to offset high commodity prices, they would too fuel a slowdown in oil consumption in their own countries thus pushing down oil prices( but not for too long).

Moreover, Saudi Arabia is all set to break records by ramping up oil output to highest levels following the decision to increase production of 500,000 barrels per day. The increase would bring Saudi Arabia's oil production to 10 million barrels a day, the country's highest ever!! With greater supply, and diminishing demand - anyone can guess where petrol/diesel prices are going - down !!

My fellow bloggers agree too! They go to the extent of saying the Oil Bubble is likely to burst...


courtesy: Chirag Jain

 
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