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Friday, May 2, 2008

Pre-Market report on 02.05.2008




Dow Jones in a bull zone ; Desi Bulls to set the tone
===================================================

Wall Street took one day to digest the factored in news of
Mr.Bernake's 25 basis point cut to fly above the magic level of
13,000. Dow Jones ended the day at 13,010 , up 189.87 points while
tech heavy Nasdaq is up 67.9 points at 2,480.71, outperforming the
peers. Tech stocks went on to party today after the Economic data
surprised the analysts. Elsewhere US Dollar is gaining ground against
global currencies and declining crude oil prices just added on to the
rally.

Japanese stocks, after their April, their best month in 13 years
spiked in the early hours of trade to trade at 14,014.40, up 247
points.

Indian Markets closed down before the holiday on account of lack of
global cues and nervousness about the Fed cut. Today with the strong
global cues and positive sentiment we have no option except to go up.

Where is 14,000/12,000??

We have written in this column many a times about the market behaviour
and always envisaged that things are not as bad as predicted. Thanks
to the media across the globe and million thanks to all the analysts
who appear on the chatter box predicting 12,000, Indian Indices were
down in the dumps in the last 3 months. We emphasized many a times
that this is not the time to get out and just to get in as we witness
difficult times we get stocks at throw away prices.

Inflation : Cause for concern

No doubt the Inflation in a developing economy like India has a major
impact on the growth factors but our analysis and data shows that the
same can be contained in no time with more focus from the government.
Inflation can easily double or halved over a period of 6 months.
That's the speciality of Indian Economy.

Govt is likely to pose threat to cement companies in a bid to contain
inflation. Instead the govt needs to focus on boosting the production
of agri commodities to get rid of the inflation ghost from a long term
perspective.

Midcaps looking great

Midcaps look great as usual and realty stocks that charmed on Tuesday
on RBI credit policy are likely to hit the bull road with DLF
declaring good numbers. Business standard reports that Mindtree is
likely to acquire Aztech software for Rs.400 crores. Midcap IT will
move up based on the valuations offered. Consolidation is due in the
sector and this is not the end. Aztec cannot turnaround for many
quarters courtesy the poor management vision & drive. This acquisition
would definitely add value to Mindtree though the stock might be
subdued for a period due the acquisition costs.

Market Close Box
BSE Sensex 17287.31 -91.15
NSE Nifty 5165.90 -29.60
USD Rs.40.46
Oil Nymex $112.5


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